The Schaftlein Report

Schaftlein Report | One week until election Day. 21M already Voted Guest - Drew Allen 1) Arizona Senate race takes a turn as Libertarian drops out and endorses Masters. He was polling at 1% Jim McLaughlin Republican pollster has Kelly +2. Kari Lake up by 10 in governors race. Hispanic voters shift to GOP is the key. 2) Georgia - Scott Rasmussen pollster has Walker +5. The RCP average is Walker +2. Run off likely. Walker outspent 4-1. 3) Nevada - Pollster Trafalger has Laxalt up by 4. Average is Laxalt +1 4) NYT Governor race - Lee Zeldon takes the lead by 1 point over Kathy Hochul according to Trafalger Poll of Likely Voters 5) Republican ENTHUSIASM is +10. Generic ballot is Republicans +2 6) Republican attacks on Democratic crime wave have been devastating to Democrats 6A) 82% of Black Democrats are concerned about crime. Only 33% of White Democrats rate crime a major problem. 6B) Mass shooting in Chicago leaves 14 injured in Halloween incident. 7) Only 1 in 3 voters support Biden energy policies 8) Musk limits censorship tools for employee access 9) Roberts temporarily blocks access to Trump tax returns.

1) CBS projects +25 House Seats giving Republicans control. Real Clear Politics predicts +31 1A) The Economy/Inflation is the top issue. 1B) Independents have broken toward Republicans by 18 points over the past two weeks to lead 49-33. Two weeks ago, Democrats were +2 1C) Generic Ballot at Republican +3 2) Democrats desperately try to push Fetterman over the finish line. Democrats lied to the voters of PA by not disclosing his health issues fully. 3) Patty Murray only up by 1 in Washington state - Trafalger poll. Bolduc and Hassan tied in New Hampshire 4) Musk starts enforcing cuts at Twitter as leftists rage. Musk fires entire BOD of leftists. 5) Heating Oil prices skyrocket tin the Northeast. Will voters swing to GOP? Diesel shortage in mid Atlantic region coming. 6) Personal Consumption Expenditure Index stays high at 6.2%. This is a key gage viewed by the Federal Reserve. 7) Biden's senile side shows again claiming there are 54 states. Democrats keep him on the sideline bringing out Obama. 8) 35 shot and 5 killed in Chicago over the weekend. 9) Russian missile strikes hit critical infrastructure in Ukraine. Russians block grain supplies.

Schaftlein Report | Democratic Party Problems Persist

Guest - Jeffrey Dunetz 1) Kelly and Masters are tied in Arizona. Kelly - "Arizonians are sick of Biden Border Policies" He is the Democrat. 2) Even Democrats and their Media are criticizing Fetterman as not qualified to be in the Senate. 3) Budd up by 4 over Beasley in NC 4) Walker now up by 2-5 points in GA according to Trafalger/Rasmussen 4A) Kemp up by 10 5) 21% of Black voters support Republicans. Trump won 12%. Hispanics support at 40%, Trump won 32% 5A) Democrats embrace Transgenderism, support criminals instead of victims, no answer of Inflation. They are the party of division and hate. Example - The State Department spent money on 13 drag shows in Ecuador. Enough already! 6) Democratic policies on Abortion, gun control and climate are not popular with the electorate . 7) Crime - Gunman hijacks a bus in NYC and crashes then gets arrested. Portland man slashes tires on 65 cars - anarchy. 8) Economy grew 2.6% in Q3 but recession fears are persistent 9) NJ Democrat Bob Menendez under criminal investigation - again 10) Musk takes over Twitter tomorrow. Maybe the cesspool will be cleaned up

1) Cook Political Report has Republicans winning 25 House seats 1A) Virginia Political Science Professor Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball gives Republicans clear edge in House 1B) Generic Ballot at Republican +2.4% 2) Biden approval rating at 39% in Reuters Poll. Democrats generally keeping him off the campaign trail. 3) 2 Suspects arrested in savage attack on Rubio volunteers in horrific political attack. Victim in hospital. 4) Senate race shows Rubio up 10 points over Demings 4A) Fetterman has a disgraceful debate performance showing he in not qualified to be a senator. Flip flops on fracking issues. Medically unfit. 4B) In a shocking development, Tiffany Smiley is gaining on Patty Murray in Washington. She still trails by 4-5 points. 5) DeSantis cruising in Florida up 14 points 5A) Zeldon puts in exceptional debate in NY Governor racee. Crime is top issue. 6) Inflation and the Economy dominate the issues nationwide and tha favors Republicans. 7) Red Balloon update on employers and employees

