The Pollsters

Trump

Trump’s Approval Rating (RealClear Politics)

Views of Trump’s personal traits, job approval (Pew Research)

Most want to see Mueller report released (Ariel Edwards-Levy)

Changing America

Jason McGrath of GBAO talks about Lightfoot in Chicago

Voters Say Scrap Elite School Test in NY (Quinnipiac)

On Equal Pay Day 2019, lack of awareness persists (SurveyMonkey)

2020

Among all voters, half say they are ‘very uncomfortable’ with Trump for 2020 (NBC News / Wall Street Journal)

18-29-year-olds Likely Democratic Primary Voters Prefer Sanders (Institute of Politics (IOP) at Harvard Kennedy School)

The World

Large Majorities in Both Parties Say NATO Is Good for the U.S. (Pew Research)

NCAA Basketball Final Four

Michigan State has America’s support after beating Duke to reach Final Four (and Kristen loves J.J. Redick)

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Trump and the Mueller Report

Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics)

Voters want Mueller report released, but will it change views? (FOXNews, pre-report delivery)

CNN/SSRS Poll (post-report delivery)

U.S. Voters Want To See Mueller Report (Quinnipiac, both pre- and post-summary delivery)

Nearly half still think Trump obstructed Russian probe (POLITICO/Morning Consult)

Despite report findings, almost half of Americans think Trump colluded with Russia (Reuters/Ipsos)

These Ordinary Americans Discussed the Mueller Investigation. Here's Their Surprising

Consensus (GBAO Strategies for Protect The Investigation, reported in Time)

Trump, Tweets, and White Supremacy (Quinnipiac)

2020 and the Future

Iowa 2020: Biden and Sanders neck and neck (Emerson)

The Spirit of South Bend (Kristen Soltis Anderson in Forum Axess)

Looking to the Future, Public Sees an America in Decline on Many Fronts (Pew)

Voters prefer popular vote over Electoral College (POLITICO/Morning Consult)

Drunk Shopping

The 2019 Drunk Shopping Census (The Hustle)

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Poll of the week: Fox Republicans and Bill Maher

GOP Fox News Viewers Say Trump Is Best President Ever (Navigator)

Trump and White Nationalism

Trump Favorable/Unfavorable (RealClear Policy)

Fewer Than 20 Percent Of Americans Say Trump Opposes White Nationalism (HuffPost/YouGov)

The Mueller Report

60 percent have some confidence in fairness of Mueller probe (The Associated Press/NORC Center for Public Affairs Research)

Half of Americans say Trump is victim of a 'witch hunt' as trust in Mueller erodes (USA TODAY/Suffolk University)

2020

Harris climbs in the Democratic race, as enthusiasm starts high for both parties (CNN/SSRS)

For 2020, Most Democrats Prefer an Experienced Political Insider (Morning Consult/Politico)

Sanders Tied with Biden; O’Rourke Gets Post-Announcement Bump (Emerson)

Are Independents Real?

Political Independents: Who They Are, What They Think (Pew Research)

AOC and Amazon

2/3 of Voters Say Amazon Cancelling Queens HQ Bad for NY (Siena College)

College Admissions

Large majority says college admissions unfairly favor wealthy, well-connected (Suffolk University/USA Today)

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Trump and a GOP primary?

Trump Approval (RealClear Politics)

Weld, Hogan lag far behind Trump in GOP contest (Monmouth)

Iowa Poll: Registered Republicans like Trump but 40 percent want a GOP challenger (Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom)

O Canada!

Canada Votes 2019 Poll Tracker (CBCNews)

Across the Pond

Most Britons see no improvement in May's latest plan (Sky News)

Half of UK voters want Theresa May to resign (Politico)

On a scale from 1 to 10, how much do the numbers used in survey scales really matter? (Pew Research)

Dame It All To Hell

Republicans see equality for women. Democrats don't. (Politico/Morning Consult)

Witty Women Are Less Likely To Get Promoted Than Men (University of Arizona)

St. Patrick’s Day Party Cities

2019’s Best Cities for St. Patrick’s Day Celebrations (WalletHub)

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How are things shaking out for Trump’s emergency declaration?

