Sully's Two Cents

Updated 2021 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

TUSCALOOSA, AL – OCTOBER 17: Najee Harris #22 of the Alabama Crimson Tide celebrates after diving into the endzone for a touchdown in the second half against the Georgia Bulldogs at Bryant-Denny Stadium on October 17, 2020 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. (Photo by UA Athletics/Collegiate Images/Getty Images) Updated 2021 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

In episode 134, Sully is back, this time to talk about the impact of a 17-game schedule on the NFL as well as Fantasy Football. In addition, Sully updates his top-12 2021 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings in 1QB formats.

Thank you for listening to episode 134 – Updated 2021 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

For more great Fantasy Football content, subscribe to our website,  YouTube Channel and follow us on Twitter. Be sure to head on over to rookiedraftguide.com for all our rookie player reviews for both 2021 Offensive and Defensive prospect breakdowns. Become a VIP for only $6 to view all eight category rankings, and view the strengths and weaknesses our team has identified for each player.

133- AFC Free Agency Recap

Hello Heat Seekers, welcome to episode 133 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast.  I am you host; I am Rob Sullivan.  The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat family of podcasts.

Last week we ran through the key player moves in the NFC and this week we are back to take a look at the key moves in the AFC.

The NFL Salary Cap shrunk to $182,500,000 for the 2021 season. In 2020 the cap was $198.2MM.  as a result of the Coivid-19 pandemic and a massive reduction in league revenue in 2020, Team are forced to make do with 15.7MM less in 2021. 

So, lets drive right in!

AFC East

AFC Free Agency Recap

Buffalo BillsCap Space: $8,088,625Draft Slot: Pick 30

QB Mitchell Trubisky: Agreed to a one-year contract worth $2.5 million.RB Taiwan Jones: Agreed to a one-year deal.RB Matt Brieda: Agreed to a one-year deal.WR Emmanuel Sanders: Agreed to a one-year contract.TE Jacob Hollister: Agreed to a one-year deal.

The Sanders signing isn’t great news for Gabriel Davis, who was expected to function as the Bills’ clear-cut No. 2 outside WR after John Brown was released last week. This is suddenly a wide receiver room considering Cole Beasley has seen 106 and 107 targets over the past two seasons.

The good news for everyone involved is that this is truly a fantasy-friendly offense. Josh Allen ranked eighth in drop backs last season and second with at least four wide receivers on the field. The 2019 No. 2 scoring offense clearly is capable of enabling more than one high-end fantasy receiver; it’s just not clear who that will be.

I believe that we will see Sanders and Davis rotate, making Beasley the No. 2 target in this offense. Beasley is worthy of low-end WR3 consideration as his floor, while Diggs should continue to be drafted among fantasy’s top-five players at his position. Davis is the primary loser here; treat both him and Sanders as boom-or-bust WR4 options until we have any sort of confidence that one or the other has the edge in playing time.

The one thing that doesn’t change here is that Josh Allen remains a top fantasy QB will weapons all over the field to utilize in addition to his legs.

Miami DolphinsCap Space: $10,444,876Draft Slot: Pick 6, Pick 18

The Dolphins sent the number three overall draft pick in the 2021 NFL Draft to San Francisco in exchange for San Francisco’s 2021 first round (12th overall) draft choice, along with the 49ers 2022 and 2023 first-round picks and a 2022 compensatory third-round draft pick.

Miami sends the 12th overall selection to Philadelphia for the sixth overall pick in this year’s draft, and a 2022 first-round pick.  The Eagles will also ship the 156th overall pick to Miami and get the 123rd overall pick in the deal.

QB Jacoby Brissett: Signed a one-year, $5 million contract with a max value of $7.5 million.RB Malcolm Brown: Signed a one-year deal with $1.75 million fully guaranteed.WR Will Fuller: Signing a one-year deal worth $10.625 million fully guaranteed that includes another $3 million in incentives.OT Adam Pankey: Re-signed on a contract.OT Isaiah Wilson: Acquired in a trade with the Tennessee Titans (along with a 2022 seventh-round pick) in exchange for a 2021 seventh-round selectionC Matt Skura: Signing a one-year deal.