1) Polling Numbers: GA - Walker +2 Wisc. - Johnson +2 Nevada - Laxalt - +2 Ohio - Vance +3 N.H. Hassan +2 (Don Bolduc is gaining) Penn. - Fetterman +2 (mixed polling) Generic Ballot - Republicans +3 Kemp +7 in GA Governor race over Abrams Abbott +9 in TX over O'rourke Hocul/Zeldon too close to call in NY 1A) A Biased media is keeping the race close with positive Democratic coverage and Negative Republican coverage. 1B)) Democrats are running all negative adds against Republicans driving up their negative numbers. Republicans are favored on the issues, but some candidates are less popular. 2) Rubio staffer attacked and hospitalized after canvassing for Rubio in Hialeah. 3) Biden's Jim Crow 2.0 exposed as another blatant lie as voter turn out surges. 3A) Biden appears lost at White House tree planting ceremony in garden. Another sign of cognitive loss. 4) Russian court rejects Griner drug conviction appeal 5) Adidas ends Kanye West endorsement deal over anti Jewish remarks 6) Driver arrested carrying 60 illegals across the border 7) Progressives pull embarrassing letter to Biden seeking for Ukraine to negotiate with Russia despite progress in war and war crimes by Russians 8) Former Defense Secretary Ash Carter dies at 68.

1) Inflation, Crime and Border/Immigration issues are working for Republicans 2) Generic Ballot has Republicans +3.4 2A) Real Clear Politics projects Republicans win 29 House seats and 3 Senate seats 2B) PA tied at 46%, one poll has Oz +4 2C) Laxalt up 1% in Nevada, Hassan up by 2 on Bolduc in New Hampshire - McConnell pulls funding? Vance +4 in Ohio, Johnson +3 in Wisconsin, Murray lead falls to 3 in Washington. 2D) Abrams losing badly in GA Governor race down 7-10 points. Campaign manager paid $Millions from non profit she set up. 3) Biden approval at 39% as Independents and some Democrats flee 4) Majority of Americans blame the crime spike on "Woke Policies of Democrats" 4A) Largest ever drop in Math scores attributed to same issue 5) Appellate Court temporarily stops Biden's Illegal Student Loan Forgiveness scheme. 22M have applied so far. Biden claims congress passed it by 1 or 2 votes? He is lost. 6) Russia launches massive missile attacks on Ukraine causing major power outages while the 101st Airborne Division is in Europe on the border of Ukraine 7) 50 shot in Chicago over the weekend.

1) Wide split on Biden energy policies showing the following disapproval: Republicans - 72% Independents - 54% Democrats - 15% Classic Definition of LOW INFORMATION VOTERS The Strategic Petroleum Reserve is at a 40 year low thanks to Biden poor policies. biden asks energy companies to produce more oil and slash prices. This is REVERSE Economic theory. 2) Housing delivers a mixed report: Home Sales declined 24% year over year, However the Average selling price rose 8% to $385K. 1.25M homes are for sale which is a 3.2 month supply. A balanced market is a 6 month supp;ly. 3 year fixed rate mortgages are now 7.22% 3) Election notes: Generic Ballot GOP +6 and Biden Approval at 39% Pennsylvania tried to accept mail in ballots without dates. OZ pounds Fetterman on crime Cook Political Report moves Florida Senate race from Lean Republican to Likely Republican as Rubio strengthens his lead Washington Senate race moved from Solid Democratic to Likely Democrat as Murray lead shrinks 4) Supreme Court asked to BLOCK Biden Illegal Student Debt Relief program. 5) BLUE CITY DISASTER NEWS: A.Washington D.C. city counsel votes 12-1 to allow Illegal Immigrants to vote in local elections. This will not pass congress as opposition grows from both parties but it illustrates the insanity of leftists. B. Large numbers of police officers resign in St Louis a crime rate soars C. San Francisco spends $1.7M to build a public toilet. The city blamed inflation. D. Black Americans are being crushed by Democratic crime and no bail policies. 20% of population in NY and 72% of crime victims 13% nationwide and 50% of crime victims. 1% of streets produce 25% of crime in NYC 5% of streets produce 50% of crime in NYC Similar story in other blue cities like Chicago and Memphis. This is a social break down on massive proportions 6: Foreign Affairs: 6A) British Prime Minister Liz Truss resigns after just 6 weeks at the helm. Her policies were rejected by financial markets. 6B) China - Are they moving to take Taiwan sooner under Xi? 6C) How long will Putin remain while deaths climb past 65K? They lost $15K in Afghanistan.