U.S. Voters Oppose Trump Emergency Powers On Wall (Quinnipiac)

60 percent of Americans oppose Trump's emergency declaration to fund wall (NBC/WSJ via  The Hill)

Trump gets some good news from an NBC poll but bad news from Quinnipiac

2020 race will be uphill for Trump (NBC/WSJ)

64 Percent Of U.S. Voters Say Trump Committed A Crime (Quinnipiac)

Impeachment Support Inches Up (Monmouth)

Dem 2020 Catch-up: “a lover not a fighter”

President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics)

2020 race will be uphill for Trump, but he has strong party loyalty (NBC/WSJ)

A Survey Of Florida Voters (Bendixen & Amandi)

Biden, Sanders, O'Rourke Tie Trump In Texas (Quinnipiac)

2020 Primaries (Morning Consult)

Democratic Voters Would Rather Have a Leader Who Heals Than Fights (Morning Consult)

The 2019 Infinite Dial! (Edison Research & Triton Digital)

Polling the pollsters...How is the political campaign industry doing? (PSB Research for Campaigns & Elections)

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Trump Job Approval

Stabilizing, but what does it mean? (Real Clear Politics)

The Manafort sentencing memo indicates 75 pages of polling data were shared with Konstantin Kilimnik, so we speculate wildly what it might have been.

Kristin’s Washington Examiner column

2020 Democrats, a Deep Dive

Fewer than 3-in-10 Dems have 'strong opinion' about 2020 nominee (Politico / Morning Consult)

The State of the Democratic Primary (Morning Consult)=

Democratic Voters’ Second Choices Show How Fluid The 2020 Primary Race Is (FiveThirtyEight analysis of Morning Consult tracking poll)

Releasing the Mueller Report Publicly

Majority wants Mueller report released to the public (Politico / Morning Consult)

Has there been a shift in attitudes on abortion?

Americans’ Opinions on Abortion (Marist for Knights of Columbus)

A new poll shows a spike in pro-life sentiment. Don’t panic — or declare victory. (Davis Byler in The Washington Post)

Pew switches to online polls

What our transition to online polling means for decades of phone survey trends (Pew Research)

TAKE A NAP!

Poll: National Public Sleeping Day (News12 Long Island) 

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Civics education is struggling

Happy Presidents Day! History is hard (Woodrow Wilson National Fellowship Foundation)

Trump job approval, Mr 44%! And the national emergency becomes...more popular?

President Trump Job Approval (Real Clear Politics)

6-In-10 Disapprove Of Trump's Declaration Of A National Emergency (NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist)

And the Oscar for Top Issue goes to…

Record High Name Government as Most Important Problem (Gallup)

How with the 2020 polls influence the Dem debates?

The details for the first 2 presidential primary debates (Politico)

Biden maintains lead in 2020 Democratic field (Emerson)

Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders have edge in 2020 New Hampshire Democratic primary (UMass)

Understanding Shifts in Democratic Party Ideology (Gallup)

How would people feel if their child married someone of the other party or…?

American Democracy in Crisis: The Fate of Pluralism in a Divided Nation (PRRI)

Teens and anxiety

Most U.S. Teens See Anxiety and Depression as a Major Problem Among Their Peers (Pew Research)

OSCARS!

Oscars 2019 — Best Motion Picture (IMDB)

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Trump’s numbers have bounced back!

Trump: Favorable/Unfavorable (Real Clear Politics)

The work of Mueller and “Mister Peepers”!

