Flux News

Tech Stocks, Weak US Data, Bitcoin Making Highs & Gold Breakout Watch | Macro Mondays


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This week on Macro Mondays, James Brodie, James Todd & Will Cunliffe breaks down the biggest macro market movers:

 

  • US economy falters - July jobs report shows just 73k new jobs, the weakest hiring since COVID, plus a massive 259k downward revision. ISM manufacturing and services PMIs point to stagflation risks.
  • Fed rate cut bets surge -  Markets now price -58bp by year-end and -111bp over 12 months; JP Morgan expects three consecutive cuts.
  • Trump escalates tariffs -  New 15%–100% levies on Japan, India, and chip imports, plus Nvidia/AMD paying 15% of China sales to the US government.
  • Global slowdown signals -  Eurozone PMIs sink, German industrial production falls -1.9%, UK manufacturing contracts, and China’s PPI deflation deepens.
  • Equity concentration risk -  S&P 500’s top 10 stocks now make up 40% of market cap; Nvidia alone is 8% of the index, while breadth weakens.
  • Commodities in focus –- Gold eyes a $3,430 breakout amid Trump’s Fed nomination; Bitcoin and Ethereum extend rallies; Brent crude slips on weaker Chinese demand.
  • Stock spotlights - Palantir’s sky-high PE (620) sparks bubble talk; Tesla breaks higher on strong technicals.

 

Plus, James, James and Will cover key data ahead: US CPI, OPEC report, UK & German figures, and Chinese retail sales , all with potential to spark volatility in the weeks ahead.

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