Schwab Network

Cameron Dawson joins Morning Trade Live with her perspective on current geopolitical tensions impacting market activity. Her eyes are focuses on the crude oil chart, as she believes any significant moves in the energy product would have ripple effects on the economy and the Fed's fight against inflation. Ahead of the FOMC decision, she says the Fed will likely sit on its hands and stand pat until any clarity surfaces even it will take a "long time to get here." For the market, Cameron is watching the valuation level trading at 22x and weighs in on the tech sector's outperformance this year.

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Kevin Hincks provides the trading day's roadmap with all eyes on the FOMC rate announcement and Jerome Powell's press conference. He dives into the morning's economic data, citing higher jobless claims numbers that are trending upward. Ahead of the FOMC, Kevin believes Powell will not say anything that changes the Fed's outlook but will be closely monitoring the "Dot Plot" for any changes. Kevin also cautions investors that any headlines from the Israel-Iran conflict could disrupt a day bookended by data and the Fed.

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Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, claims Meta Platforms (META) is seeking to hire his employees for its A.I. expansion, even offering $100M bonuses. He adds "so far none of our best people have decided to take them [META] up on that." Jenny Horne dives into the tech companies battle for A.I. talent as OpenAI deals with a potential break from Microsoft (MSFT) as well. Later, she turns to Intel (INTC) as the company will reportedly cut up to 20% of its factory workers.

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Rajiv Sawhney says the GENIUS Act passing in the U.S. Senate is a "momentous" occasion for the crypto industry and digital assets. He adds the impact it could have on financial services, blockchain use cases and says a majority of institutions will have some digital asset plans within the next 5-10 years. For Bitcoin (/BTC), Rajiv examines the differences between retail and institutional buyers as companies look for risk-hedges. Later he talks about Coinbase (COIN), Circle (CRCL) and crypto-related companies in today's market.

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OpenAI's CEO Sam Altman says Meta Platforms (META) has tried luring the A.I. company's top employees with bonuses as high as $100M. However, Altman added that none of his OpenAI team has departed for Mark Zuckerberg's social media company. Rick Ducat joins the Movers to look at the META chart over the near-term, citing potential resistance at current levels. Then, Rick illustrates an example put vertical options trade with a bullish tilt.

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Title: Watch the Dots: Previewing June's FOMC Decision

Description: Yelena Shulyatyeva says today's focus from the FOMC meeting will be "the dots" or the latest Summary of Economic Projections, which will indicate the central bank's forward-looking rate cut assumptions. Yelena adds that despite downward surprises in the last 4 inflation readings, she believes inflation will come via tariff policy as it slowly trickles into the economy. She discusses the state of the labor market as it relates to the Federal Reserve's dual mandate to achieve maximum employment and stable inflation.

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Futures are muted ahead of Wednesday's trading day. The FOMC is expected to leave rates unchanged in today's announcement and investors will be listening to see how the Fed is seeing the U.S. inflation and employment outlook. Tom White discusses what will factor into the Fed's dot plot, the latest developments from the Iran-Israel conflict and other data to be watching today.

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Reports of Intel (INTC) plans to lay off up to 20% of its factory workforce has shares on the move ahead of Wednesday's open. Kevin Horner examines the technical perspective of Intel's chart, including a 5-year perspective of the semiconductor manufacturer's long-term decline. Kevin says any slippage below the $19 level is something to watch, as its RSI uptrend has risen on each test of that point.

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Intel (INTC) is planning layoffs at its manufacturing plans, the investigation into Air India crash of a Boeing (BA) plane continues, and Netflix (NFLX) strikes a deal with a European linear TV channel. Tom White has the latest.

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John Kosar walks through the Asbury 6, an “EKG for the market.” Four of their metrics are negative, while only two are positive, and he explains what the model is telling him about market direction. “Follow the signal rather than the noise,” he emphasizes. “If the market can’t start to move higher again over the next week or so, we could be in for a surprisingly sharp move down.” However, he thinks the April lows will hold.

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