OK, so I have to say I was writing up the trade with the Niners for our website and the Fish made the move with the Eagles before I could finish it. 

NFC Free Agency Recap

Hello Heat Seekers, welcome to episode 132 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast.  I am you host; I am Rob Sullivan.  The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat family of podcasts.

I hope everyone is doing well, its officially the 2021 NFL offseason, as the NFL new year officially kicked off on March 17th.  With a new year comes new beginnings.  Players are finding new homes via trade or free agency, others are remaining with their teams on new contracts and 32 NFL have renewed hope for a championship season, realistic or not. 

The NFL Salary Cap shrunk to $182,500,000 for the 2021 season. In 2020 the cap was $198.2MM.  as a result of the Coivid-19 pandemic and a massive reduction in league revenue in 2020, Team are forced to make do with 15.7MM less in 2021. 

So, with that reduction in available salary, let drive into the transactions in the NFC, thus far.

NFC East

NFC Free Agency Recap

Dallas CowboysCap Space: $11,675,232Draft Slot: Pick 10

QB Dak Prescott: Signed a four-year, $160 million contract that has a max value of $164 million and includes $126 million guaranteed.

Hard not to like the fact that Prescott remains in Dallas.  Last season Dallas was an offense I wanted as many pieces of as I could get, and I wasn’t alone.  2021 should be more of the same. Dak went down in Week 5 last season, he was the top scoring fantasy when that game started and was QB4 when it ended averaging 27.7 points per game.

Other key members of the offense suffered big-time without Dak.  At the end of Week 5, Ezekiel Elliot was RB3, Amari Cooper was WR8, CeeDee Lamb was WR11, and Dalton Schultz TE12. When the dust settled on the 2020 season, Zeke Was RB9, Cooper WR15, and Lamb WR22.  Schultz held his own and finished as TE11. It remains to be seen how Prescott will look post-ankle injury, but at full health it’s tough to deny that the Cowboys look potent once again in 2021.  Dak will be a top-5 QB in my Dynasty rankings that come out later this spring.

New York GiantsCap Space: $1,321,867Draft Slot: Pick 11

Kenny Golladay: Agreed to a 4-year $72 million deal. It has a max value of $76 million and includes $40 million guaranteed.QB Mike Glennon: Signing a deal with undisclosed terms.RB Devontae Booker: Agreed to a two-year, $6 million deal.WR John Ross: Agreed to terms on a one-year deal worth $2.5 million, including $1 million guaranteed.TE Kyle Rudolph: Signed a two-year, $12 million deal with a $4.5 million signing bonus and a max value of $14 million.

When I started putting my notes together, I wasn’t too be excited about the 2021 version of the New York Giants. I figured that the biggest boost to this offense was going to be the return of Saquon Barkley. Well, before I could record this beauty, they went and signed Kenny Golladay.  I like this spot for Golladay.  I see him as a piece this offense has been missing and with Saquon, Kyle Rudolph, and now Kenny G, its on Daniel Jones to take the next step. 

Don’t worry about Golladay, this is a WR that finished the back half of 2019 as the WR16 with David Blough and Jeff Driskel as his QB’s.  Daniel Jones isn’t Peyton Manning but he absolutely better than Driskel and Blough.

A healthy Saquon Barkley will make everyone in that offense better.  The addition of Rudolph is a nice under the radar fantasy singing.  Rudy won’t be a fantasy relevant TE,

Episode 131 – Defining a Fantasy Stud

Episode 131 – Defining a Fantasy Stud.

Hello Heat Seekers, welcome to episode 131 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast.  I am you host, I am Rob Sullivan.  The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat family of podcasts.

So today, I am going to tackle something that quite honestly has bugged me for a long time now.  Fantasy Studs. What exactly qualifies one to be dubbed a fantasy stud.  People tend to throw that term around rather loosely and rather easily. I don’t know about of all of you, but I get trade offers all the time for a so-called “fantasy stud” and the offers leave me scratching my head and wondering what it is that I am missing here.

I took the question to Twitter, and well true to form Twitter being the cesspool that it can be wasn’t overly helpful. The two best answers I got from @SportsTalkSmart –  Someone whose production relates more to fantasy points than their team’s overall success.

