The PetroNerds Podcast

Russia, Risk, and Oil Prices


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Recorded November 4th, 2025 and September 17th, 2025
Episode 144 of the PetroNerds podcast is another heavy hitting PetroNerdy special. The body of this podcast is Trisha Curtis' talk to the Fort Worth Chamber of Commerce on September 17th, 2025. Trisha introduces this podcast with a fresh market update covering OPEC Plus' recent output increase, the Xi and Trump meeting, China and the US, geopolitics, the Fed, and the consumer. In this presentation and talk Trisha takes listeners through the oil market and the economy and begins the presentation and talk with oil prices and the health of the economy, the move to $65 oil on the back of Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries, Putin and Russia's drone incursions into European airspace, and Xi Jinping's SCO meeting with North Korea, India, and Russia, and China's military parade. Trisha talks about natural gas prices and the natural gas outlook and AI demand and power generation, US vs. China and the AI race, and OPEC Plus and Saudi output and market share. She gets into oil prices and the sentiment of the oil industry, crude oil inventories, explaining tariffs and what they mean and why, tariffs on India and China, Chinese crude oil stockpiling, and China's support of Russia. Trisha further dives into tariffs being about China and competition with China, the US manufacturing industrial base, manufacturing and the role of power generation. She gets into the rig count, longer laterals, the efficiency of the service sector and the resilient output of US shale, LNG exports and prices, global LNG market, US natural gas prices and residential natural gas prices, EIA nat gas price spike projections, and electricity prices. She talks about global coal consumption, Chinese coal consumption, global electricity, Chinese electricity, and Chinese oil and gas consumption and their economy. The last 15 minutes are filled with excellent questions from the audience including peak oil, coal and electricity prices, and oil and natural gas prices projections.
Trisha Curtis' interview on Real America's Voice Steve Guber Show: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m0pIGZTrNX4
Trisha Curtis' opinion piece in the Daily Caller, "Winning Against China Means Winning on Energy": https://dailycaller.com/2025/10/19/opinion-winning-against-china-means-winning-on-energy-trisha-curtis/
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