In this episode we answer emails from Steve, Jeff and Kenny.  We discuss the complex foibles of Empower/Personal Capital portfolios and transitioning them. investing in gold and silver and tax treatments, and using the Vanguard Wellesley Fund as a model for very conservative investors.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

Rob Berger Video about Investing In Gold:  How to Buy Gold (Without Getting Ripped Off) - YouTube

Taxation of Gold ETFs Article:  How Taxes Work For A Gold ETF Or ETP Investment (etftrends.com)

Taxation of PHYS Fund:  Tax Information - Physical Gold Trust (sprott.com)

Yahoo version of Article re taxation of gold ETFs:  How Taxes Work For Gold ETF & ETP Investments (yahoo.com)

Taxation of Section 1256 Contracts:  Section 1256 Contract: Definition and Tax Rules (investopedia.com)

Vanguard Wellesley Portfolio:  VWIAX – Portfolio – Vanguard Wellesley® Income Admiral™ | Morningstar

Risk Parity Chronicles:  Risk Parity Chronicles

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In this episode we answer emails from William, Tyler and Builderman.  We discuss making changes in treasury bond fund allocations and the foibles of interest rate crystal balls, using the Portfolio Visualizer Monte Carlo simulator to model Golden Ratio style portfolios and musings about Iowa farmland and other family dynasty-type investments.  And we Fight, Fight, Fight for Iowa.  Errata:  I said "Large Cap Value" in the answer to Tyler's question when I meant "Large Cap Growth."  Doh!

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

Tyler's Golden Ratio Portfolio Analysis (Tickers):  Monte Carlo Simulation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Tyler's Golden Ratio Portfolio Analysis (Asset Classes):  Monte Carlo Simulation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Golden Ratio Portfolio Analysis (Longer-Term Asset Classes):  Monte Carlo Simulation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Interview with Anthony Deden:  Modern-Day Asset Management Business w/ Anthony Deden - YouTube

Risk Parity Chronicles:  Risk Parity Chronicles

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In this episode we answer emails from Alexi (a/k/a "the Dude"), MyContactInfo and James.  We discuss a couple new ETFs, CAOS and AHLT, follow up on earlier discussions about retirement calculators and investing in long term treasury bonds (VGLT and EDV).

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

CAOS on Morningstar:  CAOS – Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF – ETF Stock Quote | Morningstar

Khan Academy link -- Geometric Sums:  Finite geometric series word problem: mortgage (video) | Khan Academy

Risk Parity Chronicles Article on Long Treasuries:  The Long Bond Apocalypse (riskparitychronicles.com)

Yours Truly on "Catching Up to FI":  044 | Sponge Bob and Drawdown Strategies | Frank Vasquez - YouTube

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In this episode we answer emails from Mark, Mark and Cody.  We discuss what first Mark learned by investigating JEPI, the history of investing in gold over the past 100 years and how that may affect the data, and potential data limitations in Portfolio Visualizer on very long Monte Carlo simulations.

Bonus Links:

The Mysterious London Gold Pool:  London Gold Pool - Wikipedia

Gold Mining Shares In the Great Depression:  Gold Stocks Were Financial Saviors During The 1930s | Gold Eagle (gold-eagle.com) 

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In this episode we answer questions from BuilderMan, Drew and MyContactInfo.  We discuss how to incorporate farmland and other illiquid, income-producing assets in retirement expense planning, the perilous process of trying to manage a portfolio based on expert picks -- here, Ray Dalio -- and why venture capital may not be so smart.

And then we discuss the new Risk Parity Chronicles Monthly Roundup and a rebalancing of the Accelerated Permanent Portfolio sample portfolio.

And we sing the Iowa Corn Song!

Links:

Gladstone LAND ETF:  LAND - Gladstone Land Corp Chart - NASDAQ | Morningstar

Ray Dalio Article About Cash:  (24) The Thinking Behind Why Cash Is Now Good (and not Trash) | LinkedIn

Aswath Damodaran Blog Article on Venture Capital:  Musings on Markets: Putting the (Insta)cart before the (Grocery) horse: A COVID Favorite's Reality Check! (aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com)

Risk Parity Chronicles Risk Parity Roundup:  Risk Parity Roundup: October 2023 (riskparitychronicles.com)

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In this episode we answer questions from Jeff, Geordi and Eames.  We discuss wrangling with a Fidelity advisors and assorted salespeople, the difference between naïve or static portfolio construction versus using crystal balls for that purpose, a modified Golden Ratio-style portfolio, the pitfalls of buy-write funds like JEPI and BALI and a small issue with the website.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

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In this episode we answer emails from MyContactInfo, Kyle and Eric.  We discuss the pitfalls of retirement tools with help from Newman,  Bob Ross and a contribution question and our old semi-nemesis, TIPS.

Link:

Bill Bernstein TIPS Ladder Article:  Riskless at Age 104 - Articles - Advisor Perspectives

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In this episode we answer emails from Dave and Kanembou (from Chad).  We discuss the ins and outs of various data sets (as opposed to crystal balls), choosing a portfolio based on aggressiveness or conservativeness, related safe withdrawal rate issues and Donor Advised Funds.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

Portfolio Charts Portfolio Matrix Tool:  PORTFOLIO MATRIX – Portfolio Charts

Early Retirement Now Toolbox:  An Updated Google Sheet DIY Withdrawal Rate Toolbox (SWR Series Part 28) - Early Retirement Now

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In this jam-packed episode we answer questions from Luke, Ethan, and Garry.  We discuss a modified Golden Butterfly portfolio, some meta-withdrawal strategy ideas and concepts, a process for deciding what to do with oneself, small-cap vs. small-cap value investments, some esoteric international tax issues and the new QQQY gambling problem fund.  And throw in some Tom Waits to boot.

Links:

Portfolio Charts Portfolio Matrix Tool:  PORTFOLIO MATRIX – Portfolio Charts

Five Regrets of the Dying:  The Top Five Regrets of the Dying - Wikipedia

Stephen Kotler "Flow" Video -- Short Version:  How to enter ‘flow state’ on command | Steven Kotler for Big Think - YouTube

Ethan's International Tax Article:  Nonresident alien investors and Ireland domiciled ETFs - Bogleheads

QQQY Summary Prospectus:  Microsoft Word - qqqy_497k-091523.docx (defianceetfs.com)

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In this episode we answer an email from Jeffrey about the "4% Rule".  We discuss its origins, its three parameters (portfolio construction, time frame, and withdrawal mechanism), how it works, what it means and doesn't mean, its uses and misuses and how to make adjustments to improve your own outcomes.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.   We have a rebalancing of the Levered Golden Ratio portfolio.

Additional links:

Bill Bengen's Original 1994 Safe Withdrawal Rate Paper:  FPA Journal - The Best of 25 Years: Determining Withdrawal Rates Using Historical Data (financialplanningassociation.org)

2022 Morningstar Report on Withdrawal Strategies:  Six Retirement Withdrawal Strategies that Stretch Savings | Morningstar

Risk Savvy Video Lecture:  Risk Savvy: How to Make Good Decisions - YouTube

Bias-Variance Dilemma Dartboard Explanation (also listen to Episode 49 of this podcast):  WTF is the Bias-Variance Tradeoff? (Infographic) (elitedatascience.com)

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