The other answer that jumped out to me came from Brent Powers @TD_MFLAddons (slanted towards dynasty) 1. Production relative to his position. 2. Established and still not as his peak. 3. 5-7 more years in his career. I appreciate this answer as well and this is moving more to what I am getting at. I am not sure I agree completely with the definition. 5-7 years is a long time and if I have a RB that finishes as the top-12 RB for 2, 3,or 4 years I think I am going to call him a stud, and I am not banking on 5-7 more years of that production.

Naturally, I took this question to our great RotoHeat Dynasty Fantasy Football Community on Facebook, and as I have become accustomed to received great responses. 

Blair Dickey  – When I think “stud” my first thought is “top 4 or so” at their position on a fairly consistent basis (meaning like 70% of their seasons absent injury)

Josh Crab – to me a fantasy stud is a set it and forget it player. Generally, an accepted top 12 guy (RB1/WR1). When looking at onesie positions like QB and TE, then fantasy stud has to be the top tier guys. Guys that have proven themselves to be reliable at a very high level.

Mitch Sprague – When I think fantasy stud, I think top 5 at the position that consistently performs and is a guy that in any given Sunday could post 40 but you know will give at least 10.

Dallas Boyle – A consistent top 10 player at their position. Consistent being the key. 3 or more seasons of top tier play.

Jeff Robertson – Someone who is set and forget. Doesn’t matter the matchup, questionable tags, etc. If they are active, you start them without having to even think about it. On top of that, I would say top 4 or 5 at their position.

Adam Gruse – If they are on your roster you start them no questions asked, minus injury. Set and forget.

Before I go to deep here there is one piece, I feel I need to address. Justin Jefferson had a great rookie season, as did Justin Herbert, James Robinson, and Jonathan Taylor.  They are not Fantasy Studs folks, a rookie is not a fantasy stud IMO, we need to see it for more than one season. 

Some examples of why;

Peyton Hillis, Running Back, 2010 season

Peyton Hillis rose to fame at a rapid pace before fading away just as fast Hillis was drafted in the 7th round by Denver and like most 7th rounders didn’t see much action.  He was later dealt to the Cleveland and became the...

Fantasy Football Top 10 2021 Rookies

Hello Heat Seekers, welcome to episode 130 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast.  I am you host; I am Rob Sullivan.  The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat family of podcasts.

We are officially in the offseason and as I have discussed many times before, this podcast will take on a heavy Dynasty focus throughout the offseason. In episode 130, I am going to take my first of many looks at this 2021 Rookie Draft Class.  Today will be a very early look at my current top-10 and I will share with you all my preferred landing spot for these rookies, and my player comp for each of the ten. This list will likely change multiple times prior to the start of the season, draft capital will impact my rankings and to a lesser degree landing spot as well.

I believe that we really tend to make too much out of landing spot, it matters but it is not the be all and end all.  AJ Brown is an example of underestimating a player based on landing spot, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire is an example of overestimating a player based solely on the team that selected him.

Draft capital on the other hand I am a big believer in.  I shared hit rates with you all last season and I will be sharing those again with 2020 numbers included as we progress thru the offseason. Simply put and it should not come as a surprise, but the higher the player is drafted the more likely they are to have a good NFL career.  When we are talking skill positional players, good NFL careers mean good fantasy careers.

Fantasy Football Top 10 2021 Rookies

Kadarius Toney, WR, Florida

COLLEGE STATION, TX – OCTOBER 10: Kadarius Toney #1 of the Florida Gators runs the ball toward the endzone against the Texas A&M Aggies during the first half on October 10, 2020 at Kyle Field in College Station, Texas. (Photo by Tim Casey/Collegiate Images/Getty Images) Fantasy Football Top 10 2021 Rookies

In all honestly there are about 10 players that I could have selected to be here at 10 that I would be comfortable with, this draft is deep.  I selected Kadarius Toney after going back and watching his film a second time. 

The reason I went back and watched a second time, is because Matt Brown a prominent member of our RotoHeat Dynasty Fantasy Football Community over on Facebook is high on him.  Simply put, Matt has proven to be a good evaluator of talent and I respect and trust his judgment.  With that said his admiration for this prospect puzzled me.

