Old Bull

By American Civics Exchange

From American Civics Exchange, Flip Pidot hosts your insider's guide to political prediction markets.

Video versions of most shows available at OldBull.tv.... more

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FAQs about Old Bull:

How many episodes does Old Bull have?

The podcast currently has 119 episodes available.

Old Bull episodes:

July 20, 2020 The Map Room: Dallas
Video version at oldbull.tv/maproom.
Some important parts of Texas have trended blue in recent cycles, but that's not the whole story. So how real are Democrats' statewide dreams?
The Map Room lays it all out in its continuing series on the Lone Star State.
Follow your hosts on Twitter:
Eric: @decunningham2
Jared: @jstonepolitics
Nick: @tossupreport
Email us at [email protected].
All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.
...more
37min
July 17, 2020 The Art of the Possible: Is Trump Toast? (with Rodrigo De Paz)
Betting markets around the world still give Trump a fighting shot (and then some). Pollsters and forecasters have it all but locked up for Biden. Who's got it right?
Sarbjit and Matthew are joined by elections and campaigns expert Rodrigo De Paz to sort it all out.
Also on the agenda:
The impact of nationwide mail-in voting
Whether Biden can carry Texas
The role of Hispanic voters in 2020
Your hosts:
Sarbjit Bakhshi, head of political markets at Smarkets
@sarbjit_pol
Matthew Shaddick, head of political betting at Ladbrokes
@shadsy
Rodrigo De Paz (guest)
@rodrigodepazp
Be sure to subscribe to the show, please consider leaving us favorable ratings and reviews, and check out all our shows at OldBull.tv.
Cold Funk Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 3.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/
All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.
...more
33min
July 15, 2020 The Map Room: Houston We Have an Episode
Video version at oldbull.tv/maproom.
It's the first in a series of extra-deep dives into the aspiring battleground state of Texas.
Eric, Jared and Nick trek across gargantuan Harris County, home of Houston and the heart of the 5th largest metro area in the country.
Follow your hosts on Twitter:
Eric: @decunningham2
Jared: @jstonepolitics
Nick: @tossupreport
Email us at [email protected].
All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.
...more
35min
July 15, 2020 The Art of the Possible: The How of Government (with Alice Lilly)
Sarbjit and Matthew welcome Dr. Alice Lilly, from the Institute for Government think tank, for a chat about UK & US politics, whether prediction markets can make government more efficient, and whether bookies can (or should) offer bets on dead candidates.
Your hosts:
Sarbjit Bakhshi, head of political markets at Smarkets
@sarbjit_pol
Matthew Shaddick, head of political betting at Ladbrokes
@shadsy
Be sure to subscribe to the show, please consider leaving us favorable ratings and reviews, and check out all our shows at OldBull.tv.
Cold Funk Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 3.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/
All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.
...more
36min
July 13, 2020 The Election Whisperer: The Doc Is In (July 12, 2020)
Video version at ElectionWhisperer.com.
Welcome to the first-ever Election Whisperer mailbag special.
Nothing but Rachel Bitecofer answering your questions.
Subscribe to the show and submit a question of your own at ElectionWhisperer.com.
All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.
...more
44min
July 08, 2020 The Election Whisperer with Rachel Bitecofer ("How the Midwest Was Won" with Ben Wikler)
Video version at ElectionWhisperer.com
Rachel Bitecofer welcomes Wisconsin Democratic state chair Ben Wikler, for an (uninterrupted!) discussion of the state's pivotal role in the 2020 presidential election and the stunning upset they pulled off this spring.
Plus, Rachel answers your questions and reveals who (if anyone) won the inaugural Question Of the Week swag challenge.
Subscribe to the show and submit a question of your own at ElectionWhisperer.com.
All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.
...more
1h 8min
July 07, 2020 The Art of the Possible: Lean Tossup (with Robert Martin)
Matthew and Sarbjit are joined by Robert Martin, founder of the forecasting website Lean Tossup, to discuss how his predictive model works and why it may be superior to traditional forecasting methods in the impossible-to-model 2020 cycle.
Also on the agenda:
The impact of 2016 PTSD on 2020 predictions
Why forecasters and prediction markets disagree so dramatically on Trump's reelection odds
How to profit by fading the conventional wisdom
Your hosts:
Sarbjit Bakhshi, head of political markets at Smarkets
@sarbjit_pol
Matthew Shaddick, head of political betting at Ladbrokes
@shadsy
Robert Martin (guest)
@LeanTossup
Be sure to subscribe to the show, please consider leaving us favorable ratings and reviews, and check out all our shows at OldBull.tv.
Cold Funk Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 3.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/
All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.
...more
42min
July 06, 2020 The Map Room: Iowa
Video version at https://oldbull.tv/maproom .
Like some other midwestern states, Iowa has been trending red in recent cycles at the statewide level. But peel back a layer or two, and there's something more interesting afoot.
Eric, Jared and Nick reveal the Hawkeye State in all its electoral splendor.
Follow your hosts on Twitter:
Eric: @decunningham2
Jared: @jstonepolitics
Nick: @tossupreport
Email us at [email protected].
All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.
...more
37min
July 03, 2020 The Art of the Possible: Scotland (with Ailsa Henderson)
Matthew and Sarbjit enlist the help of University of Edinburgh Professor of Political Science Aisla Henderson for a master class in Scottish Politics.
Henderson heads the Scottish Election Study, co-directs the Future of England Survey, and serves as deputy chair of the Local Government Boundary Commission for Scotland for local and Holyrood (Scottish Government) elections, as well as commissioner on the Boundary Commission for Scotland for the Westminster elections.
They examine the current state of the Scottish political parties, the two dominant Scottish political axes, and the parties' relations with Westminster.
Also on the agenda:
How Scotland's path to independence compares to Quebec (and Texas).
Henderson's work on the boundary commission (the UK's non-political redistricting process).
Your hosts:
Sarbjit Bakhshi, head of political markets at Smarkets
@sarbjit_pol
Matthew Shaddick, head of political betting at Ladbrokes
@shadsy
Professor Ailsa Henderson (guest)
@ailsa_henderson
Be sure to subscribe to the show, please consider leaving us favorable ratings and reviews, and check out all our shows at OldBull.tv.
Cold Funk Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 3.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/
All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.
...more
33min
July 02, 2020 From the Vault: Can Prediction Markets Fight Coronavirus?
Video at https://youtu.be/R3yJnm3WbrE
We'd hoped this episode from about 100 years ago (April) might be less relevant by now. Alas, it's even more so. We also have a mightier horde of subscribers than we did then (welcome!), so we hope our new friends find this one of interest.
Original show notes follow...
COVID-19 is wreaking havoc not just on its hundreds of thousands of biological victims, but on the very viability of the global health care infrastructure, financial markets, and the daily routines of billions of people.
Can prediction markets help humanity even the score? Could they help policymakers and the general public anticipate and respond more quickly and effectively to unfolding emergencies like the coronavirus pandemic?
Yes.
But should they?
Also, yes.
Follow us at twitter.com/oldbulltv.
Email us at [email protected].
Music from https://filmmusic.io "Funkorama" by Kevin MacLeod (https://incompetech.com)
License: CC BY (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.
...more
16min

FAQs about Old Bull:

How many episodes does Old Bull have?

The podcast currently has 119 episodes available.