StocktwitsTV

StocktwitsTV

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StocktwitsTV episodes

  • We Analyze Retail Favorites: Is Zooks/Kuiper or Reddit's Ad Revenue More Exciting?

    Episode 3 is live — and we’re ripping through three names with very different vibes.

    First up: Amazon. Everybody knows the marketplace and AWS… but Brad’s flagging two segments that could get way more attention in the coming years: Zoox (autonomous taxi) and Kuiper (satellite internet). Then we hit why the stock’s been sluggish, what’s actually holding it back, and why the valuation conversation gets interesting when you look at EBIT.

    Next: Lemonade. Joey uses it for homeowner’s insurance, and we get into what the company actually does, why the “AI-native” buzzwords might be legit here, and the insurance metrics that matter (yes, the acronyms are annoying).

    And then Joey tries to do what he promised: pitch a stock from his universe that Brad should add to his coverage… Reddit. We talk web traffic, ad targeting, ARPU growth, the LLM licensing angle, and the bear case risks you’d actually want to think about.

    Drop a comment with what ticker you want on the next episode — and if you want Brad to deep dive Reddit, you know what to do.

    Disclaimer: All opinions expressed on this show are solely the opinions of the hosts’ and guests’ and do not reflect the opinions of Stocktwits, Inc. or its affiliates. The hosts are not SEC or FINRA registered advisors or professionals. The content of this show is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decision. Read the full terms & conditions here: https://stocktwits.com/about/legal/terms/

    #talkintickers

    Chapter Timestamps

    00:04 - Welcome to Episode 3 + what we’re covering

    00:57 - Amazon breakdown: marketplace + AWS
    01:40 - The segments people forget: Zoox + Kuiper
    03:03 - “Amazon stalking in the background” (Zoox/Kuiper vs the usual names)
    04:02 - Amazon stock performance + why 2025 felt disappointing
    05:18 - What’s holding AMZN back: CapEx + concentration worries
    06:31 - Amazon AI monetization signs (Rufus, Connect)
    07:24 - Robotics + fulfillment efficiency + the “infrastructure then apps” cycle
    09:14 - Amazon’s long game: turning expenses into revenue streams
    10:10 - Valuation talk: earnings vs EBITDA vs EBIT
    10:34 - Brad’s stance on Amazon’s valuation (EBIT growth framing)
    12:33 - Key risks to watch: OpenAI reliance + consumer buying power
    13:22 - Lemonade intro: what the company actually does
    14:28 - Lemonade chart history + why it caught the AI wave
    16:33 - Lemonade earnings: the insurance metrics (IFP, GEP, GLR)
    17:43 - What drove the drop: sentiment vs fundamentals
    20:14 - Why Lemonade’s AI claims look real (OpEx scaling + LAE)
    24:06 - Joey’s real Lemonade user experience (and why it feels different)
    27:09 - Joey’s Reddit pitch: what it is and why advertisers love it
    29:56 - Reddit numbers + valuation framing
    32:09 - LLM licensing angle + incremental profitability debate
    34:30 - Brad’s risk checklist (commoditization + platform dependence)
    36:46 - Reddit web traffic rank talk + why the product works
    39:22 - Brad’s takeaway: “Yeah… it’s exciting” + deep dive tease
    40:29 - Wrap: where to follow Brad + what’s next

    42 min
  • Gas Prices About to Spike 50 Cents? Here's What's Coming

    Oil just ripped from about 79 a barrel a week ago to nearly 120 at the peak, and Michele Steele sits down with Hardika Singh, economic strategist at Fundstrat, to explain what is happening and why investors should care.

    Hardika walks through the sequence of shocks investors have faced this year and why oil is the third major surprise. They focus on the Strait of Hormuz, where about 20 percent of the world’s oil passes through, and why the US is more insulated thanks to shale and exports, but still exposed through the cost of imported goods if Asian producers face higher energy prices.

    They also break down the inflation and Fed problem. If oil remains elevated, inflation can re accelerate, which makes it harder to argue for rate cuts, especially if leadership pressure pushes in the opposite direction. Hardika adds historical context, saying geopolitical events often hit markets in the short term but tend to fade over the long term, and that buy the invasion sell the rumor has worked in most past conflicts. The catch here is that a prolonged disruption through Hormuz would be a true black swan, and that is when prior records can get tested.