Well after a second look, I am puzzled no more and I would say that Matt and I are on the same page.  I fully understand some of you to think that selecting Toney with the 1.10 is a reach.  I recently complete my first rookie mock of the season, and Toney went at 2.03.

First and foremost, Kadarius Toney is a very good route runner.  If you don’t know by now, we love good route runners here at RotoHeat and this will not be the first time I reference route running abilty this episode.  He is also electric with the ball in his hands, this is a kid that will do some damage.

His breakout season came in 2020.  In 11 games this season for the Gators, Toney caught 70 passes for 984 yards and scored 10 times.  Toney can line up all over the field, but he is best in the slot. I would prefer to see Kadarius Toney land in Tennessee with the Titans.  Sharing an offense with Ryan Tannehill, Derrick Henry and A.J. Brown would be fun to watch.  Toney has been receiving some 1st round NFL ...

CARSON, CA – OCTOBER 22: Darian Stewart #26 of the Denver Broncos interferes with the pass from Hunter Henry #86 of the Los Angeles Chargers during the first quarter at the StubHub Center on October 22, 2017 in Carson, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) 2021 Free Agent Tight Ends

2021 Free Agent Tight Ends

Hello Heat Seekers, welcome to episode 129 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast.  I am you host; I am Rob Sullivan.  The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat family of podcasts.

In Episode 129, I wrap-up the four-part series that takes an early look at the Free Agent class of 2021, and today we are talking the TE position. As usual I will be looking  at it from a fantasy perspective and give you my two cents on where I think the available RBs are best situated.

Of all the skilled positional players that come up for free agency the Tight End position is typically the least interesting especially from a fantasy perspective.  The number of Tight Ends that are available on a year-to-year basis is typically a lot less than the running backs and the wide receivers, and most TEs regardless of their contract status don’t move the fantasy needle.  But hey as long as leagues keep featuring the TE, I will keep talking about them.

At first glance the teams that don’t need to add a TE far outweigh the teams that do.  As lackluster as the TE position is in fantasy football, it might be the best it has been in recent memory and in fact maybe ever. This season there are several fantasy relevant Tight Ends that are due to hit the market. 

Starting with the free agent TEs that I believe will struggle to find a deal with a NFL club, and at the very least will have to wait well into the offseason.

Trey Burton

Trey Burton finished the 2020 season as a member of the Indianapolis Colts.  He totaled 28 catches for 250 yards and 3 touchdowns in 13 games.  Burton has played in seven seasons in the NFL and will turn 31 during the 2021 season.

In 2018 fresh off a Super Bowl ring and a game changing TD pass, Burton signed a $32 million contract, $18 million of which was guaranteed.  Burton failed to impress and was released by Chicago and latched on with the Colts on a one-year league minimum type deal last April.  It is possible that Burton signs on as a back up plan for a TE needy team this offseason and I wouldn’t rule out retirement for him either.  Regardless he shouldn’t be looked at as a TE that teams will seek to add instead, he’s one they may have to settle for.

Jacob Hollister

On the surface, Jacob Hollister would appear to be in a good spot with the Seattle Seahawks.  Greg Olsen has retired and as a result opened up a spot and a need at TE for the Seahawks. 

Hollister regressed from his career best totals in 2019, in 2020.  He concluded his 4th pro season with 25 catches for 209 yards and he scored three touchdowns.  Hollister is a backup TE, and a TE that very well may retain that role in Seattle in 2021.  My best guess is he will be waiting well into the offseason to secure a contract.

Richard Rodgers

2020 was Richard Rodgers 7th season in the NFL, and third as a member of the Philadelphia Eagles.  His 2020 season saw a little pop when both Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert was out with injury.  Other than that, Rodgers is best known for his TD catch on a Hail-Mary from Aaron Rodgers back in 2017.

2021 Free Agent Wide Receivers

TAMPA, FL – JANUARY 03: Buccaneers receiver Chris Godwin (14) runs with the ball after making a catch during the regular season game between the Atlanta Falcons and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on January 03, 2021 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) 2021 Free Agent Wide Receivers

Hello Heat Seekers, welcome to episode 128 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast.  I am you host; I am Rob Sullivan.  The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat family of podcasts.

