WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown

SARB & Treasury Fight Over Inflation | Which MPs Hold Crypto?


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๐ŸŽ™๏ธย Worldwide Markets โ€“ Episode 642 ๐Ÿ“… Recorded: Tuesday, 5 August ๐Ÿ’ผ Host: Simon Brown ๐ŸŒ Powered by Standard Bank Shyft โ€“ The global money app for travel, shopping, payments & investing.

๐Ÿ”ฎ Market Highlights
  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ Purple Group* rocks ๐Ÿš€ Share price has more than doubled since April lows. ๐Ÿงพ PE at 56, but strong growth potential and product expansion. ๐Ÿ’ผ Simon holds the stock โ€” bought low, holding for the long term.

ย 

  • ๐Ÿฆย MPC shifts inflation target ๐ŸŽฏ ๐Ÿ”ฝ New anchor at 3%, down from 4.5%. โš ๏ธ Finance Minister pushes back โ€” governance concerns. ๐Ÿ’ธ Lower inflation = lower raises = better expectations management. ๐Ÿงจ Flip side: high real interest rates hurt growth & jobs.

ย 

  • ๐Ÿš—ย Vehicle sales boom ๐Ÿ“Š July sales >51,000 units โ€” highest since 2019! ๐Ÿ›ป Light commercial vehicles dominate, Mahindra sneaks into Top 10. ๐Ÿ’ฐ CMH* shines with low PE and high dividend โ€” Simon holds. ๐Ÿ“‰ Motus also cheap, but Simon prefers CMH.

ย 

  • ๐Ÿช™ย Gold miners printing money โœจ AngloGold Ashanti*:
    • ๐Ÿšœ Production +21%
    • ๐Ÿ’ฐ Free cash flow +149%
    • ๐Ÿ“‰ Net debt down 92%
    • ๐Ÿ’ต 80c dividend
    • ๐Ÿ’น Targeting R1,000/share โ€” already at R972! โœจ Gold Fields also up ~150% YoY on earnings.

ย 

  • ๐Ÿงพย US Bureau of Labor Statistics drama ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ”ฅ Trump fires BLS head after unfavourable jobs data. โ— Undermines trust in data โ€” risks U.S. credibility. ๐ŸŒŽ Bad precedent: Greece, Argentina, China have all suffered from politicised stats.
  • ๐ŸŠ Tariffs impact SA agriculture ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. tariffs on citrus & grapes kick in Thursday. ๐Ÿ“‰ Sector exposure: ~10% โ€” not massive but not zero. ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐ŸŒพ Some farmers and related stocks (e.g. Mpact) will take a hit.
๐Ÿง  Random Insights
  • ๐Ÿช™ Crypto in Parliament? ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Of 490 South African parliamentariansโ€ฆ only 2 declared owning crypto. ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ No surprise crypto isnโ€™t getting policy attention.

Simon Brown

* I hold ungeared positions.

All charts by KoyFin | Get 10% off your order

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