Schwab Network

Mark Hamrick believes the economy is in a much better spot now than it was three years ago, despite soft data showing concern for the economy. He weighs sentiment against recent inflation and employment prints to discuss expectations on Friday's jobs report. Mark looks even further ahead to what it means for the Fed and future interest rate cuts.

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Michelle Gibley gives viewers the state of global central bank policy. “Trade policy is really influencing action at most central banks,” she says, noting that the Bank of Japan cut its inflation forecast and Canada’s central bank paused its cycle. She also talks about the “distortions” in economic data as companies and consumers pull forward demand ahead of tariffs, adding this could create a “vacuum” of useful data in the future. Michelle emphasizes the need for clarity on trade around the world.

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James Demmert and Dan Ahrens break down McDonald’s (MCD) earnings. James says investors shouldn’t focus too much on same-store sales falling and considers the company solid. Dan disagrees, saying his restaurant ETF, EATZ, is underweight McDonald’s. He “disagrees strongly” with the CEO’s comments that MCD is not losing market share to fast casual, pointing to Brinker’s (EAT) umbrella of brands. They also look at Shake Shack (SHAK), where James says their expansion is “coming back to haunt them” as margins compress.

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Jim Thorne says a recession “only happens if we have a shock to the system,” and doesn’t consider the tariffs a big enough shock. However, he does expect growth to slow and the Fed to ease rates – saying they’re currently “reckless” and late in cuts. He considers tech a defensive sector and thinks we’ll ultimately see an economic environment like pre-Covid. “Secular growth in bitcoin is the place to be in,” he argues.

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Ahmed Khan with Morningstar says he "really liked" Meta Platforms' (META) earnings. His firm has a four-star rating on the stock with a $770 fair value estimate. When it comes to the outlook, he believes A.I. optimization in its social media platforms will serve as a primary driver for profitability by driving user and advertiser traffic.

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Amazon (AMZN) is expected to remove some of the fog surrounding consumer uncertainty with its earnings. Caroline Woods notes that AWS and A.I. advancements will still be important, though she expects retail outlook to be what investors watch the most. Analysts still remain largely bullish on the Mag 7 name, as Caroline notes optimism Amazon can absorb China's pricing pressures.

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Supermicro (SMCI) plummeted in the premarket after telling investors to expect earnings far below Wall Street's estimates. Jenny Horne notes that investor distrust in the company is adding to the steep sell-off. Starbucks (SBUX) released its latest earnings report, which did not win investors over.

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A slew of crypto-tied stocks are on deck to report earnings. Dan Novaes notes Strategy (MSTR) CEO Michael Saylor holds bullish sentiment on the company's outlook even with first quarter difficulties for Bitcoin price action. He adds that Block (XYZ) serves as a "picks and shovels" play for the crypto industry. Sarah Kunst expects Riot Platforms (RIOT) to have a "pretty good quarter" even if Bitcoin hits "price ceilings."

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Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) report earnings after the bell. Hilary Kramer says Apple needs to "shock the system" by posting $100 billion in revenue to see a post-earnings rally. On Amazon, she sees the company's AWS cloud platform being challenged by Microsoft (MSFT) Azure, seen through its earnings Wednesday evening. Outside of the Mag 7, Hilary expects Palantir (PLTR) to rally anywhere between $150 to $200 despite its massive uptrend investors already saw.

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Jason Brown sees stocks that can weather consumer turbulence, including Amazon (AMZN), which he believes holds pricing power with tariffs and thinks shares are oversold. He also turns to the bullish and bearish trends he sees in Whirlpool (WHR) and CME Group (CME). Rick Ducat dives into the charts to highlight moves supporting James's picks.

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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D

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