In Episode 128, I continue the four-part series that takes an early look at the Free Agent class of 2021. Today we will focus on the WR position.  As usual I will be looking at it from a fantasy perspective and give you my two cents on where I would like to see these WR’s.

Similar to the group of Free Agent Running Backs that I reviewed last week, I believe that there are some Free Agent WRs that will have a hard time finding a gig in 2021. These WR are; AJ Green, Sammy Watkins, T.Y. Hilton, Breshad Perriman and Willie Snead.

Green has seen his play fall off dramatically due to injury the past three seasons, prior to that he was one of the elite WRs in the game.  At age 32 this might be it for AJ Green and if he is to sign on for a 2021 season, I would expect it to be late in the summer or early fall.

Sammy Watkins is another WR that has struggles to stay health basically his entire career.  Sammy struggled to get it done in KC, and if you can’t get it done in KC with Patrick Mahomes as your QB where can you?

TY Hilton, another aging WR that has had some injury woes recently.  His play did come on late in the 2020 season and the Colts do have that cap space to retain him.  Its possible he is back in Indy or he becomes a back up plan for those that swing and miss in the draft and free agency.  Hilton likely will have to wait for his contract this offseason. 

Perriman and Snead, I just don’t see either finding a deal until we get near training camp if at all.  If I had to put one in front of the other, it would be Perriman. Perriman is 28 compared to Snead who is 29, and Perriman has shown flashes while Snead has done little.

There are 12 however that I fee are and those are the players that I will be discussing, starting with:

Allen Robinson

2020 was Allen Robinson’s 7th year in the NFL and in those 7 seasons he has compiled a stat line of 457 receptions, 5999 receiving yards and 39 touchdowns. 

What makes A-Rob’s stats even more impressive is that his 2017 season was limited to 1 game, 1 catch and 1 yard due to a torn ACL.  Remove 2017 and he is averaging  76 catches, 999 yards, and 6.5 touchdowns a season.  What makes those numbers even more impressive, his quarterbacks have been Blake Bortles, Mitchel Trubisky and Nick Foles. In his three seasons in Chicago alone, his average season is 91 catches, 1120 yards and 6 touchdowns.  That is an average of 239 PPR points a season with border line horrific quarterbacks. Robinson is a WR that could slide into the WR1 on almost any team in the NFL.  So where is he going to land is a very difficult question to answer.

There is a very distinct possibility that Robinson does not go anywhere and that the Bears simply slap the franchise tag on him. Although that is a logical move for Chicago to take, it is boring, and I would rather predict a landing spot that is a little more interesting to think about.

2021 Free Agent Running Backs

ARLINGTON, TEXAS – JANUARY 05: Jeff Heath #38, Demarcus Lawrence #90, and Leighton Vander Esch #55 of the Dallas Cowboys combine to stop Chris Carson #32 of the Seattle Seahawks in the third quarter during the Wild Card Round at AT&T Stadium on January 05, 2019 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)2021 Free Agent Running Backs

Hello Heat Seekers, welcome to episode 127 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast.  I am you host; I am Rob Sullivan.  The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat family of podcasts.

In Episode 127, I continue the four-part series that takes an early look at the Free Agent class of 2021. Today we will focus on the RB position.  As usual I will be looking  at it from a fantasy perspective and give you my two cents on where I think the available RBs are best situated. Of all the skilled positional players that come up for free agency the running backs are the most interesting to me.  If you know me, I am not a fan of large second contracts for running backs. This season is even more interesting in my opinion based on the quality of the backs available in this free agent class. 

2017 was a great draft in terms of running backs and as a result 2021 is a real solid free agent class. As expected, Christian McCaffrey, Dalvin Cook, and Joe Mixon all part of that special draft class didn’t make it to free agency, Leonard Fournette the highest drafted of them all not only makes it here and he does so after playing for multiple teams.