    Finally, they discuss what Wall Street understands that Main Street often misses: pump prices usually lag futures, but the move can still show up as meaningful increases at the pump. Hardika shares the single number she is watching to gauge whether this gets better or much worse: the prior Brent record near 147.

    Disclaimer: All opinions expressed on this show are solely the opinions of the hosts’ and guests’ and do not reflect the opinions of Stocktwits, Inc. or its affiliates. The hosts are not SEC or FINRA registered advisors or professionals. The content of this show is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decision. Read the full terms & conditions here: https://stocktwits.com/about/legal/terms/

    #stocktwitstv 

    Chapters

    00:00 - Oil spikes from 79 to nearly 120

    00:25 - Why oil is the third big shock of the year
    01:17 - US strikes Iran and supply fears surge
    01:43 - Oil feeds inflation and other commodities
    02:01 - Strait of Hormuz context and why investors should care
    02:22 - 20 percent of global oil passes through Hormuz
    02:48 - How higher oil abroad hits US imports and inflation
    03:16 - Fed policy mismatch risk if oil rises and rates fall
    04:11 - How big is this disruption versus history
    04:28 - Why geopolitics fades over the long term
    05:11 - Buy the invasion sell the rumor pattern
    05:36 - How long prices stay high depends on expectations
    06:23 - What could cool prices: escorting ships through Hormuz
    06:52 - Why a prolonged closure is a black swan
    07:52 - Wall Street vs Main Street: what people miss
    08:26 - Pump prices lag futures, but increases are coming
    09:00 - Why 5 dollar gas matters for consumers
    09:47 - Weak job growth and consumer spending risk
    10:38 - Gas as a tax and why consumer spending matters
    11:08 - One number to watch: prior Brent record
    11:45 - 147 a barrel level and what it would signal
    12:42 - Wrap and what to monitor next

    The recent surge in crude oil prices, jumping from $79 to nearly $120 a barrel in just one week, highlights significant volatility in commodity markets. This drastic increase, largely influenced by the ongoing iran war in the middle east, raises concerns about a potential supply shock. Experts are warning that these higher gas prices could reignite inflation and complicate future interest rate decisions.

    14 min
  • NVDA Smashes Q1 Guide: What It Means for Micron, Memory, and the AI Trade

    Welcome back to StocktwitsTV on the road. Host Michele Steele is joined by Michael Parekh, ex Goldman and author of the I Return to Zero Substack, to break down Nvidia earnings as the numbers hit.

    Nvidia delivered a massive quarter with revenue coming in at $68 billion and record data center revenue of $62 billion. The market immediately shifted to the April quarter guide, where Nvidia forecast Q1 revenue of $76.4 to $79.5 billion, beating expectations by several billion dollars. Michael’s takeaway is simple: the AI infrastructure ramp is not slowing, it is compounding, cutting through a wall of worry around bubbles, demand, and the broader AI narrative.

    They dig into what is actually constrained in this cycle. Michael says the entire AI data center stack is in short supply for the next year or two, from GPUs to memory chips, and he flags power as another critical input the tech industry does not fully control. Michele asks about gross margins, which came in at 75 percent, and Michael explains why Nvidia, like Apple, sits at the front of the line at Taiwan Semiconductor, giving it more flexibility than competitors, even as demand remains broad enough that multiple players can benefit.

    Finally, they discuss how this beat could impact the broader sector. Michael expects sentiment to stay volatile but rejects the idea of a software apocalypse, aligning with Jensen that the selloff logic is wrong. He highlights Jensen’s message that computing demand is growing exponentially and that the agentic AI inflection has arrived, pointing to real traction in tools like Claude Code and newer open agent frameworks that expand what chips can enable across industries.

