Part 1: Our Thinking

Near and Far

1 Abstract/Distant Future Bias

2 Abstractly Ideal, Concretely Selfish

3 We Add Near, Average Far

4 Why We Don't Know What We Want

5 We See the Sacred from Afar, to See It Together

6 The Future Seems Shiny

7 Doubting My Far Mind

Disagreement

8 Beware the Inside View

9 Are Meta Views Outside Views?

10 Disagreement Is Near-Far Bias

11 Others' Views Are Detail

12 Why Be Contrarian?

13 On Disagreement, Again

14 Rationality Requires Common Priors

15 Might Disagreement Fade Like Violence?

Biases

16 Reject Random Beliefs

17 Chase Your Reading

18 Against Free Thinkers

19 Eventual Futures

20 Seen vs. Unseen Biases

21 Law as No-Bias Theatre

22 Benefit of Doubt = Bias

Part 2: Our Motives

Signaling

23 Decision Theory Remains Neglected

24 What Function Music?

25 Politics isn't about Policy

26 Views [...]

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Outline:

(00:07) Part 1: Our Thinking

(00:12) Near and Far

(00:37) Disagreement

(01:04) Biases

(01:28) Part 2: Our Motives

(01:33) Signaling

(02:01) Norms

(02:35) Fiction

(02:58) The Dreamtime

(03:19) Part 3: Our Institutions

(03:25) Prediction Markets

(03:48) Academia

(04:06) Medicine

(04:15) Paternalism

(04:29) Law

(05:21) Part 4: Our Past

(05:26) Farmers and Foragers

(05:55) History as Exponential Modes

(06:09) The Great Filter

(06:35) Part 5: Our Future

(06:39) Aliens

(07:01) UFOs

(07:22) The Age of Em

(07:44) Artificial Intelligence

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First published:

Source:

Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.