There are a group of free agent running backs that I expect to remain Free agents well into the offseason and perhaps into training camp.  It happens every year, and in 2020 we saw this play out for Carlos Hyde who was a late add by the Seattle Seahawks and Devonta Freeman who was in street clothes until signing with the New York Giants prior to Week3.

The following free agent Running Backs are backs that I see struggling to find a contract, and if they do find one, I expect their role in the offense on the team that signs them to be quite limited.

Marlon Mack – Suffered a torn achilles in Week One.  There isn’t an injury that is harder for a running back to come back from.  With Johnathan Taylor, Nyheim Hines and Jordan Wilkins under contract in 2021, you can rule out a return to Indianapolis.  As a result, Mack falls out of a tier of running backs that I believe will top teams shopping lists this offseason.

Boston Scott – Scott was a 6th round pick of the New Orleans Saints back in 2018 and was released before the end of the season.  Scott surfaced in Philadelphia and showed some promise towards the end of the 2019 season after Myles Sanders was injured.  Scott struggled in 2020 despite the opportunity presented to him from yet another Sanders injury.  Scott is an average back and an undersized back at that.  Teams seeking a pass catching back at a discount will have a look at Scott closer to training camp.

Le’Veon Bell – It seems like just yesterday that Bell was the best RB in fantasy football and was in the midst of sitting out the 2018 season instead of playing on the franchise tag with the Steelers.  With 2018 a lost season, Bell joined the New York Jets in 2019.  Combined with a poor offensive line, questionable usage and an overall terrible offense play calling, Bell finished as RB16.  Bell entered the 2020 season as the Jets starting running back. In Week 1, he suffered a hamstring injury, an injury that landed him on IR.  He retuned in Week 5 and was released prior to Week 6. 

Bell landed with the Kansas City Chiefs and it looked like an oppo...

2021 Free Agent Quarterbacks

ORCHARD PARK, NY – OCTOBER 20: Ryan Fitzpatrick #14 of the Miami Dolphins signals to teammates from under center during the first quarter against the Buffalo Bills at New Era Field on October 20, 2019 in Orchard Park, New York. Buffalo defeats Miami 31-21. (Photo by Brett Carlsen/Getty Images) 2021 Free Agent Quarterbacks

Hello Heat Seekers, welcome to episode 126 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast.  I am you host; I am Rob Sullivan.  The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat family of podcasts.

In Episode 126, I am going to kick off a four-part series that takes an early look at the free agent class of 2021. Today we will focus on the QB position.  As usual I will be looking  at it from a fantasy perspective and give you my two cents on where I think the available QBs are best situated.

To start off let’s have a look at this year’s class of Free Agents.  There are some interesting names here but make no mistake this is not the star-studded class of 2020 which in fairness was unlike any other QB Free Agent class in recent memory. There are seven Free agent QBs of significance this offseason.

2021 Free Agent Quarterbacks 96

In addition to those 7 Free Agent QB’s we have 6 NFL teams without a viable QB option under contract as of now in 2021.

Chicago, Dallas, Indianapolis, Jacksonville, New England, and Washington.  There are another 11 teams that have some uncertainty at the position. 

Carolina, Denver, Detroit, Houston, Miami, New Orleans, New York Giants and Jets, the Eagles, San Francisco, and all of a suddenly the Green Bay Packers. 

Carolina – Teddy Bridgewater wasn’t great in 2020 but he’s almost certain to be the starting QB in Carolina in 2021.  Teddy carries a pre-June 1st dead cap hit of $20MM, and the Panthers are not likely to contend in 2021.  Carolina should roll with Teddy and draft a QB this spring. Bridgewater is a nice option in a SF league and the ideal 3rd QB for your roster.

Denver– Drew Lock has played in 18 career games in his first two seasons.  I know that Bronco fans are not loving what they have seen so far, but its far too soon to give up now.  Courtland Sutton retuning gives Lock a legit No.1 targets and combine that with Jerry Jeudy, KJ Hamler, Noah Fant and hopefully a full offseason program for Lock with Pat Shurmur.  Lock has the capabilities to play at this level and I remain higher on him that I likely should.  He will be in my top 24 likely closer to 20 than 24 when I do my initial dynasty rankings this spring.

