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Option Block 361: The Happy Bottom
Trading Block: A little bit of a down day on the street, but nothing like last week. Zynga and Groupon after the bell. ZNGA closing south of the 3 handle. VIX futures trading below the VIX cash. Grains and wheat options and the Russia embargo.
Odd Block: Combos trade in Flotek Industries Inc. (FTK), puts trade in Gerdau SA (GGB) wheel trade.
Xpress Block: LULU has been running hot, but cooled down during the day. Three-to-four leg tickets coming in September. IdeaHub adding 8 names into premium harvesting. What is we see of a Whaley product?
Mail Block: Listener questions and comments
Around the Block: What will the US do, and how will it affect the markets?
Option Block 360: Return of the Voice
Trading Block: Some of the Thursday selloff coming back into the market. Where could the VIX go in the next few weeks? VXST trading below the VIX cash.
Odd Block: Ratio roll calls in Select Sector SPDR Financials (XLF), a ratio time "Tosaw Stupid" in SM Energy Co. (SM), size ITM call buyer with stock in AmerisourceBergen Corp. (ABC), and closing call roll in NQ Mobile (NQ).
Xpress Block: A little technical hiccup with Idea Hub. Amazon got a lot of attention today.
Strategy Block: Doing stuff - put spreads, managing risk and staying bullish.
Around the Block: Earnings still left: Activision, Groupon, and Disney. All on 8/5.
Option Block 359: Thursday, Bloody Thursday
Trading Block: A bloody day on the street. A default, a bankruptcy, and bad Fed news. Massive FLEX trades went up today. Professor Whaley and the VIX term structure
Odd Block: Revisiting a position in iShares MSCI Taiwan Index (EWT)
Xpress Block: Alex discusses about the changing metrics in portfolio margining and the risk tools.
Strategy Block: Uncle Mike highlights his strategy using the Long SPY Long Oct 190 Put
Mail Block: Listener questions and comments.
Question from Steven, San Diego, CA: Listing to the July 24th show on the 25th. So, with the benefit of hindsight, I can you see the majority of the activity in AMZN being discussed was pretty much completely wrong. It was down, not up, and way past the expected move. So that brings me to the question. Is there any study or statistical evidence that shows that the unusual activity should be followed? Or should be faded? Really think the retail crowd are chasers, which works until it doesn't. The trend is your friend? Bah-humbug! It makes for interesting press, but is it really actionable? Rather than glorifying, would your listeners be better served to be cautioned on this topic rather than enticed? Love the show. Sometimes customer of the Pit and RCM because of the show.
Around the Block: Non-farm payrolls: could it possibly turn around the market?
Option Block 357: AMZN Call Buyers Get Crushed
Trading Block: Markets mostly unchanged in modest volume. Apple posts decent numbers but disappoints overall. Amazon earnings after the bell. OX clients still buying far OTM calls? Facebook rallies $4.50 post earnings and trades over 1m contracts. Ford announced before open. Not much of an event.
Odd Block: Call buyers trade in Wisconsin Energy Corp (WEC), spreads go up in iShares Dow Jones US Homebuilders Index ETF (ITB), call buyers trade in Navios Maritime Holdings Inc (NM), and block prints in WhiteWave Foods Co. (WWAV)
Xpress Block: Alex showcases "The Dragon,” an OX tool that allows you to find unusual activity.
Mail Block: Listener questions, comments, and suggestions
Around the Block: Earnings-palooza continues
Option Block 356: CME and NFLX Earnings Rundown
Trading Block: A relatively quiet day on the street, after a crazy week. Earnings so far: NFLX after the close, CME (the stealth Apple) after the close. Positioning for Apple tomorrow.
Odd Block: Call buyers trade in Steel Dynamics (STLD), call spreads buyers trade in Orexigen Therapeutics, Inc. (OREX), calls buyer trade in Crocs, Inc. (CROX), call spreads, rolls selling Dec, buying March trade in CytRx Corp. (CYTR).
Xpress Block: Herbalife taking a pounding. News on The Walk Limit tool.
Strategy Block: An expiration day lesson from Uncle Mike Tosaw and how to avoid unnecessary weekend risk.
Around the Block: A quick earnings review in CME, NFLX. MSFT and APPL tomorrow. On 7/24: AMZN, F, GM.
Option Block 355: Bleeding Out Into the Pillow
The Trading Block: A bit of a bloodbath on the street. Dire world news out of Ukraine and Israel/Palestine. Yellen's comments reverberating around the market. A 33% spike in the VIX. Microsoft slashing jobs. U.S. House passes spending bill with Dodd-Frank changes.
The Odd Block: Opening put buy in Currency Shares Canadian Dollar ETF (FXC), short puts with stock trade in Gerdau SA (GGB), big block of puts traders in Janus Capital Group Inc. (JNS), and buying puts in Entergy Corp. (ETR)
Mail Block: Questions and comments from you, our listeners
Around the Block: Thursday earnings: Morgan Stanley, Google and IBM.
