The Pollsters

The Pollsters

By Margie Omero & Kristen Soltis AndersonBusinessNewsPolitics
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The Pollsters episodes

  • #80: Smells like a divided electorate

    Margie squeezes in a few hours of staycation, while Kristen is on the road. But even during a slow week there are still polls to amaze or depress you.

     
    Poll of the week: smells like teen spirit?
    What do Milwaukee voters think the election smells like? Um, nothing you'd want to turn into a scratch-n-sniff sticker.
    Hart/Annenberg school focus group  
    2016
    The race is tightening! But just a little.
    Washington Post/ABC News poll HP: Trump vs. Clinton two-way HP Trump vs. Clinton  vs. Johnson David Plouffe tweets More HP polls HP on college educated whites WP on the White Catholic vote HP/YouGov on ads vs news HP on voters' trust  
    Trump immigration policy? All of them. Says who?
    Is it a softening, or a hardening?
    Kristen's examiner column Pew study on immigration Gallup on immigration  
    Divisions on guns getting wider
    Tier-one versus tier-two policies, while party differences widen,
    Pew study on guns  
    Back to school!
    Have  you gotten all your polling done in time for the first day
    Gallup on satisfaction with schooling Retailmenot  
    Key findings:
    Whether the race is narrowing or staying stable, as far as Margie’s concerned, it’s always time to panic about a potential president trump. There’s common ground on immigration--but maybe not on trump’s different positions on immigration. Meanwhile, don’t worry folks, were also becoming increasingly partisan on guns and education. So there’s that. At least my back to school shopping is done! And this i can promise you: it will be decades before i spend more on my children’s clothes than on my own.

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    43 min
  • #79i: NBC's Benjy Sarlin & Leigh Ann Caldwell on the future of the GOP

    We talk to NBC political reporters Benjy Sarlin & Leigh Ann Caldwell about their great new longform piece, where they interview a series of GOP leaders on the post-Trump future for the GOP. Listen to the show, read the piece, watch their video & then read the previous installments of their series.

    NBC's the future of the GOP Benjy on twitter Leigh Ann on twitter

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    39 min
  • #78: Says who? The Pollsters. Both of us.

    Our Ron Brownstein interview is the top-downloaded interview we’ve ever done. Thanks everyone! But don’t make our Chuck Todd & Charlie Cook interviews jealous--they are #39 & #44, respectively, if you want to go back & take a listen. (Gotta catch em all.) And as always you can write a review on iTunes or Stitcher, and follow us on Twitter and Facebook to see all the polls we're looking at each week.

     
    Poll of the week: All of them.
    We have a new thing, the Brianna Keilar award for Truth Telling in Polls. It belongs to [dramatic pause…]
    Brianna Keilar & Michael Cohen "Says who?" WP on why you need to follow The Polls. All of them. Politico on poll deniers after Patrick Murray Trump sand attacks! This is what actual fake research looks like (Triumph the Insult Comic Dog)  
    Process front & center.
    Never mind the issues when there is palace intrigue, rigged polls, and rigged polling booths!
    HP on Kellyanne Conway behind the scenes HP on Kellyanne Conway on secret Trump voters HP on YouGov poll on Trump campaign operation Gallup shows worry about vote fraud Pew on vote fraud worries  
    2016
    Oh, the polls. Still bad news for Trump, with a few tiny exceptions.
    http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster#2016-general-election LA Times poll HP/David Rothschild on LA Times poll Trump loves LA Times poll! NBC/Survey Monkey on military families  
    Burning down the House! And the Senate! One battleground state at a time!
    Is it too late to turn the R next to your name on the ballot to some sort of emoji?
    Larry Sabato on the Senate Charlie Cook on the Senate HP averages for the Senate HP generic ballot Daily 202 & Rothenberg on House landscape  
    Time to get out of dodge, wherever that is
    You know where the Statue of Liberty is. But how about the Grand Canyon?
    Conde Nast Traveler poll  

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    57 min
  • #77: The landslide bringing you down?

    So glad you guys liked our interview with Ron Brownstein--we did too! Also, we have 96 reviews, can we get to a nice round 100? You can write a review on iTunes or Stitcher, and follow us on Twitter and Facebook to see all the polls we're looking at each week.

     
    Poll of the week: DC Insiders, they’re just like us!
    Hey, how come we didn’t get called?
    Examiner-Echelon Insider poll  
    2016
    The landslide got you down? Well, must be those trash-can polls.
    Huffington Post/Pollster 2-way Huffington Post/Pollster 3-way NYT/Upshot on 2016 WashPost on Trump's chance NYT/Upshot what a Clinton landslide would look like WashPost on Gallup study Gallup study on what predicts Trump support NBC/Marist battleground state polls FiveThirtyEight senate polls USA Today/RTV on Millennials  
    Next up: debates
    The debates are coming, and voters already have some preferences.
    Pew on debate topics Fix The Debates & IQUS  
    Get ready to go back to work everyone: Jobs
    Are you on vacation, or wrapping up a summer job? Margie & Kristen had some formative jobs that we relive in real-time.
    Gallup on women and jobs FiveThirtyEight and summer jobs Most popular industries  
    Key Findings:
    This is election is so crazy, it’s even making Kristen angry. That’s tough y’all! Where does pollster rate on top industries? What about twitter troll? What about podcast guest-host? And don’t let the landslide get you down. Not with so many podcasts to catch up on.  

