The Pollsters

Let’s Talk about the Midterms

Kristen is joined by special guest co-host, Echelon Insights co-founder Patrick Ruffini, to determine who is the goat in this scary movie, who is excited about the midterms, what just happened with North Korea, and what people thought about it before it happened, or didn’t.

Generic ballot / Trump’s approval ratingThe generic ballot is widening back out again in favor of Democrats, but Trump’s approval rating has not taken a hit. Are Dems in the clear? Not so fast.Real Clear Politics: 2018 Generic Congressional VoteTrump Job Approval

NBC/Wall Street Journal PollHow do you talk about the expectation poll when the results of the summit wasn’t a choice?  And what were those results anyway? What is the net outcome of alienating allies and befriending dictators in the same week?Voters unsure what to expect from North Korea talks(Morning Consult poll: U.S. Public Skeptical That North Korea Will Get Rid of Nukes After Trump-Kim Summit)What are midterm voters looking for? A check on Trump? Health care is a problem for Republicans. And the gun issue is surprising. More Dems say they are enthusiastic about primaries, and Republicans look like Independents.Trump's support has gotten deeper — but not broaderEconomic satisfaction under Trump isn't helping his party's 2018 chancesDemocratic Women have won 49% of open seat primaries, Republican Women only 16%

California PrimariesCalifornia Results Are Consistent With a Competitive House RaceWhat to Make of the California Primary ResultsOhio PrimariesVIrginia PrimariesFlorida Primaries

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Booze, Weed, and Porn All Up in the Polls!

Margie is lonely on the road, but she’s got polls to keep her company! Especially polls about Michael Avenatti! Trump’s approval ratings hold steady and the Democrats rebound a little in the Generic Ballot. Tariffs have the nation calling flatly, “Anyone?...Anyone?” Women did well in the most recent primaries but do people think they’ll change anything when in office? And, finally, the annual Gallup numbers on what Americans find morally (un)acceptable.

Polls of the Week: What Does The Public Think Of Michael Avenatti?

Quinnipiac University Poll

Echelon Insights Poll

Trumplandia and Generic Ballot

Trump’s approval drops a bit to 44% but data shows a large number of voters want to check him.

Trump Job Approval

NBC/WSJ Poll

Examining Public Support for Checks on Presidential Power

News Fatigue

Pew Research: Almost seven-in-ten Americans have news fatigue

What’s in a Tariff?

Politico Poll: Poll: Few voters think tariffs will help U.S. economyGender in PoliticsRepublicans are less convinced than Democrats that electing more women would make Congress more productive

Morality in AmericaOverwhelming majorities find drinking alcohol and smoking marijuana morally acceptableMore Americans Say Pornography Is Morally Acceptable

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Not That Kind Of Biscuit

We’ve made it past Memorial Day! What the heck is GDPR and why do I keep getting emails about it? Will Kristen trade her personal data for Swedish translations? What about ads for pretty shoes?Who doesn’t love biscuits? Monsters, that’s who. Find us @ksoltisanderson @margieomero @thepollsters.

Poll of the Week: How Adults of Different Ages Feel About Data Privacy?

Kristen isn’t giving up personal data for Swedish translations.

Most U.S. Adults in Poll Unwilling to Share Personal Data for Ads to Keep a Service Free

Sheryl Sandberg of Facebook says they won’t be giving users an option to pay to skip the ads.

Trumplandia

Effectively 45% approval! But what does that mean? 

Trump Job Approval

Echelon Insights has some new data on how people feel about Russia and the Trump Campaign, his handling of North Korea and Iran, and his tweeting—but you have to listen to find out what it is!

More new Echelon Insight data you have to listen to get...How do people get their news?How often do people use various social media platforms?Is tech good or bad for society?

Teens and the Internet

Pew Research has new data on Teens, Social Media & Technology 2018

Generic Ballot Update

FiveThirtyEight on who’s winning the race for Congress

Josh Barro & Charles Franklin (separately) wrote about how the reuters/ipsos poll is volatile, making it seem like gen ballot was closing.

Were the 2016 polls accurate?

FiveThirtyEight has the answer!And which pollsters should you trust?

American Communities

Pew: what divides and unites urban, suburban, and rural communities?

That’s a Cookie, Dammit!

