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An interest rate hold from the Fed is not totally off the table, argues Scott Martin, though he sees the stock market continuing a bull run regardless of the decision. He believes investors will react positively if the Fed shows signs of stepping back and letting stocks and the economy "run on their own." Looking ahead, Scott likes the energy and consumer staples sectors even if earnings overall take a step back from higher interest rates.
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A 25 bps interest rate is baked into markets, says Jeff Mortimer, the question will be how Wall Street prices a tentative rate hiking cycle pending on how hawkish Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is on Wednesday's decision. He thinks one or two hikes is something stocks can handle, but anything more than that will lead to a stumble in equities and the greater U.S. economy. However, Jeff makes the case the stock market remains in the middle stages of a bull run, though he argues investors in the Mag 7 should diversify.
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"At the end of the day, rates tend to do quite well when inflation comes under control," says CFO of Realty Income Jonathan Pong. He discusses what the Fed's likely interest rate hike means for the greater U.S. economy and Treasury yields, including what moves in the bond market signify for forward momentum in equities. Jonathan also explains how his company is becoming involved in data center deals and why he sees the venture as a long-term investments.
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Bitcoin, Ethereum and crypto-tied stocks sold off after the U.S. Senate failed to get enough votes for a key step in passing the Clarity Act. Tech's mixed picture set an unsteady foundation for the Fed's interest rate decision Wednesday. Marley Kayden takes investors through the top stories for Tuesday's trading session.
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Brian Moody highlights Nissan as a top contender in the automotive industry, crediting its growing U.S. presence and new hybrid technology for a significant turnaround. He also sees strong opportunities in Stellantis (STLA) and General Motors (GM), points to Hyundai and Kia's domestic manufacturing and hybrid sales, and notes Rivian and Volvo's contributions to the evolving electric vehicle market.
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SoftBank has collected an $11.87 billion, two-year loan to help finance its OpenAI investments, while crypto-tied assets sold off after the U.S. Senate failed to pass the Clarity Act. Sam Vadas and Marley Kayden carry investors through their top takeaways before the Fed's interest rate decision Wednesday.
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Ben Connard of Carnegie Investment Council offers three stock picks, starting with TSMC (TSM) for its strategic AI infrastructure position and efforts to diversify manufacturing outside Taiwan. He then highlights Ulta Beauty (ULTA) for the resilience of beauty spending despite conservative guidance, and Donaldson Company (DCI), an industrial mid-cap with a strong recurring filtration revenue model that also benefits from AI data center construction.
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Dave Sekera with Morningstar Wealth says he "can't see" the Fed doing anything other than an interest rate hike for Wednesday's meeting. As for equities, he believes the S&P 500 (SPX) outside of the Mag 7 is fairly valued, though it comes with the market pricing in growth differentials between 2027 and 2028. Dave tells investors to stick with AI leaders like Nvidia (NVDA), Broadcom (AVGO), Alphabet (GOOGL), and Microsoft (MSFT) while warning against high-fliers like Micron (MU) and SanDisk (SNDK). He then offers a contrarian SpaceX (SPCX) take.
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Scott Ladner of Horizon Investments explains what the market expects from the Fed's upcoming rate hike decision. He also discusses the potential for an AI slowdown, where investors should position themselves—including a surprising take on European equities—and delves into the possibility of AI being regulated as a public utility in the U.S.
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Ken Roban of Reservoir Road Financial Group at Stewart Partners discusses the shift from TINA (There Is No Alternative) to TARA (There Are Reasonable Alternatives), highlighting opportunities in short-term bonds and targeted maturity ETFs in the corporate bond market. He also examines the Franklin Income Focused ETF (INCM), an actively managed fund that balances equities and fixed income to adapt allocations for risk control and income generation.
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