Option Block 354: When to Close Out a Spread
Trading Block: VIX and VIX cash. LULU taking it on the chin. It’s time for the Trading Patterns Guessing Game once again!
Odd Block: Calls roll in Danaher Corp (DHR), calls roll in Wisconsin Energy Corp (WEC) - Buy Jul, Sell Jan., closing collar in AGCO Corp (AGCO) - Buy call/sell put, and ratio call spread unwind in Beazer Homes USA, Inc (BZH) - Sell 1, Buy 2.
Xpress Block: Alex discusses the development of migrating the OX tools to Schwab, including the 3 and 4-legged trade ticket, due to Schwab Mobile and Street Smart Edge by September.
Mail Block: Listener questions and comments.
Question from Neal Augustin - Like the discussion on the recent show about getting free gamma going into earnings. It makes sense since the contracts should experience minimum decay. But do you not have to use a contract that expires after earnings, preferably the earnings week, in order to get that bump? If you use the contract that expires prior to earnings, it should decay like normal, correct?
Question from Trader64 - Spread decay question: Mark said in the mail block in response to a listener question about spread pricing, that the at-the-money and in-the-money options would decay at different rates to make the spread widen. Since this takes a substantial amount of time, should I always count on only capturing a portion of the maximum profit in each of my spreads? If so, what percentage is reasonable? Thanks for the show Mr. Options Voice!
Around the Block: More earnings on tap for this week. Citigroup - 7/14. JP Morgan Chase and Goldman Sachs - 7/15. Bank of America - 7/16. Morgan Stanley - 7/17.
Option Block 353: Crazy Combos and the Great Open Interest Debate
Trading Block: A volatile day on the street - S&P got as low as 1952. VIX cash ticking up nearly one handle. Gold a big mover today - to the delight of Uncle Mike Tosaw. It’s time for the Trading Patterns guessing game again - this time with GLD! Lumber Liquidators (LL) gets crushed, down over 20% today. Options volume already 10x ADV on new that they are cutting 2014 earnings outlook. Sprecher calls for market-wide purge for order types. Chicago Fed joins the HFT conversation calling for curbs.
Odd Block: Calls roll in Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO), closing combos trade in CBS Outdoor Americas Inc. (CBSO), call buyers trade in Goodyear Tire and Rubber Co. (GT), dividend trade calls trade in Freeport McMoRan Copper (FCX)
Xpress Block: A reminder at IdeaHub for futures is out. Please be aware that firms are trying to rein in exposure fees.
Mail Block: Listener questions and comments
Around the Block: On Thursday: weekly jobless claims, May wholesale inventories as well as Fed talk: Stanley Fischer, Vice Chair of the Fed Reserve, gives his first speech (financial reform in Cambridge, MA) and KC Fed President Esther George (economy and monetary policy in Oklahoma). Problems in Portugal: parent of Portuguese banks delayed payments on some short-term debt.
Option Block 352: Hot GoPro Action
Trading Block: A mild selloff ahead of earnings. The newcomer GoPro was very active today, as well as everyone’s favorite fruit company, Apple.
Odd Block: Call buyers trade in URS Corp. (URS), puts buyers with stock trade in King Digital Entertainment (KING), call buyers trade in Zions Bancorp (ZION), and put spread buyers trade in iShares MSCI Germany Index (EWG).
Xpress Block: A lot of speculation in fixed income.
Strategy Block: Tosaw discusses how not trading can also be an option when you can get what you want.
Mail Block: Listener Question Question from T. Simpson: Hey all-star panel (viceroy, meatball, lobster, uncle and the voice)! I’m sitting on some gains in ford and would like to protect it. I’m looking at the December 17 put (currently trading for 82 cents). I know you guys have said aim for about 2% of your portfolio for protection. But my math shows this to be about 5% of my portfolio for decent near-ATM protection. What are some ways that i can do stuff to make this protection more affordable? I very much enjoy the show and i am wearing a fancy hat as i write this letter. – Tom
Around the Block: ALCO kicks off the earnings madness again tomorrow.
Option Block 351: Dollar General Insider Loses Millions
Trading Block: A quiet day on the street, given the shortened trading week. A stealth rally in Gold. Traders preparing pre Google earnings. Under 400K ADV in VIX today.
Odd Block: Call spreads trade in Dollar General Corp. (DG), size ratio spreads trade in Carnival Corp (CCL), puts sellers trade in Companhia Energetica Minas. (CIG), and small call buyers trade in Amicus Therapeutics, Inc (FOLD).
Xpress Block: Alex discusses premium harvesting in IdeaHub.
Strategy Block: Uncle Mike Tosaw discusses when it’s OK to break the rules and to make new ones.
Mail Block:
Question from Aviatrix - Hello all-star panel! Great program. I have a question about option open interest. I don’t really understand it. I’ve read some blogs that say open interest can impact a stock’s direction during expiration week. Is this just, as Mark would say, the “tin foil hat crowd” or is there something to this? Should I be tracking open interest as an indicator? Keep the “wit and wisdom” coming!
Around the Block: Be aware - this is a shortened holiday week.
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