YouGov gets the skinny on Brits’ favorite “biscuits”

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Happy Hour, Hot Dogs & Fast Cars

Kristen is back from AAPOR, and she’s pretty pumped.  There are some things that just don’t require polls to decide. If things are so good for the Republicans, what’s Trump hiding? Are we the CarTalk of polling?

Poll of the Week: Dumb Internet Controversies

We Asked The American Public To Settle 5 Of The Internet’s Dumbest Debates

Yanny vs Laurel:not as good as the dress

IMHO, older people have no idea.Is a hot dog a sandwich?

Results as confusing as the question.How many spaces after a period?

We’re just getting you worked up.

Hard or soft G? It’s not peanut butter.

Trumplandia

Congress needs to walk and chew gum at the same time. Who is Trump looking out for? 

Is this the least dynamic approval in history?

Trump Job Approval

What Americans Think and How to Talk to Them About It

Dem operatives craft Trump-Mueller message for 2018 electionsAmericans give Trump credit for good economy, mixed reviews on N.K.

Generic ballot moves with Trump’s approval rating. 

There’s a tightening.

2018 Generic Congressional Vote

Reuters poll shows Republicans leading generic ballot for first time

Public polling in GA Governor primary

How does it match with 76-23 results?  Pretty well, as it turns out.

Primary Briefing: Arkansas, Georgia, Kentucky And Texas

AJC poll: Most Democrats haven’t decided on governor’s race

Vote in Georgia: Will there be a Republican run-off in Georgia governor's race?

RealClear Politics: Georgia Governor - Democratic Primary

It’s always Infrastructure Week

If only it were Shark WeekWashington Not Paying Enough Attention to Infrastructure

Indy 500 Weekend

The data is almost as old as IndyCar fans

IndyCar, NASCAR,

NHRA Fans Trending Older Compared To Supercross/Motocross

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 A Private Bunyan and The World’s Saddest Elephant

Whether or not Mr. 44% deserves a Nobel Peace Prize should not be decided by polls, even if Obama got one. Kristen promises to take notes at AAPOR when AP and Fox News present VoteCast, changing the exit poll game. (Don’t forget Pollsters Nation BEER THING at AAPOR:  Let Kristen buy you a beer at Yard House 5-6 PM ON THURSDAY then on to the real parties). We’re Not. A. Lady. Show.  Pay no attention to the wedding talk.

TrumplandiaPoll of the Week: Morning Consult + Politico Tracking PollNo matter how you feel about the Iran deal, you are united on the impact.Trump ApprovalIs this just ambient noise?  America doesn’t realize that it needs to shower.

Republicans closing the gapRealClear Politics: 2018 Generic Congressional Vote

AP VotecastAP, Fox News launch new exit polling projectEarly exit polls drive election coverage and can lead to misleading coverage. Will  AP Votecast tighten this up?  We’ll find out about all the sausage making this weekend.

Generation Gap IssuesInterpretation of the Constitution: Pew Supreme CourtGrowing share of Americans say Supreme Court should base its rulings on what Constitution means todayGallup: Global Warming Age Gap: Younger Americans Most WorriedDo we still call it that?  We’ve always called it that.

Royal WeddingPoll: Two-thirds of Brits not interested in royal weddingBritish Anti-monarchy group commissioned poll, results feel like, “Eh, we just had one of those.“ 

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May the Force Live Long and Prosper

We are way more anxious about the effect politics rather than personal relationships have  on our daily lives. In Trumplandia, we look at the numbers, not at the bars. You may be Trumpier than Trump, but then Trump tweets. Incumbents? Run like you’re 10 points down. If you offer “not sure” as an out, people take the out.  Everyone is sure about Star Trek vs. Star Wars. I love that guy.  

POLLSTERS NATION AAPOR MEETUP: 5:00-6:00 on Thursday at Yard House right outside the Sheraton! Let Kristen buy you a beer.

As always, we're @ksoltisanderson @margieomero @thepollsters.

