Weaker jobs numbers, rising Japanese interest rates, AI bubble fears, and election-year uncertainty are among the many factors posited as the cause of the stock market's steep declines this week, and the lengthy period of elevated interest rates in the United States has helped create this fragile economic environment more vulnerable to recession. A major economic downturn would be keenly felt for apartment operators facing continued challenges with lower rent growth and higher expenses, but given the magnitude of housing demand, the proven resilience of apartment assets, and the likelihood of lower interest rates, many investors are anticipating more activity and opportunity in the multifamily investment market.

Sources discussed in this episode:

Axios: “The Stock Market Slump Doesn’t Mean We’re in a Recession” - https://www.axios.com/2024/08/06/stock-market-recession

Bloomberg: "My [The Sahm Rule] Recession Rule Was Meant to Be Broken" -

CRE Analyst: "Sorry, low rates can be bad for real estate…" - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/cre-analyst_sorry-low-rates-can-be-bad-for-real-estate-activity-7226198761625018370-QE-4

The Wall Street Journal: “Fannie, Freddie Are Poised to Tighten Real-Estate Lending Rules” - https://www.wsj.com/real-estate/fannie-mae-freddie-mac-commercial-property-lenders-brokers-rules-116907c2

Yardi Matrix: “National Multifamily Report, July 2024” - https://www.yardimatrix.com/publications/download/file/5938-MatrixMultifamilyNationalReport-July2024

Apartment List: "National Rent Report" - https://www.apartmentlist.com/research/national-rent-data

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DISCLAIMERS: This video does not constitute professional financial advice and is for educational/entertainment purposes only. This video is not an offer to invest. Any offering would be made through a private placement memorandum and would be limited to accredited investors.