Detroit – Stafford and the Lions have come to an agreement; they are parting ways.  Stafford requested a trade, and the new Mgmt. team has apparently agreed to find him one.  The Lions have three FAs of relevance and they are Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones and Adrian Pederson.  Jones and Pederson should be left to find work elsewhere and Golladay is a player you would think they would consider bringing back and tagging if necessary.  If Stafford does indeed move on, the Lions will need to bring in a QB and the draft is the likely the place to find one. 

As of today, the Lions have slightly over 11.6MM in cap space.  Stafford is under contract until the end of the 2022 season.  He carries a dead cap pre-June 1 of 19MM, his cap hit is 33MM, so moving on leaves some scares but also frees up 14MM.  So, it is possible the Lions sign a QB, just don’t expect it to be one of significance.

HOUSTON, TEXAS – JANUARY 04: Deshaun Watson #4 of the Houston Texans runs the ball for a touchdown against the ...

2020 Fantasy Football Bold Takes Revisited

Hello Heat Seekers, welcome to episode 125 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast.  I am your host, Rob Sullivan.  The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat Family of Podcasts. 

In episode 125, I am going to revisit my 2020 Bold takes. The last two seasons, I have done a BOLD Takes episode for this very Podcast, and last season I decided to do a recap episode of my 2019 bold takes. It was a lot of fun. Simply put, I have no problem poking fun at myself and that episode was exactly that.  Today I’ll recap my 2020 Bold takes that I brought you back in episode 88.  Similar to 2019, this recap likely won’t end well for me, but if its fun and entertaining I am a happy fantasy analyst. 

Now, before I get into the recap, it is important to understand bold takes. In order for a take to be bold he has to be bold.  Now I get that, that statement in itself a rather ridiculous one, but it needs to be said. A bold take is a take that is borderline crazy that could actually happen.  Tom Brady is a top-12 QB in 2020 is an example of a take, not a bold one or a rather interesting one for that matter. Brady finished as a top-12 QB in 2019. Now if the take was Tom Brady will finish as the top scoring QB in 2020, now we are talking bold. 

My bold takes as I defined them are meant to be fun, they are scenarios that are a little out there–somewhat extreme, but plausible.

Quarterbacks

EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY – OCTOBER 20: Daniel Jones #8 of the New York Giants looks to pass against the Arizona Cardinals during the first half at MetLife Stadium on October 20, 2019 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Steven Ryan/Getty Images) 2020 Fantasy Football Bold Takes Revisited

Daniel Jones will be a top 5 QB in 2020

So, when putting this bold prediction together I looked at his 2019 season.  There was the good, In his 12 starts, Daniel Jones compiled a stat line of 284/459 for 3,027 yards and 24 touchdowns, and there was the bad. He averaged an interception a game and fumbled 13 times while losing 11 of them.

In addition to the passing game, he ran for 279 yards and a TD in those 12 starts.  His 16-game pace line in 2019 was 384/608 for 4,032 yards, 32 touchdowns, 16 interceptions and 15 lost fumbles, with 372 rushing yards and 3 scores.  That stat line equals 282.48 fantasy points in a standard scoring 4 point per passing league.  Aaron Rodgers was QB10 last season with 282.38 points. I also took into considerations that in 2019, Saquon Barkley missed 3 games and was a shell of his normal self until Week 17.  Sterling Shepard missed 6 games, Darius Slayton 2, Golden Tate 5, and Evan Engram 8. I figured with all his weapons, especially Saquon Barkley and an improved offensive line, Jones’ turnover rate will decline dramatically, thus an increase in fantasy points.

When I made this bold prediction, I failed to take into consideration that  the Giants schedule to start the season was a tough one.  Pittsburgh, Chicago, San Francisco, the Rams, Dallas, Washington, and Philadelphia were their first 8 games. Jones after those 8 contests was QB26 with 11.26 fantasy points an average of 13.91/game.  The remainder of the season the schedule lightened up, and Jones was QB29 from Week 9-17, averaging 13.13/game.  In fairness to Jones, he only appeared in 6 games during that span due to a hamstring injury. His 13.13-point average however was 34th best. 

In addition to the schedule,