Poll of the Week: Anxiety APA Public Opinion Poll – Annual Meeting 2018

TrumplandiaTrump Job Approval

More Americans now say Russia investigation is politically motivated – CBS News poll

Trump Viewed Less Negatively on Issues, but Most Americans Are Critical of His Conduct - Pew Few Feel Positive Impact From Growing Economy- Monmouth

Congressional Election/Generic BallotWest Virginia Senate - Republican PrimaryExclusive: Two West Virginia Internal Campaign Polls Show Blankenship Narrowly Edging GOP RivalsGeneric Ballot CNN Poll

Polling on Iran

May the Fourth Be With YouStar Wars vs. Star Trek

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Polling Is Not Yeezy

We all have our own facts. Or we don’t think that word means what you think it means. Are we really unfazed or just not surprised?  Please stop calling the kids Millennials.  No, really, are these folks likely to register or likely to vote?  That’s a different thing. If you got complaints there's always twitter. @margieomero @ksoltisanderson @thepollsters.

Poll of the Week:

Kanye’s Twitter Love from the President triples his approval rating by Republicans

Kanye West Is Building Up A Republican Fan Base

Correspondents who cover the White House Sleep Just Fine, Sean Spicer looks better all the time

The Most Prestigious Slog in Washington

Trumplandia

Trump Job Approval

Does the Swamp have legs?

Public Not Fazed by Unconventional Presidency

Living up to American Ideals -- We can’t even agree on the facts

The Public, the Political System and American Democracy

Toplines

Young White men heading elsewhere

Exclusive: Democrats lose ground with millennials - Reuters/Ipsos poll

To the States!

Missouri Senate Race

Polls show Missouri Senate race in dead heat

Emerson College Poll

New York Governor’s Race

Nixon Takes A Bite Out Of Cuomo In New York Gov Race

New Hampshire looks at 2020

Suffolk University Poll

Black Panther’s kid sister needs more love

Spider-Man Is Fan Favorite Among ‘Avengers: Infinity War’ Characters

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Sex, Drugs, Rock and PollsThe true infinity war (Millennials ruined food, Boomers ruined Millennials); Stalking the non-voter; Feeling at home at Starbucks, or not;  Watching Deadpool 2, or not. Find us @margieomero @ksoltisandeson @thepollsters.

POLL OF THE WEEK: Boomer Wars

Poll: Younger Americans less apt to use unique passwords

Millennials blame boomers for ruining their lives

Trumplandia

Trump Job Approval

POLL: Non-voters' dislike of Donald Trump isn't likely to make them vote in 2018

The Trump v. Comey war of words has hit a stalemate

Guns, drugs, and, abortion

Harvard Institute Of Politics Youth Poll-18-29 year olds

Young People Set to Impact the Debate on Women’s Health Issues

Abortion and Contraception Topline

The Starbucks Incident

White Americans Say The Starbucks Arrests Were An Isolated Incident. Black Americans Say They Were Part Of A Pattern

HuffPost: Starbucks controversy

Movie Night

Poll: Which Summer Tentpole Are You Most Excited to See?

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So many polls! Facebook, Mueller, pollster-friends, and Millennials ruining food. Tweet us your unsolicited advice @margieomero @ksoltisanderson @thepollsters and www.thepollsters.com.

Poll of the WeekNew National Poll: Privacy, Facebook, and Cambridge Analyticahttps://twitter.com/EchelonInsights/status/984097851746783232No Overwhelming Support for More Online Regulation, Poll Finds

Trumplandia: Mr. 40%HuffPost Trump Job ApprovalNPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll: Republicans Sour On Mueller, FBI2018 Generic Congressional VoteDemocrats in Good Position to Nab Republican House Seats

Navigator & Our Interview W/Jef Pollock Navigator in the newsGlobal Strategy GroupHow Jef got his start

AP stylebook on Polls and Surveys

https://twitter.com/APStylebook/status/986270699642916866Updating our polling guidance

Cooking With Millennials

Can Millennials shuck oysters?

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Trump’s job approval holds steady, the world has interesting choices in who people admire, and more people are living in multi-generational homes. All that, and Spice Girls, too!

Check out our new sponsor winc wine club: www.trywinc.com/pollsters. Of course we're always @ksoltisanderson @margieomero @thepollsters.

Poll of the week:

The World’s Most Admired People

Trumplandia

Mueller Poll

Scott Pruitt Poll

The swing toward Dems

Washington Post / Kaiser Family Foundation on people who march

Harvard Institute of Politics Spring 2018 Youth Poll

Society

Pew on multigenerational households

Pop Culture

Carrie Underwood vs. Kelly Clarkson 

Spice Girls

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