The restaurant and bar industry continues to face challenges in 2025, with recent developments highlighting ongoing concerns around costs, labor, and supply chain disruptions. Over the past 48 hours, several major industry events and reports have shed light on the current state of the sector.
At the Bar & Restaurant Expo 2025, currently underway in Las Vegas, industry leaders are grappling with rising food costs and persistent labor shortages. Attendance is strong, with over 13,000 professionals gathering to discuss solutions. A key focus has been on leveraging technology to improve efficiency and offset labor challenges. New automated kitchen systems and AI-powered inventory management tools are generating significant buzz on the expo floor.
Recent data from the National Restaurant Association shows that while overall sales are up 3.2% compared to this time last year, profit margins remain squeezed due to inflation. Food costs have risen an average of 7.5% year-over-year, with some key ingredients like eggs seeing even steeper increases due to ongoing avian flu outbreaks.
Labor remains a top concern, with 78% of operators reporting difficulty filling open positions. This has led to increased adoption of automation, with 35% of restaurants now using some form of robotic food preparation, up from 22% last year.
Supply chain disruptions continue to plague the industry. The threat of new tariffs on imports from major U.S. trading partners has many operators scrambling to diversify their sourcing. A survey released yesterday by restaurant supply company US Foods found that 62% of restaurants are actively seeking new domestic suppliers to mitigate potential tariff impacts.
Consumer behavior is shifting in response to economic pressures. While dining out frequency remains relatively stable, average check sizes have decreased 4.8% as diners opt for less expensive menu items. This has prompted many restaurants to revamp their menus, with a trend towards smaller portions and value-oriented options.
In response to these challenges, industry leaders are emphasizing adaptability. Danny Meyer, CEO of Union Square Hospitality Group, stated at a conference panel yesterday, "The key to survival in this environment is flexibility. We're constantly reevaluating our menus, our staffing models, and our technology investments to stay ahead of the curve."
Looking ahead, the industry faces an uncertain regulatory environment. Proposed changes to overtime rules and minimum wage laws could further impact labor costs. Additionally, new food safety regulations set to take effect next month are expected to increase compliance costs for many operators.
Despite these headwinds, there are bright spots. The craft cocktail scene continues to thrive, with premium spirits sales up 9.3% year-over-year. And ghost kitchens are seeing rapid growth, with the number of delivery-only concepts increasing by 27% in the past six months.
As the industry navigates these complex challenges, innovation and adaptation remain key themes. With the Bar & Restaurant Expo continuing through tomorrow, more insights and trends are likely to emerge, shaping the direction of the industry in the months to come.