Pratik Chougule, TheWinner, and MagaVacuum discuss:

— Ron DeSantis's weird behavior, why he's overpriced in the betting markets, and how long to hold short shares. — The right price to pay for Tim Scott and other longshot candidates for the Republican nomination. — Side bets and the future of the political gambling community.

— Pratik Chougule on market manipulation and pump-and-dump schemes in political prediction markets — Gaeten Dugas on why he's betting against California Senator Dianne Feinstein resigning this year — Nic Horton assesses the likelihood of an Arkansan vice presidential nominee, discussing the odds on former Governor Asa Hutchinson, Senator Tom Cotton, and the current Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders — Abhi (@aenews_pi) explains how to profit in Insight Prediction's Russia-Ukraine war markets

Naman (@nmehndir) and Abhi (@aenews_PI) discuss their side bets on the odds of Russia nuking Ukraine by the end of June as well as the odds of a nuclear explosion by the end of the year. 

Both debate Pratik on the likelihood of an offensive nuclear war by 2050.

— Pratik Chougule analyzes Victoria University's response to the CFTC.

— Gaeten Dugas explains why he's making the largest bet of his career on George Santos not resigning from Congress. 

— Zeus O'Dea considers why the right is losing educated voters across the western world and whether this reality is being priced in on betting markets.

Pratik Chougule provides an update on the ongoing lawsuit between the CFTC and PredictIt now that the Fifth Circuit has rejected the CFTC's motion to dismiss the case and Victoria University has responded to the agency's questions.

Zoltar and Fred Norris debate their side bet on whether Fox News will be able to maintain its primetime ratings after Tucker Carlson's departure. 

StarSpangledGamblers.com

Joe Biden announced his campaign for re-election, but the markets still give him less than an 80% chance of securing the Democratic nomination for president. Perhaps foremost among trader concerns are questions about Biden's health. 

To investigate the issue, Tessa Barton, a computational photographer, AI Research Scientist, and political gambler, has compiled a video database of Biden.

Tessa comes on the show to explain what computer vision tells us about Biden's cognitive decline and discusses how to bet on her insights.

Follow her research at BidenHealthChecker.com.

As part of our continuing coverage of longshot Republican presidential candidates, Arkansas politics expert Nic Horton joins the show to discuss Asa Hutchinson's presidential bid. Nic explains why Hutchinson probably isn't going to be the longshot that breaks out. 

In part 2, professional gambler Zeus O'Dea discusses the possibility of a Jeremy Corbyn comeback in the UK and what it means for the future of left-wing politics in the west. Zeus has a side bet with Paul Krishnamurty on the issue, which we dive into on the pod.

Argentina's upcoming presidential elections are looking like a volatile and uncertain contest between a number of colorful candidates. Among others: an incumbent with a track record of racist comments overseeing 100%+ inflation, a Harvard Business School grad, and an anarcho-capitalist tantra instructor. 

Latin America based financial analyst Ian Bezek returns to the show to assess the odds on Smarkets and how you should trade in the run-up to primaries in August and the general election in October. 

In part 2, Casino.org reporter Steve Bittenbender and Pratik Chougule continue to analyze the CFTC's response to PredictIt, including its subtle suggestion that PredictIt users should sue Aristotle.

— Jason Pipkin and Pratik Chougule discuss which longshots for the Republican nomination for president are worth buying — Zubby Badger assesses when Congress and the Biden administration are likely to reach a debt ceiling deal — Casino.org reporter Steve Bittenbender predicts that political gambling deregulation might not happen until the 2028 elections — Zoltar "retires" from political gambling

— Jason Pipkin on how to bet on the fallout from Trump's New York indictment — Zubby Badger on the future of Kalshi, why Julie Su's nomination for Secretary of Labor is in trouble, and how to make money from confirmation markets. — Gaeten Dugas and Zoltar wrap up Golden Modelos coverage with an award for 2022 Trader of the Year