This week Rafael Behr talks to Tim Harford, BBC Radio 4's presenter of More or Less and FT columist, about his new book: How To Make The World Add Up.

Tim Harford writes the Undercover Economist column for the FT and was previously an economics leader writer for the FT.

He is also the author of seven books, including the million-selling, The Undercover Economist and before that, Fifty Things That Made the Modern Economy.

He is also a regular presenter for BBC radio.

He was made an OBE in the 2019 new year honours list “for services to improving economic understanding.

Link to buy the book: www.hive.co.uk/Product/Tim-Harford/How-to-Make-the-World-Add-Up--Ten-Rules-for-Thinking-Diff/25138829)

If you have a questions, comments or suggestions for Rafael about the podcast please email [email protected]

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Phil (the producer)

This podcast is hosted by ZenCast.fm

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Host Rafael Behr looks ahead to a new political season that promises to be like none in recent memory and reflects on a lost summer of coronavirus denial, with some digressions on party conferences, Brexit and Cliff Richard.

This podcast is hosted by ZenCast.fm

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This week Rafael Behr and Helen Lewis discuss social media's corrosive effect on politics and public discourse, and how we can all respond.

Helen Lewis is a staff writer at the Atlantic, was deputy editor at the New Statesman, presents BBC Radio 4's Westminster Hour, and is a regular panellist on BBC Radio 4's News Quiz. She's written a book about the history of feminism, is ambivalent towards Twitter but likes the Sopranos and embroidery.

Helen's new book - (https://www.theguardian.com/books/2020/feb/16/difficult-women-history-of-feminism-11-fights-helen-lewis-review)

Helen's newsletter - http://helenlewis.substack.com

Helen's writing in the Atlantic https://www.theatlantic.com/author/helen-lewis

Helen's lecture on the failure's of political journalism - https://reutersinstitute.politics.ox.ac.uk/video/helen-lewis-failures-political-journalism

This podcast is hosted by ZenCast.fm

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This week, Rafael Behr talks to Bobby Duffy from The Policy Institute at King's College London about trust in the government during the Coronavirus pandemic and how our identities and cognitive biases affect who we trust in politics.

Topics discussed in order

1-4

Fall-out from Dominic Cummings;Public health messaging during lock-down;Stats coronavirus tests it says it’s been carrying out;Bobby Duffy conversation starts

5-10

King's College new report;support for the government coming out of the lock-down;How identities influence how we view the government's response to the pandemic;Growth of tribal identities;Conflict extension theory;Potential for a culture war like the US?

10.30

Connections between leave/remain tribes and trust in how govt. is dealing with Coronavirus;National pride;Confirmation bias How do political identity and self-preservation interact?

14

How good are we at assessing risk?Emotional innumeracy

17.40

Good that we overestimate risk in such scenarios?System 1 v System 2 thinkingDo politicians exploit our ‘faulty thinking’?

21

Do we understand reality more or less than the 1940s?

22

Deliberative democracy;What is it?Is it underused?

24

Eire using DD before their 2018 abortion referendum;Is context important?

29

Has trust in politicians declined recently?Is it rational not to trust politicians?

31

Do we suffer from rosy retrospection?Does identity come before people’s politics?

36

Progressives, facts and trust;Moral outlook and who we trustHow Trump communicates trust via a distorted view of reality.

40

How will we look back at our unity at the start of the lock-down?room for optimism?optimism/uncertainty about how we come out of Coronavirus;generational conflict?

48

In conclusion

49
End

• https://www.kcl.ac.uk/news/declining-confidence-in-governments-covid-response
• Perils of Perception

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In this bonus edition Rafael Behr takes a break from his lock-down holiday to ask - what is 'political cut-through' and why Dominic Cummings appears to have cut so deep into the national conversation? In the midst of a pandemic, has a political mover renowned for capturing the mood of nation misjudged it this time?

NB This episode was recorded on the morning of 26 May before any post-conference opinion polls.

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This week Rafael Behr talks to The Lord John Alderdice about his incredible life as a politician, psychiatrist and psychotherapist.

They discuss how his formative years living in Northern Ireland influenced his decision to train as a psychiatrist and then psychotherapist; how this then informed his whole approach to politics and his political philosophy; and how it also helped him as a key negotiator in the Good Friday Agreement talks. He also gives some advice to any intolerant liberal progressives out there!

If you're interested in reading more about him and his work - this link will prove helpful.

https://lordalderdice.com/publications

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This week our host Rafael Behr is in conversation with Dr Leor Zmigrod about how cognitive science can help us understand how political identities are formed, and how people's ideological affiliations might affect how they respond to a national crisis.

If you want to delve further into the topic

Reader-friendly essays

Zmigrod, L. (2019). The partisan brain: cognitive study suggests people on the left and right are more similar than they think.

https://theconversation.com/the-partisan-brain-cognitive-study-suggests-people-on-the-left-and-right-are-more-similar-than-they-think-123578

Zmigrod, L. (2018). Brexit: how cognitive psychology helps us make sense of the vote.

https://theconversation.com/brexit-how-cognitive-psychology-helps-us-make-sense-of-the-vote-95031

Relevant academic papers

Zmigrod, L. (2020). The Role of Cognitive Rigidity in Political Ideologies: Theory, Evidence, and Future Directions. Current Opinion in Behavioral Sciences, 34, 34-39.

See paper here.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cobeha.2019.10.016

Zmigrod, L., Ebert, T., Götz, F. M., & Rentfrow, J. (2020). The Psychological and Socio-political Consequences of Infectious Diseases. Retrieved from psyarxiv.com/84qcm

Tybur, J. M., Inbar, Y., Aarøe, L., Barclay, P., Barlow, F. K., De Barra, M., ... & Consedine, N. S. (2016). Parasite stress and pathogen avoidance relate to distinct dimensions of political ideology across 30 nations. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 113(44), 12408-12413 https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1607398113

Murray, D. R., Schaller, M., & Suedfeld, P. (2013). Pathogens and politics: Further evidence that parasite prevalence predicts authoritarianism. PloS One, 8(5). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0062275

Kim, H. S., Sherman, D. K., & Updegraff, J. A. (2016). Fear of Ebola: The influence of collectivism on xenophobic threat responses. Psychological Science, 27(7), 935-944. https://doi.org/10.1177/0956797616642596

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