    Disclaimer: All opinions expressed on this show are solely the opinions of the hosts’ and guests’ and do not reflect the opinions of Stocktwits, Inc. or its affiliates. The hosts are not SEC or FINRA registered advisors or professionals. The content of this show is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decision. Read the full terms & conditions here: https://stocktwits.com/about/legal/terms/

    Chapters and Timestamps

    00:00 Intro

    00:58 Nvidia quarter: $68B revenue, $62B data center record
    01:32 Q1 guide: $76.4 to $79.5B and what it signals
    02:18 Demand “off the charts and sold out” plus memory stack impacts
    02:41 Power as the other key bottleneck
    03:04 Gross margin 75 percent: peak or durable
    03:25 Supply chain advantage at Taiwan Semiconductor
    03:44 Competitors and why it is not zero sum
    04:08 Hyperscaler CapEx and diminishing returns debate
    05:03 Why GPUs still take the bulk of spend, memory rising but smaller on data centers
    05:51 NVDA after hours reaction
    06:12 Demand runway: limited for 1 to 3 years, secular turn
    07:13 Chatbots to agents: why compute needs go 5x to 10x
    08:08 Valuation ceiling question and the post Blackwell roadmap
    09:15 Pickaxes and shovels: why investors extrapolate to 2030
    09:58 Jensen and the software selloff: “illogical”
    10:26 Volatility and the wall of worry
    11:10 Why the software apocalypse thesis is wrong
    11:55 Bottom up understanding: what these tools enable
    12:23 Jensen quote: computing demand exponential, agentic inflection arrived
    12:42 Why agentic is now practical
    13:08 Claude Code traction and exponential adoption
    13:56 Why Jensen’s words carry more weight
    14:30 Open source agents and OpenAI acquisition mention
    14:51 Wrap and Michael Parekh plug

    16 min
  • NVIDIA Dominance: How Long Can It Last?

    We’re 24 hours out from Nvidia Q4 earnings, and Michele Steele sits down with Shay Boloor to break down what really matters for the AI bellwether.

    Shay calls it the Super Bowl of earnings and makes the case that Nvidia is the foundation for the entire AI cycle, no matter where the narrative swings. Then he gets specific on what could move the stock from a six-month range: China and H20 chip commentary, Blackwell timing and “pause” fears that may be normal upgrade behavior, and why the market still isn’t fully pricing the long-term China opportunity.

    They also dig into what’s next for Nvidia beyond the obvious: inference as the bigger opportunity over time, the opening for second-source suppliers as hyperscalers look to reduce the Nvidia tax, and why physical AI and robotics could expand the addressable market as AI moves from the cloud into factories and real-world systems. Finally, Shay explains where money could flow after Nvidia reports, why memory and Micron may matter more than the market expects, and why he’s watching Microsoft’s next CapEx signals as an even bigger catalyst for the AI complex.

    Disclaimer: All opinions expressed on this show are solely the opinions of the hosts’ and guests’ and do not reflect the opinions of Stocktwits, Inc. or its affiliates. The hosts are not SEC or FINRA registered advisors or professionals. The content of this show is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decision. Read the full terms & conditions here: https://stocktwits.com/about/legal/terms/

    Chapters / Timestamps

    00:00 - Super Bowl of earnings: Nvidia is “the foundation”

    00:25 - 24 hours to NVDA Q4: will it move the market
    01:34 - Why “dominance” feels priced in
    02:36 - What’s next for NVDA after the rerate
    02:55 - China and H20 chips: long-term opportunity, headline risk
    03:31 - Blackwell pause fears: upgrade timing vs demand problem
    04:08 - China not fully priced: call option framing
    05:10 - Why NVDA is only 27x: TPU fears, fatigue, second-source pressure
    06:03 - Hyperscalers want a second source: AMD validation
    06:51 - What Shay wants most: China, inference, and post-Grok talk
    07:52 - Physical AI: robotics, autonomy, Omniverse factory vision
    09:23 - CES vibes: factories run by Omniverse and robotics
    09:46 - If physical AI gets framed well, does NVDA break out
    10:10 - Training vs inference: ROI and permanence argument
    11:13 - What-if game: beat and raise scenario
    11:44 - Where money flows next: memory and Micron
    12:31 - Memory pricing power: character change, not product cycle
    13:14 - Pricing passes through: customers vs consumers
    14:06 - Does NVDA lift the sector: why Microsoft may matter more
    14:58 - AI trade shifting: hardware to software
    15:25 - GTC in March: narrative reset vs earnings commentary
    16:11 - What matters tomorrow: margins, commentary, status quo
    16:52 - Wrap: watch Stocktwits after hours

    18 min
  • Meta vs. Palantir vs. Nike vs. Lululemon: Fundamentals, Valuations, and the Software Sell-Off

    Three, two, one — welcome back to Talkin’ Tickers, Episode 2. Joey Rockets here with Brad Freeman, aka StockMarketNerd, and we’re diving into four of the most popular retail names through the only lens that matters when the market’s playing whack-a-mole: fundamentals.

