The WellSaid Podcast

The bond market is critical for moving credit through the global financial system. So how will global bond markets respond amid today's volatility? How have the first 100 days of the Trump administration changed the calculus? In the first episode of Wellington Management's new InvestorExchange podcast, host Amar Reganti, fixed income strategist, talks to Campe Goodman, head of multisector credit investing, about what's next for bond markets and how investors may be able to navigate them.

1:50 How the bond market reflects the current economic environment
4:30 Are we headed for a recession?
7:00 Effect of policy uncertainty on opportunities in credit
10:20 What do credit allocators overlook?
12:10 The rise of private credit
15:50 Tail risks and key lessons learned

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Strategists Thomas Mucha and Nick Wylenzek discuss the regime shift in European markets, focusing on deglobalization, tighter monetary policy, and increased government intervention. They explore the impacts on sectors like defense, energy, and the evolving relationship with China.

Key topics:
1:45 - Unpacking the European economic regime shift
7:00 - Alpha potential of European markets
9:15 - National security concerns among EU governments
12:50 - A potential NATO split?
15:20 - Sector outlooks for European equities
16:45 - Europe and China relations

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Nick Samouilhan, co-head of Wellington’s multi-asset platform, joins host Thomas Mucha to discuss the importance of adapting portfolios to rising macro volatility, geopolitical changes, and structural shifts.

Key topics
2:00 – Drivers of macro volatility
4:05 – Inflation, diversification, and stress testing
8:15 – Company and currency dispersion
10:25 – Regime diversification
12:15 – Role of hedge funds
14:45 – Private market opportunities
17:00 – Navigating geopolitical risk
20:25 – New rules for investing

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On the latest episode of WellSaid, fixed income strategist Amar Reganti joins host Thomas Mucha to explore the potential effects of tariffs, ongoing geopolitical conflicts, China's economic recovery, the growth of private credit, and much more on 2025's fixed income markets.

In this episode:
1:55 – History and impact of tariffs
6:15 – Geopolitical conflict and inflation
12:15 – China’s economic recovery
16:00 – US/China great-power conflict
18:45 – Currency risk: Japanese yen
20:00 – US equities: Is it all just one trade?
22:05 – Housing market
24:25 – The growth of private credit

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Health care services experts David Khtikian and Josh Sommerfeld join host Thomas Mucha to explore the industry's transformation, diving into consolidation, tech innovation, value-based care, and the benefit of their public/private collaboration.

1:30 – Evolution of health care services
3:30 – Next generation of digital health companies
6:45 – Public market: Leveraging private market insights
8:35 – Private market: Collaborating with public investors
11:20 – Top down macro and regulatory environments
16:20 – Health care in Trump 2.0
19:45 – Value-based care in private markets
23:15 – Impact of income inequality

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In the wake of the US election, macro strategists Juhi Dhawan and Michael Medeiros join host Thomas Mucha to discuss the market, policy, and geopolitical implications of Trump 2.0.

In this episode:
1:15 – Equity market: Potential winners and losers
3:35 – Outlook for fixed income and bond yields
5:00 – Fiscal policy implications
6:30 – Deficits and the bond market
7:30 – Immigration’s impact on growth and inflation
10:15 – Tariffs and trade policy
13:10 – Geopolitical risk
15:30 – Fed policy in Trump 2.0

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Macro strategist Mike Medeiros joins host Thomas Mucha to discuss the potential market impacts of the upcoming US election. Listen to the full episode to understand how different outcomes in the House, Senate, and White House races could shape the economy.

2:25 - Market implications of major policy differences
7:15 - When will bond markets care about deficits?
9:35 - The impact of polling errors
13:15 - Key issues and the race to 270
15:25 - Potential black swans
17:15 - The most polarized time in history
20:00 - Different approaches to income inequality
21:25 - The Senate, the House, and how divided government affects markets
25:30 - The Fed, inflation, and other macro variables
27:25 - Disinformation, deepfakes, and gen AI
28:35 - Who do markets think will win?

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Small-cap stocks have experienced a historic rotation in response to recent macro jolts. In the latest episode of WellSaid, equity strategist Andy Heiskell joins host Thomas Mucha to discuss his outlook for small companies in this environment.

2:00 – The role of a global equity strategist
3:40 – Small-cap stocks’ recent rotation
5:25 – Regime change is a process
7:05 – Potential drivers of small caps' relative outperformance
9:00 – Small caps and the economic cycle
10:50 – Characteristics of higher-quality small caps
12: 20 – Identifying today’s small-cap opportunities
14:25 – The growth of private equity
18:00 – The impact of geopolitics and national security
21:00 – Lessons learned

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Portfolio manager Dirk Enderlein joins host Thomas Mucha to discuss how European markets are evolving and how long/short investors can potentially make the most of the changes.

2:15 – Long/short investing amid Europe’s structural shifts
5:00 – Bubble or durable regime change?
7:30 – Energy transition
10:00 – Defense sector deep dive
15:45 – Bottom-up stock picking
18:30 – Evaluating emerging technologies
20:30 – Investing with an engineering mindset

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Head of Multi-Asset Strategy for EMEA, Supriya Menon, explores her team's latest research on how climate change affects capital market assumptions.

Key topics:
2:05 – Supriya’s investment background
3:25 – Climate research from an allocator’s perspective
6:10 – New research framework: Three pillars
8:20 – Collaborating with internal climate experts
9:50 – Key research findings
12:30 – Implementing a climate framework
14:45 – Climate risk, geopolitics, and transition scenarios
18:20 – Integrating climate across asset classes
22:05 – Insurers approach to climate
23:30 – Next steps for climate research

The views expressed are those of the speaker(s) and are subject to change. Other teams may hold different views and make different investment decisions. For professional/institutional investors only. Your capital may be at risk.

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