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    49 min
  • #76i: Ron Brownstein from The Atlantic breaks it way, way down

    Listen & take notes, folks, in our latest interview-only show. Ron Brownstein (The Atlantic/CNN) shows us what it's like to talk polling. And he hadn't even had his morning coffee yet!

    Ron Brownstein on Twitter. Brownstein's stories at The Atlantic. As always, don't forget to write a review of the show on iTunes or Stitcher, and follow us on Twitter and Facebook to see all the polls we're looking at each week.

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    41 min
  • #76: Which pollsters would you most like to share a beer with?

    Welcome new listeners! Only polling can answer the tough questions, like “What are you smoking?” Don't forget to write a review of the show on iTunes or Stitcher, and follow us on Twitter and Facebook to see all the polls we're looking at each week.

     
    Poll of the week: A low-grade Olympic fever?
    Are you watching the Olympics? If you’re not, maybe you’re not alone.
    Gallup on Olympic viewing  
    2016:
    Make no mistake about it: Clinton is up in the polls. It’s not a skew, it’s not a bias. It’s really happening (at least right now).
    Huffington Post average: 2-way Huffington Post average: 3-wayPew on Split Districts NBC/Marist battleground states RCP on Georgia FiveThirtyEight: are the polls skewed? Walmart Moms are back!  
    Preaching to the choir:
    Voters are hearing politics from the pulpit, but not about specific candidates.
    Pew on politics from the pulpit  
    Lighten up!
    People are smoking fewer cigarettes, more pot, and more beer than ever.
    Gallup on cigarettes Gallup on marijuana Beer is fave adult beverage.  
    Key findings:
    Hat tip to Ariel Levy from the Huffington Post, for coming up with some Olympic polling events: tracking & fielding; horseracing; synchronized dialing. How can Olympic fever be down with events like these?! Everyone is feeling disgusted with politics--it’s on Facebook, it’s at church, it’s on your phone right now. But that doesn’t mean the polls are skewed. Which pollster would you most want to share a beer (or glass of wine) with? We hope that’s us!  

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    40 min
  • #75i: Office hours with Dr. Anna Greenberg

    We talk to Anna Greenberg from GQRR about the one polling question she's never asked, how Democratic and Republican pollsters differ, the value of a graduate degree, and challenges facing women in the industry.

     
    Anna Greenberg on Twitter.
    GQRR's website.

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    27 min
  • #75: Bounce, Bounce, Bounce

    We’ve recovered from the convention, but have the polls? Take it away, Kristen’s iPhone...

     
    Poll of the week: Is 2016 making you wish you had a brain implant?.
    Do brain chip implants make you worried? What if they don’t actually work?
    Pew: Americans wary of biomedical enhancements for the human body  
    2016: A Clinton bounce, a Trump crater, and smod it all to heck.
    Clinton has a post-Philly bounce. But who knows what’s even happening anymore. Ah, 2016,
    Huffington Post analysis of post-convention bounce Huffington Post trackers Kristen's article in the examiner Margie’s latest dial-test poll from PSB Research Pew on few with cross-party friends From the Washington Post/Monkey Cage PPP on SMOD PPP on Harambe  
    Mansplain this to us.
    Men are experts on being experts. Maybe the answer is--affirmative action?
    Wash Post: Men cite themselves more than women do Gallup on gender and affirmative action  
    ISO: Someone who likes Dr. Pepper, crying, guns, and avocado
    Can your OK Cupid profile predict your party leanings? Well, do you like Broad CIty or Clint Eastwood?
    OK Cupid on politics  
    Key findings:
    We're old enough to remember when just the polling seemed crazy. Men are experts, just ask them! There aren’t many places where Democrats and Republicans can hang out. It’s not in person. It’s not OK Cupid. It’s just The Pollsters.

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    48 min
  • #74: How is Scott Baio like a pregnant woman? Reax from Cleveland

    Kristen is in Cleveland! Calling in from radio row. Margie is in the soundbooth, eager to hear the gossip. 

     
    Poll of the week: Elvis is in the building.
    There comes a time in every person's life when you must decide between an office dog and virtual reality glasses. 
    PSB/Dell Poll  
    2016: Well, this is going well. 
    Cleveland is like Glastonbury. Except in all the ways it's not.
    Gallup:Pence's Effect on Trump Victory in November CBS Poll finds most voters are unfamiliar with Pence Real Clear Politics: How favorable is Pence? Aggregators’ predictions FiveThirtyEight election forecast NY Times: Clinton has 76% chance of winning  
    Race to the bottom?
    Margie is turned off by some of the RNC rhetoric. What does Kristen think?
    Monmouth poll: Black Lives Matter has worsened racial tensions 74% think race relations are bad in US Voters favor Clinton on issues of race relations Americans are less optimistic about blacks’ opportunities Non-Hispanic whites are only group to favor Trump’s immigration policies  

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    46 min

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