Circular Metabolism Podcast

The most important yet misunderstood concept in climate science - Tim Lenton


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There is an essential and yet poorly understood concept in climate science: tipping points.

Several climate tipping points (like ice loss in Greenland and Antarctica or the slowdown of the Atlantic circulation) are dangerously close and run the risk of triggering a "tipping cascade".

To understand these risks and know how to keep us in a safe space through positive tipping points, we are talking with Professor Tim Lenton.


Tim Lenton is Chair in Climate Change and Earth System Science at the University of Exeter.


đź”· CHAPTERS


00:00 Introduction

05:33 The Earth system

11:18 Vital signs of the system

15:28 Tipping points

29:00 Irreversibility

32:34 Civilizational tipping points

35:08 Early warning signals

38:31 Socio-ecological tipping points

44:19 Positive tipping points


đź”· REFERENCES


Recommended books:

• Gaia, a new look at life on earth (1979) James Lovelock

• The Ages of Gaia (1988), James Lovelock


Scientific articles:

• Lenton's tipping points article (paywall): https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-03595-0

• Planetary boundaries: https://www.stockholmresilience.org/research/planetary-boundaries.html

• Social tipping points (the "25% rule"): https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29880688/


đź”· MAIN TAKEAWAYS


• Map of the tipping elements (HD): https://i.ibb.co/DbKqshq/elements.png


2 main views:

• Object (thing) perspective: seeing the system's elements as static and well defined (better spatial accuracy, worse temporal fidelity)

• Process perspective: seeing the system's elements as changing and interconnected (better temporal fidelity, worse spatial accuracy)


Types of feedback loops:

• Damping feedback (provides stability)

• Amplifying feedback (creates possible instability)


Types of cycles:

• Real cycles made of material flows

• Causal cycles made of causal chains between events


Tipping point:

• Threshold of an amplifying feedback loop beyond which change becomes self-propelling

• Happen when the damping feedbacks get weaker than the amplifying feedbacks (variability increases)


🎤 Interview: Aristide Athanassiadis

🎞️ Editing: https://codexprod.fr


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đź”· LINKS


đź‘€ Youtube: https://youtu.be/_ZrErfqDwTA

đź’Ś Newsletter: https://www.circularmetabolism.com/

đź‘‚ iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/be/podcast/circular-metabolism-podcast/id1455115320

đź‘‚ Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/13qH9Oj4b0yF0dBidGAdFR

🙏 Tipeee: https://fr.tipeee.com/circular-metabolism-podcast

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Circular Metabolism PodcastBy Aristide Athanassiadis

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