    We kick it off with Meta — the “half the planet is basically logged in” company — and talk the real debate: the CapEx monster, whether the AI spend is translating into monetization and engagement, and why Meta can still snap its fingers and become a free cash flow printer if it ever has to.

    Then it’s Palantir… and yeah… the company’s a monster, the numbers are a masterpiece, and the valuation is absolutely unhinged — so we get into what has to go right from here, why “valuation-only” bear cases can get you sent to the shadow realm, and why being bullish on the company can still mean being neutral on the stock.

    After that, we cool the brain down with something simple: Nike. Inventory cleanup, discounting scars, wholesale partner relationships, and why this might be a “green shoots first, chase later” setup if the turnaround keeps stacking proof.

    We wrap with Lululemon — the former disruptor that’s feeling disrupted — and talk mindshare, product execution, competition (yes, Vuori and Alo), what it would actually take to re-earn a premium multiple, and why new leadership talk is not enough without receipts.

    Drop a comment with what you want us to cover next — and if you’re still enjoying this software sell-off… please teach us your ways.

    Disclaimer: All opinions expressed on this show are solely the opinions of the hosts’ and guests’ and do not reflect the opinions of Stocktwits, Inc. or its affiliates. The hosts are not SEC or FINRA registered advisors or professionals. The content of this show is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decision. Read the full terms & conditions here: https://stocktwits.com/about/legal/terms/

    Chapter Timestamps (formatted per your preference)

    00:00 - Intro: Episode 2 setup + the “software sell-off” pain

    01:02 - Meta overview: family of apps, Reality Labs, user growth
    12:10 - Palantir overview: “digital twin” and what it actually does
    15:43 - Palantir valuation: unbelievable company, unbelievable multiple
    22:06 - Nike overview + recent performance context
    23:43 - Nike bull case: inventory cleanup, wholesale reset, leadership fixes
    26:58 - Nike valuation + what needs to show up next
    33:09 - Lululemon overview + why the story got harder
    36:29 - Competition + mindshare losses (Vuori/Alo/Hoka/On)
    38:45 - Lulu valuation + CEO/search + what would change the narrative
    42:28 - PayPal takeover tangent (because markets are unserious)
    46:04 - Wrap-up: stances on all four names + closing remarks

    47 min
  • Opendoor CEO Kaz: Monster Q4 Beat, AI Code Explosion, and the Path to Profitability

    Opendoor just delivered a monster Q4 beat — and retail investors lit up the Stocktwits stream as the stock ripped pre-market. In this must-watch interview, Opendoor CEO Kaz Nejatian breaks down what actually changed inside the business, why Q1 revenue can drop even as the company gets structurally healthier, and the single metric he says investors should model: contribution margin per cohort.å

    Kaz explains Opendoor’s cohort-based business model (buy homes, renovate, resell), why most Q4 sales came from inventory acquired before he arrived, and how a massive acceleration in acquisitions takes time to flow into revenue. He also shares surprising details on how AI is transforming execution speed at the company — including a mind-blowing stat on how much code was produced in eight weeks — plus commentary on profitability targets, inventory strategy (1P/2P/3P mix), the mortgage product going live in beta, and why he prefers direct communication over traditional press releases.

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    Chapters:

