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Geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran kept stocks in the red throughout the day. On stock movers, reports of OpenAI accusing Microsoft (MSFT) of anti-competitive behavior created new questions around their partnership. Jabil (JBL) closed as the SPX top performer after posting strong earnings centered on A.I. growth. Reddit (RDDT) also rallied on its A.I. prospects, while solar companies like First Solar (FSLR) and Enphase Energy (ENPH) plummeted. Marley Kayden takes a closer look into what's driving the day's biggest stories.

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Jonathan Costello says investors should take notice of the growing space, which has evolved to offer more liquidity, diversification, and returns similar to private equity. According to Costello the secondary market has grown in importance as traditional exit options for sponsors have become more limited.

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A.I. continues to drive big moves in the market, including today's Overlooked Stock. George Tsilis talks about Jabil's (JBL) earnings beat driven primarily by cloud and data center infrastructure growth. He offers investors a look into how these earnings can reflect a trend for Jabil and the greater A.I. picture.

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Charles Schwab's Nathan Peterson talks about the unusual dynamic he sees in markets between risk-on and risk-off price action. For one, he sees animal spirits in high-beta companies like CoreWeave (CRWV) continuing to gather unprecedented interest. However, it goes against other investors trimming risk exposure as geopolitical tensions mount between Israel and Iran. Nathan also discusses how Wednesday's FOMC interest rate decision can "murky the waters" for its July meeting.

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“This is the first time in [the energy conflict] the U.S. has been a net exporter,” says Ali Meli, and explains why that keeps oil prices low even as Middle East tensions rise. However, the conflict will still affect the global oil markets, including potentially routing tankers away from the Strait of Hormuz. He says that if prices spiked up to over $100 as some fear, it would be extremely short-term and not an “equilibrium price.”

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6,050 continues to be a wall in the SPX, though geopolitical tensions didn't help the index as it closed lower on the session. Kevin Green points to price action falling below a key metric on the 15-minute chart that opens room for bears to pull the SPX to lower lows. He also notes volatility risk with more economic data around the corner, along with the FOMC interest rate decision on Wednesday.

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Zed Francis says it's "pretty impressive" how different Tuesday's trading action was compared to Friday, noting the stark shift in interest rate trading. However, Zed argues the "flight to safety" aspect may not hold for long. He later weighs in on commentary from JPMorgan Chase (JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon warning investors of a "crack" in the bond market. As for the Fed, Zed sees three interest rates and expects more dovish guidance from Jerome Powell in Wednesday's decision.

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Frank McKiernan previews the FOMC meeting tomorrow. He expects only one rate cut this year, arguing economic growth is better than most people expect. He thinks the Fed will reiterate their data dependent, patient stance. He talks about the “contrarian bullish signals” he sees in the market, but thinks high interest rates and stagflation remain the biggest risks.

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Jacob Aiken-Phillips and Michael Green give their takeaways from the May Retail Sales report. Michael thinks a lot of demand from China was pulled forward, showing up in strength in furniture and other areas. He thinks people are ignoring the weakening labor market and that tariffs are a “tax on consumption.” He’s also wary of student loan repayments restarting. Jacob notes that control group numbers were strong but doesn’t think we’ve seen the full impact of tariff prices yet. He likes Costco (COST) and Walmart (WMT) in this environment.

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Solar companies aren't the only ones facing tax credit cuts. Morningstar's Seth Goldstein talks about President Trump signing congressional orders that would end EV tax credits in California. While Seth sees short-term EV adoption plummeting, he doesn't believe they affect the long-term picture. Turning to Tesla (TSLA), he explains why Morningstar has a $250 fair value price target even though the company trades well above that level.

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