1) Election Polls: Hocul (D) lead narrows to 4 over Zeldon (R) in NY Governor race - Quinnipiac poll Fetterman (D) lead over OZ (R) narrows to 2 in PA Senate Race - AARP poll Kelly (D) lead over Masters (R) narrows to 1 point in AZ Senate Race - Trafalger poll Lake (R) extends lead to +3 in AZ Governor Race - Trafalger poll 2) Biden approval holds steady at 40% and he does not go out on the campaign trail. Why would anyone want him near them. 2A) CNN commentator Gloria Borger - "Biden does NOT want the election to be about inflation and the economy. Sorry, he is losing that argument. 3) Republicans are trusted more in the key issues of Inflation, Economy, Crime and Border. 3A) Abortion falls to 5th as only 1 in 10 make it a priority and the split is 40-37 Democrats - Republicans meaning they are essentially canceling each other out. 4) Biden advocates full term abortions. Is his base that insecure where he has to pander to the far left wing? 5) Rubio has stellar debate performance over Demings in FL Senate battle. He currently leads by 4. 6) Democratic Senator Warner acknowledges the $1.9T rescue plan was too large contributing to inflation. Unemployment had fallen from 15% to 6%. Inflation was running at 1.4% and we were well on the way to recovery. Democrats ruined that with terrible economic policies. 7) Americans are increasing credit card use as they run out of money to buy basic necessities. This is a bad omen. 7A) Federal Reserve signals another 75 basis point hike as persistent inflation grips America 8) Republicans are pounding Democrats as soft on crime and the message is working

1) Democrats are LOSING and Lying on ALL of the Key Issues 1A) Biden to release an additional 10-15M barrels of oil and sell 40M barrels beyond the 180M already authorized in an effort to stop the rise in gas prices before the election. Typical political move rather than solving the real problem. 2) Democrats feel they may have "Peaked too early" in Congressional races. We agree and we'll explain further. 2A) Democrats are pouring money into a Rhode Island House race held by Democrats since 1991. When you are on the defensive, you are losing. 2B) Biden appeals to his base by promising legislation on abortion and rolling our student loan forgiveness web page. Legal challenges remain. 3) High profile Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison is in a tie with his Republican challenger Tim Schultz. 4) Senate Polling: Vance +2 in Ohio Budd +6 in North Carolina as his lead expands Grassley only up +3 in Iowa as race is closer than expected Johnson +3 in Wisconsin and the lead appears to be growing Warnock and Walker appear headed to run off as no one is above 50% due to Libertarian candidate drawing 3-4% support 5) Black candidates and NAACP claim Republican adds about crime are racist. They are trying to distract on the central issue of crime and Americans are not buying what they are selling. All Americans are concerned about crime and the weak Democratic policies that got us here. Sen. Tubberville laughs off criticism. 5A) Police attacked in Philadelphia 5B) White House asked El Paso mayor NOT to declare State of Emergency over Border invasion. 6) Grassley - "FBI is aware of Biden Crime Family activity". What will happen? Our guess is nothing. 7) Russia hits Ukraine power stations with drones from Iran and levels civilian homes in escalation of war.

1) Generic Ballot Likely Voters 48-41 Rasmussen. Up from +4 at last polling. CBS Republicans +2, however 48-43 min competitive races. Harris Poll Republican +6 Trafalger Republican +5 New York Times Republicans +4 1A) CNN poll who do you trust to get the country moving in the right direction - Republicans 54-45%. Extremely motivated to vote Republicans52-46 59% say the economy is extremely important 56% say Inflation is extremely important 1B) CBS says Republicans poised to increase turn out and take the House. Democrats only hope is younger voters turning out. Current projection is 224 - 211 Republican edge in House 1C) Real Clear Politics projects 26 seat pick up in House 2) Fetterman +2 in PA, Kelly +4 in AZ, Warnock +1 in GA, Vance +3.5 in Ohio, Johnson +6 in Wisconsin, Laxalt +2 in Nevada 3) Nike founder Phil Knight to support Republican candidate for Governor in Oregon Betsy Johnson as he says Oregon has gone the wrong way. 4) Biden says the economy is "Strong as Hell". WHAT? Only 26% want him to run for re-election. Jill Biden booed mercilessly at Philadelphia Eagles/Dallas cowboys football game 4A) Inflation and higher mortgage rates are pushing away first time home buyers. Grocery prices for food up 13% year over year. 5) Democrats have spent $2T on the economy and it has failed to work. They will not discuss this on the campaign trail. 6) Open door policies at the border lead to having 76% of migrants in shelters for homeless. 7) Crime Report: SF woke policies turn the city into an open drug market. Serial killer of 5 caught in Stockton, CA 36 Shot in Chicago, innocent victims killed Orlando Jewelry store owner kills 2 of 4 robbers who tried to rob him. EXCELLENT!! Too bad he didn't go 4 for 4. 8) Suicide drones and missiles strike key Ukrainian cities. 9) Tennessee defeats Alabama 52-49 in great College Football game in Knoxville