Schwab Network

Patrick DeHaan covers the outlook for gas prices as the national average rises to $3.19. He thinks it will continue to rise over the next week, but notes that this is still lower year-over-year. He also notes that the U.S. infrastructure for refineries was mostly built 50 years ago even as sources have changed over the years: from Canadian heavy to Middle Eastern light. He also looks at distillates, including diesel and jet fuel demand.

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Likefolio’s Landon Swan covers consumer sentiment data on Darden Restaurants (DRI). He gives his expectations for its earnings on Friday morning and compares it to peers. He notes monthly active users on its app are up over 20% year-over-year as a positive sign, with particular strength in Olive Garden.

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R. Craig Bealmear, CFO of Oklo (OKLO), discusses their deal with the U.S. Air Force to power a nuclear reactor in Alaska. He explains how building in a cold climate changes their plans, and the expanded uses for their energy. “It almost feels like we have unconstrained demand,” he says – supply is the biggest issue. Oklo is also building another facility in Idaho and is “getting ready” for another further down the road. “We’re getting close to putting revenue on the income statement.”

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John Lekas and Joseph Shaposhnik preview today’s FOMC decision. John thinks they’re in “no position to lower rates” because of the inflationary environment. He thinks the Fed will raise rates before they lower them, and that they wouldn’t move down until unemployment hit at least 5%. Joseph argues against that view, saying the Fed will be “laser-focused” on slipping CPI data.

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Don Kaufman is bearish on the TLT ETF and Zoom Communications (ZM), but bullish on Intel (INTC) as the company prepares to restructure its manufacturing headcount. For his bearish TLT trade, Don cites government spending and the "big, beautiful bill" chances of passing in Congress as a possible selling event for the bond market. For ZM, Don points to A.I. replacements and the return to office trends as a headwind for the software company. Later, he believes INTC could be set for a summer rally as it begins corporate layoffs. Rick Ducat provides the technical perspective on the charts.

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Carol Schleif thinks the market rally before the Fed conference today is notable. She lays out what investors should be watching around the world, but says “in general, markets tend to look through geopolitical risk…they don’t know how to assess it.” The worst of the tariffs are behind us, she assesses, as trade breakthroughs seem near. She previews the Fed dot plot, expected today after the FOMC meeting, and gauges how many rate cuts we might see this year.

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Accenture (ACN) earnings are set to report ahead of Friday's open. J.D. Durkin joins Nicole Petallides to help preview the company's report. He points to Accenture's prior earnings reports, saying almost 60% of the I.T. consultancy's revenue comes from its technology business. Later, Scott Bauer demonstrates an example options trade using a call diagonal strategy.

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Boeing's (BA) 787 Dreamliner Air India fleet passed Indian regulator testing after the fatal flight 171 crash. Frances Stacy says she's watching stock prices to see if it holds around $200 as safety concerns creep back in for the aerospace company. She believes the stock should bounce back, barring any negative macro headlines. She says it's a "wait-and-see" situation for airlines looking to order Boeing jets, saying the Air India crash may have quelled demand until clarity around the crash's cause surfaces. Then, Tom White provides example options trades in Boeing and GE Aerospace (GE).

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Jonathan Costello says investors should take notice of the growing space, which has evolved to offer more liquidity, diversification, and returns similar to private equity. According to Costello the secondary market has grown in importance as traditional exit options for sponsors have become more limited.

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IBM Corp. (IBM) shares rise to a new all-time high after the company introduced new agentic A.I. software. Diane King Hall joins Nicole Petallides to dive into IBM's move after BoFA analysts raised its price target to $320. Meanwhile, SolarEdge (SEDG), Enphase Energy (ENPH) and First Solar (FSLR) get price target cuts as legislative headwinds impact the solar energy industry. Later, Diane dives into a downgrade for Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) saying it's getting "docked" as the analyst at Argus points to weakening consumer spending as an impact to advance bookings.

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