    00:00 - Opendoor interview intro + retail stream reaction
    00:36 - Kaz on joining 4 months ago + shipping a feature late-night
    01:24 - AI feedback loops accelerating execution
    01:47 - AI coding stat: “400,000 lines… only 400 handwritten”
    02:11 - Q4 beat vs Q1 guide: addressing the 10% revenue drop
    02:35 - Opendoor as a cohort business (inventory matters)
    02:56 - Why Q1 inventory is lower + 300% acquisition ramp timing
    03:46 - What matters more than revenue: contribution margin
    04:11 - Monthly contribution margin improving since September
    04:35 - October 2025 cohort: best ever (even ex-macro)
    05:50 - Institutions moving in + profitability talk (Q2)
    06:15 - Why Kaz doesn’t watch the stock price
    06:59 - Kaz’s $1 salary + being “levered” to the stock
    07:24 - Under-promise/over-deliver philosophy
    08:14 - Why adjusted EBITDA isn’t the best health metric
    09:07 - Macro/rates discussion + CEO comments on the Fed
    11:22 - Staying out of politics; focus on building a company
    12:29 - Housing demand unlock if mortgage rates fall
    12:56 - “Macro hard is good” mindset + not relying on rescue
    14:06 - Opendoor 2.0: capital-heavy to more asset-light vision
    15:06 - Why Opendoor believes machines can price unique assets
    16:30 - The core question: humans vs machines pricing homes/cars
    18:33 - Retail Q1: Canada expansion? (not soon)
    19:45 - Retail Q2: app rebuild / UX makeover plan
    21:24 - Retail Q3: break-even volume (homes/month)
    22:11 - Inventory mix: 1P vs 2P “Cash Plus” vs 3P platform
    23:27 - Mortgage product: live in beta
    24:38 - Shareholder communication + “no press releases” stance
    27:00 - What to watch: contribution margin per cohort
    28:12 - DJ question + Opendoor “album” story
    29:02 - Wrap

    Disclaimer: All opinions expressed on this show are solely the opinions of the hosts’ and guests’ and do not reflect the opinions of Stocktwits, Inc. or its affiliates. The hosts are not SEC or FINRA registered advisors or professionals. The content of this show is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decision. Read the full terms & conditions here: https://stocktwits.com/about/legal/terms/

    30 min
  • SaaSpocalypse Explained: “Seat to Stack” Rotation in Agentic AI (PLTR, NET, CRWD, SNOW)

    The SaaSpocalypse isn’t just a selloff — it’s a full repricing of traditional SaaS as agentic AI changes how software gets bought. Michele Steele sits down with Shay Boloor to break down the “seat to stack” rotation: money isn’t necessarily leaving tech… it’s shifting from seat-based apps (think per-employee pricing) to the layers of the agentic AI stack where incremental value is accruing.

    They explain why legacy SaaS may survive but gets treated as the “legacy layer,” while the market starts paying up for orchestration, security/identity, connectivity, and data plumbing. Using a clear “legacy layer test,” Shay walks through why some companies are getting punished, why Palantir is being treated differently than seat-based software, and what names he likes across the stack — including CrowdStrike and Rubrik in security, Cloudflare as a connectivity control layer, and what Snowflake and MongoDB need to prove in the data layer.

    Chapters / Timestamps

    00:00 - Intro: Shay on the road (NYC)

    00:41 - SaaSpocalypse context + pivot to “agentic AI stack”
    01:11 - “Seat to stack” rotation explained
    01:29 - SaaS becomes the legacy layer; value moves up-stack
    02:30 - Why seat-based pricing gets disrupted by agents
    03:13 - Seat vs stack chart: Palantir vs Salesforce
    03:51 - Is the rotation permanent? “Painted with one brush” phase
    04:19 - Legacy layer test (Salesforce example)
    05:53 - Enterprise spend crossover: SaaS vs agentic stack
    06:35 - IT spend rises, but profit pools concentrate
    07:34 - Why “old app” budgets get cannibalized
    08:36 - Security layer: agents create an identity crisis
    09:11 - Palo Alto: acquisition-driven transition risks
    10:03 - Tier-one security picks: CrowdStrike, Rubrik; Zscaler debate
    11:42 - Dream combo: CrowdStrike + Zscaler (framework analogy)
    12:25 - “Plumbing layer” and why raw data + pipes matter
    12:48 - Cloudflare as connectivity control layer
    13:08 - Proof points: agent traffic doubled; RPO acceleration
    14:32 - Data layer: Snowflake + MongoDB (opportunity + vulnerability)
    15:23 - Snowflake AI-influenced bookings + key metrics to watch
    16:22 - MongoDB: database demand + CEO change
    17:12 - Wrap: portfolio re-imagining in the agentic era

    Disclaimer: All opinions expressed on this show are solely the opinions of the hosts’ and guests’ and do not reflect the opinions of Stocktwits, Inc. or its affiliates. The hosts are not SEC or FINRA registered advisors or professionals. The content of this show is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decision. Read the full terms & conditions here: https://stocktwits.com/about/legal/terms/

    18 min
  • PayPal Pain, Shopify Strength, SoFi Growth, DraftKings Warning + Google AI Comeback

    Welcome to episode one of Talkin’ Tickers — a fundamentals-first deep dive into some of the most popular retail names. Joey Solitro sits down with Brad Freeman (StockMarketNerd) to break down five heavily-followed stocks: PayPal, Shopify, SoFi, DraftKings, and Alphabet (Google).