Mueller Poll Shows Very Few Republicans Believe Russia Interfered In 2016 Election (HuffPost/YouGov)

Most Americans in new poll support Democratic investigations of Trump administration (Global Strategy Group /GBA Strategies for Restore Public Trust)

More voters back Mueller probe, say it has 'uncovered crimes' (Navigator Research)

Mister Peepers, the Ballad of Rod Rosenstein (song by Ben Folds)

It's time to start looking at the 2020 polls a little more seriously.

Announced/Potential Democratic Presidential Candidate Name Recognition Results (Saint Anselm College / New Hampshire Institute of Politics)

Which 2020 Democrats Already Have A Fan Base — And Which Don’t (FiveThirtyEight)

National Tracking Poll (Morning Consult / Politico)

“Well Virginia they didn’t give you quite enough information!”

About a third of Americans say blackface in a Halloween costume is acceptable at least sometimes (Pew Research)

Virginians are split on governor’s fate amid blackface scandal, poll shows (Washington Post/Schar School)

How people are feeling about their finances.

Americans' Confidence in Their Finances Keeps Growing (Gallup)

Valentine’s Day!

Three Months’ Salary for an Engagement Ring? For Most People, It’s More Like Two Weeks (Morning Consult for The Upshot)

Men have higher expectations for Valentine’s Day than women (Bankrate)

Celebrating Valentine's Day with your dog? Survey says that's not weird (Rover.com)

One-in-three women have been disappointed in a partner’s Valentine’s Day actions (YouGov)

This is what men and women really want for Valentine’s Day (YouGov)

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The State of the Union...does it ever move numbers? Was Tuesday’s speech the dawning of a new era or a soon-forgotten blip?

Poll: More than half will definitely vote against Trump (Politico/Morning Consult)

Speech audience was most partisan since 2001 (CNN/SSRS)

Most viewers approved of Trump's second State of the Union address (CBS News)

And what of 2020? With more and more contenders jumping in, we will take a look at Trump’s re-election prospects and what we can know about the Dem field.

President Trump Job Approval (Real Clear Politics)

Most Democrats say bring on Biden (CNN/SSRS)

California Dems Excited About Biden And Harris (Quinnipiac)

Wealth taxes, Medicare for all, and the Green New Deal are the big policy pushes from Dems...we will look at some new polling on wealth taxes.

Warren’s Proposed Tax on Wealthy Draws More Support Than Ocasio-Cortez’s (Morning Consult)

There’s been a lot of apologizing lately. Do people think public officials should have to apologize for things like blackface? And speaking of apologies, how would the Brits do it?

Only 58 percent of Americans oppose blackface (YouGov via Washington Post)

Most Brits think “I’m sorry for any offence caused” is a proper apology (YouGov)

Big game ads! What were the favorites?

2019 Ad Meter Results (USAToday)

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Producers note: Margie was in a taxi and Kristen was out of the studio as well so the audio quality of this episode is well below our usual standards but we wanted to get the episode to you no matter what!

The bleeding has stopped but the patient could use a transfusion...how will Roger Stone and the kick-the-can Shutdown delay impact POTUS numbers?

ProtectTheInvestigation.org (GBS Strategies)

America is heading in the wrong direction (NBC/WSJ)

President Trump Job Approval (RealClearPolitics)

President Trump’s marks on the economy slip (The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research)

Socialism...so hot right now, or like trying to make fetch happen? How many early aughts movie references can I jam into this section?

2019 World Economic Forum (Axios/SurveyMonkey)

Turning up the 2020 talk on our 200th episode...Can a primary challenge to Trump survive? How much traction could a Howard Schultz candidacy get? What are Dems looking for?

Inside Democratic coalition, three groups show fissures (NBC News/Wall Street Journal )

Democrats’ 2020 presidential contest is wide open as danger mounts for Trump (Washington Post/ABC)

Josh Krashauer tweet about Schultz poll

SNACK INDEX!

First-Ever Frito-Lay U.S. Snack Index Reveals Super Bowl Snacking Picks (Frito-Lay North America/Morning Consult)

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