Sean: So what do you mean about being strategically unpredictable?
Len: You do want to be consistent in terms of the brand that you deliver? Right? But as you said, you can become so predictable that you become vulnerable. So what this comes down to, and one of the things and what I talk about in this chapter in the book is what's called the OODA loop.
Len: So it's O-O-D-A, It's an acronym. O-O-D-A right, OODA. It stands for Observe, Orient, Decide, Act. OODA loop. Observe, Orient, Decide, Act. This was born from the military where they were trying to come up with How do we understand how fighter pilots make their decision process and how do we win more fights in the air? And so what they began to understand is that we all, everybody goes through this OODA loop. Every time we make a decision, we go through the OODA loop. But here's the trick. If we're going through the OODA loop, we observe, we orient, we decide, we act. If something happens that disrupts us. We have to go back to the beginning. We have to re-observe, reorient, re-decide, and re-act.
Len: OK, well, let's talk about basketball. So you're a basketball player, right? The guy you're guarding is coming straight down the court, going right towards the basket, you're in the corner somewhere. You don't have to be a mathematical genius to figure out at what speed and what angle to run, to intercept him or her. Right?
Len: Now, when you get up to that person, if they juke, if they dribble behind their back, if they fake or feint and move, that's when we start seeing those ankle-breaking videos where people fall all over themselves, right? Because what's happened is when you observe, you orient, you decide, and you act. You've observed you've oriented yourself. You decide and then they move and everything changes, and your brain goes back to the beginning. It's too late for your body. It's already moving. It already has inertia and momentum, and then you fall over, right?
Len: But how you get there can dictate how successful you are, based on how predictable you are. In business, if we're doing the same things all the time, the same way. And we do and it's all the same, how hard is it for our competition to be able to meet us?
Len: One of the things that you can do is self-disruption. The best type of disruption is self-disruption. As an example, I use Netflix. Everybody knows that Netflix disrupted the movie rental business, right? And you know, that's a big story about what they did to Blockbuster and all that, and Blockbuster's gone and all that. But to me, the bigger story with Netflix is what they've done since. Because they did not stop, they could have stopped and just been this company that delivers DVDs through the mail. Yeah, but they did. They moved to stream right?
Len: And then did they stop there? No, they didn't. They then moved to original content production where they're producing their own content. And did they stop there? No. Now they're getting into game development and gaming. Every time they do that, they force their competition to rethink what they're doing. You know, the competition at first was like, OK, how do we deliver movies through the mail? And then the competition was like, Wait, that's not the game anymore now we got to figure out how to do this streaming thing. Wait a minute.
Len: Now we got this figured out and now we've got to figure out how to do our own content. The more that you force your competition to move by disrupting yourself before they can disrupt you, the best type of disruption is self-disruption. That is a concrete way that you can remain strategically unpredictable. You are not unpredictable in terms of what your goals are, but you're unpredictable in terms of how you get there, which forces your competition to slow their decision process down.
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