    They get blunt on what’s gone wrong at PayPal (and why cheap valuation alone doesn’t fix a broken growth engine), why Shopify keeps earning a premium (durable growth + commerce infrastructure positioning), how SoFi blends bank economics with fintech cost advantages, why DraftKings’ volume trends and management credibility matter more than headline revenue, and what changed with Google.

    This is a fundamentals conversation — focused on business models, growth durability, management execution, and what the market is (and isn’t) pricing in.

    Disclaimer: All opinions expressed on this show are solely the opinions of the hosts’ and guests’ and do not reflect the opinions of Stocktwits, Inc. or its affiliates. The hosts are not SEC or FINRA registered advisors or professionals. The content of this show is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decision. Read the full terms & conditions here: https://stocktwits.com/about/legal/terms/

    Chapters:

    00:00 Intro: Talkin’ Tickers begins
    00:23 Show format + guest intro (Brad Freeman / StockMarketNerd)
    01:39 What StockMarketNerd is (research process + community)
    03:09 Stock #1: PayPal (overview + what went wrong)
    05:44 Why Venmo/Braintree strength isn’t enough
    08:04 Buybacks + potential asset moves
    09:02 Why a breakup isn’t simple
    10:17 “Value trap” discussion
    11:09 Stock #2: Shopify (overview + why it earns a premium)
    15:56 How to think about “expensive” compounders
    17:53 Shopify’s role in AI/commerce infrastructure
    19:13 Shopify as a share taker
    19:47 Stock #3: SoFi (overview + business segments)
    21:53 Beat-and-raise style + macro discipline
    23:41 S&P 500 inclusion question
    24:40 How to value SoFi (earnings vs bank vs fintech)
    28:04 SoFi bullish posture
    30:23 Stock #4: DraftKings (overview + why Brad exited)
    32:13 Why volume matters more than revenue noise
    33:38 Slowing handle growth + shifting narratives
    36:11 Core issue: numbers + management credibility
    37:56 Falling long-term estimates signal
    38:50 DraftKings: fixable, but work to do
    39:09 Stock #5: Alphabet/Google (overview)
    42:40 Multiple expansion: “left for dead” to AI leader narrative
    46:47 Capex debate + long-term positioning
    49:16 Trimming as thesis-played-out risk management
    50:20 Wrap + where to find Brad

    48 min
  • Micron's 2026 Shortage: The AI Stock Nobody's Talking About

    January’s jobs report looked solid on the surface but the big story is the massive revision to 2025 job creation, which sparked debate over how reliable the labor data really is. With CME FedWatch odds shifting toward rates holding steady in June, we break down which sectors could get pressured if rate cuts get delayed (real estate, homebuilders, REITs, smaller companies that rely on debt, and even consumer discretionary names like Amazon — plus Tesla as yields stay elevated).

    Then we pivot to the other major theme: AI and the market’s rotation from software into hardware. Marc Andreessen frames the debate — are chips and energy where the value is, and does software get commoditized? We talk through why Micron is reportedly sold out of chips through 2026, while software names like Salesforce and HubSpot have been getting hit and why some investors may be turning impatient only three years into what could be a 30-year AI cycle.

    We also cover Shopify’s record Q4 revenue ($3.67B, up 31%) and a $2B buyback, yet the stock still dropped as investors focused on margin pressure and AI investment costs. Finally, we tie it together with a simple takeaway: in high-rate uncertainty, investors tend to prefer “tangible” returns and that’s why AI hardware can trade like a perceived store of value versus software that still needs proof points.

