Predictable with Stu Burguiere

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the most recent Senate and Gubernatorial polling for the upcoming midterms while comparing and contrasting how the data lines up with what the prediction market world is saying. Then, BlazeTV’s Steve Deace joins for an on-the-ground look at Iowa’s political situation and a more general conversation on November’s big election. Plus, today’s “Candidate Countdown” segment heads down south to Mississippi.

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere tallies up the most recent polls, prediction market data and breaking news to make a determination on whether or not Abdul El-Sayad REALLY has a shot at becoming the United States Senator from Michigan. Then, an extremely unique edition of “Candidate Countdown!” should make a few waves with the audience. Plus, an in-depth look at the biases that can exist in the prediction market space and why they don’t really make an impact on the effectiveness of using market data to determine future probability.

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere looks into a few brand-new polls that might suggest Republicans have a few silver linings left in the black cloud that has become the 2026 midterms. Then, Stu examines an interesting new media strategy coming from Angela and Ken Paxton in Texas. Plus, today’s “Candidate Countdown” ventures into the bayou for a race out of Louisiana! And, Stu hedges his life (and increases his portfolio) in the wake of back-to-back losses for the Philadelphia Eagles.

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere examines our unintentional theme from our shows this week: Republicans and Democrats seem to be running in record numbers as the opposite party or as straight-up independents. What could this mean for the integrity of our elections and what effect is it having on the prediction markets? Then, new economic polling could mean more trouble for the GOP and some leaked audio from Ken Paxton could be having a disastrous impact on the Texas Senate race. Plus, Stu tries to conjure the “Candidate Countdown!” curse for a midterms race in Florida.

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the latest major warning sign for Republicans in the midterm elections and compares it to what the prediction markets are saying about November. Then, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown” focuses in on a small, but important, New Jersey House race. And Stu reacts to the news that Adam Kinzinger is being investigated for prediction market insider trading regarding his preemptive pardon from former-President Joe Biden.

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere takes a look at the state of the midterm elections as we hit the five-weeks-away mark and breaks down some of the newest polling and prediction market info on the race for Los Angeles mayor between incumbent Karen Bass and Democratic Socialist Nithya Raman. Then, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown!” focusing on an independent in Nebraska. And Stu checks in on the record of his beloved Philadelphia Eagles.

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reveals the latest on his Predictable Midterm Consensus and breaks down what the Senate makeup could look like post-election season in November. Plus, an investigation into how so-called “Independent” candidates are affecting the polls in several states around the country. Then, Mick Bransfield of Kingston Chase Consulting joins for a look at the current legal issues facing prediction markets as they gain popularity nationwide. And today’s edition of “Candidate Countdown!” features a very handsome and polished race out of Georgia.

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down a crazy twist in one of this November’s major Senate races and theorizes on whether or not this show is cursed and responsible. Then, another edition of “Candidate Countdown!”... this time out of Illinois. And Brent Evans joins to talk about some of his favorite market investments involving the NFL and professional golf.

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere takes a logical and dispassionate look at the November midterms and zeroes in on which exact day is the right one for conservatives and Republicans to truly start panicking. Then, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown!” out of Alaska. And, Stu goes over a market he “kinda likes” regarding Nathen Fielder’s wild new documentary on Theranos founder Elizabeth Holmes.

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere outlines the best-case scenario for Republicans to emerge victorious from the midterm elections this November, and what the prediction markets are hinting at as we get closer to voting day. Then, Jesse Rosen and Tanner Lux from the Predict2026 conference join the program to outline what their New York City event will contain this coming December. Plus, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown!” out of Florida and Stu reveals his newest “Stranger Trade.”