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    Other Socials: https://linktr.ee/stocktwits_

    Chapters:

    00:00 Intro + January jobs headline
    00:31 130K jobs added; unemployment around 4.3%
    01:01 Massive 2025 revision: 584K to 181K
    01:19 Are these numbers reliable?
    01:59 Shutdown delays + private data (cuts/ADP) vs headline
    02:53 FedWatch shift: June “hold” odds jump
    03:16 Who gets hurt if rate cuts get delayed?
    03:52 Rate-sensitive watchlist: housing, small caps, discretionary, Tesla
    04:13 Potential upside: international diversification (UK/Asia)
    04:47 AI storyline: rotation from software to hardware
    05:14 Marc Andreessen clip: where is AI value accruing?
    06:01 Micron sold out through 2026; software names pressured
    06:53 Is the market too impatient with software?
    07:23 AI disruption question: improve vs obsolete
    08:08 “Generational buying opportunity” angle for software
    09:32 AI agents + Salesforce seat dynamic
    10:42 Shopify: record Q4 revenue + buyback, stock drops
    11:32 High-rate market = less forgiving on margins
    12:47 Hardware vs software parallels + “store of value” idea
    13:39 Micron framed as “gold” of AI hardware
    14:19 Crocs pops 20% + lifestyle/identity discussion
    15:49 Wrap

    Disclaimer: All opinions expressed on this show are solely the opinions of the hosts’ and guests’ and do not reflect the opinions of Stocktwits, Inc. or its affiliates. The hosts are not SEC or FINRA registered advisors or professionals. The content of this show is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decision. Read the full terms & conditions here: https://stocktwits.com/about/legal/terms/

    17 min
  • Shay Boloor on AI Bubble or Reality? Markets Are Telling Us Something

    The S&P keeps hitting fresh highs while the Nasdaq spins its wheels — and that divergence is sending a message about tech leadership in 2026. Shay Boloor breaks down why the “buy anything tech” playbook is getting stress-tested, why software multiples are in a platform transition, and how the AI theme is shifting toward “winner take all.”

    They also dig into: Palantir’s setup and why it may be in a different category than typical app software, whether state-level data center pauses matter for Nvidia and semis (or if demand just reroutes), a full bull case on Jumia after a volatile earnings reaction, a blunt critique of Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin strategy and how traders view Strategy as leverage, the “Musk economy” narrative around Tesla, and why Google issuing a 100-year bond is more confidence than stress — plus what it signals about AI infrastructure becoming long-duration buildout.

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    Disclaimer: All opinions expressed on this show are solely the opinions of the hosts’ and guests’ and do not reflect the opinions of Stocktwits, Inc. or its affiliates. The hosts are not SEC or FINRA registered advisors or professionals. The content of this show is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decision. Read the full terms & conditions here: https://stocktwits.com/about/legal/terms/

    00:00 Seahawks bet + Super Bowl banter

    00:43 S&P at fresh highs while Nasdaq lags
    01:10 Since Oct 29, 2025: how many S&P ATHs?
    01:54 What the divergence is signaling for tech in 2026
    02:29 “Penalty box” for CapEx-heavy AI/software
    02:55 AI economy: demand vs price action confusion
    03:03 Retail rotation into old-economy names
    03:27 Structural unwind and “carnage” in secular growth
    04:34 Software talk: SNOW, CRM, narrative “vibe shift”
    05:16 Software is in a platform transition (multiples reset)
    06:41 AI shifts to “winner take all” leadership question
    07:42 Palantir as an AI winner — who else joins?
    08:00 Palantir chart/support and why it’s “one of one”
    09:38 Data center pause headlines: semis/memory bubble fears?
    10:35 Local politics vs global data center demand rerouting
    12:21 Jumia earnings: revenue/GMV up, stock down — bull case
    13:27 Inflection: falling fulfillment cost, low cash burn, path to profitability
    15:14 Africa demographics + Starlink connectivity angle
    16:09 Michael Saylor on Bitcoin: “digital capital” + keeps buying
    17:12 Critique: Saylor and “poison pill” concern
    19:00 Strategy as leveraged Bitcoin tool vs long-term investment
    20:02 Tesla as a call option on the “Musk economy”
    23:13 Speculation + scrutiny: Musk ecosystem and market attention
    24:56 Google issues 100-year bond: confidence or top signal?
    26:32 AI infra is long-duration buildout; cloud reacceleration
    27:43 Why the bond market can underwrite it (cashflow context)
    28:06 Wrap-up

    29 min

About StocktwitsTV

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StocktwitsTV is our flagship show, serving as the primary touchpoint for timely market updates. Hosted by veteran television journalist Michele Steele, the show leverages her background at…