Key Wealth Matters

Trick or Treat? Fed Slashes Rates but Future Uncertainty Dampens Spirits


Listen Later

Cynthia Honcharenko, Director of Fixed Income Portfolio Management, joins the podcast to deliver a report on this week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting; be sure to read her companion piece, “The Gentle Cut: Easing Without Euphoria” on our Weekly Investment Brief feed. Our discussion tracks how the equity and bond markets behaved leading up to, and following, the meeting, and what to expect going forward. We also touch on this week’s earnings reports from several big tech companies, and what positive trade talks between the United States and China might mean for the future.

 

Speakers:

Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment Strategy

Cynthia Honcharenko, Director of Fixed Income Portfolio Management

Rajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed Income

Stephen Hoedt, Head of Equities
 
01:30 – Expected reports on initial unemployment claims, GDP, and inflation were not published this week due to the ongoing government shutdown, which is on track to be the longest in history once it surpasses the 2018 record of 34 days.

03:20 – Coverage of this week’s FOMC meeting, including the 25 basis point cut to the federal funds rate, two diametric dissents, the themes and opinions driving that decision, and Chair Powell’s warning that another rate cut in December is far from guaranteed as we see signs of a weakening labor market, elevated inflation, and a lack of data to make informed decisions due to the government shutdown.

05:43 – In reaction to the FOMC meeting and Powell’s assertion that a December rate cut is less likely than previously expected, the markets experienced a bit of a reversal of recent gains that were driven by that expectation.

07:43 – We discuss the five candidates that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent revealed this week. They include three current and former Fed Governors, the current Director of the National Economic Council, and a BlackRock executive.

10:03 – Q3 earnings reports continue to send the stock market higher. The reports from this week’s big companies were Amazon and Alphabet, which were both positive, Apple, which underwhelming but not bad, and Meta and Microsoft, which were both somewhat negative. 

12:25 – Positive news from trade talks between the United States and China might reduce the elevated sentiment of geopolitical risk that hit the markets in the first few months of the year on tariff threats, and which has been a question mark ever since.

14:58 – The fixed income market has seen some widening in credit spreads following the FOMC meeting, but generally positive credit conditions and future corporate bond issuance herald a robust November.

 

Additional Resources

Read: The Gentle Cut: Easing Without Euphoria – 10/29/2025 FOMC Update

Ask: Key Questions: Active ETFs or Mutual Funds: Which Belongs in Your Portfolio? 

 

Key Questions

Subscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletter

Weekly Investment Brief

Follow us on LinkedIn

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

Key Wealth MattersBy Key Wealth Institute

  • 5
  • 5
  • 5
  • 5
  • 5

5

10 ratings


More shows like Key Wealth Matters

View all
Planet Money by NPR

Planet Money

30,695 Listeners

Exchanges by Goldman Sachs

Exchanges

974 Listeners

WSJ What’s News by The Wall Street Journal

WSJ What’s News

4,371 Listeners

Masters in Business by Bloomberg

Masters in Business

2,172 Listeners

Pivot by New York Magazine

Pivot

9,579 Listeners

Notes on the Week Ahead by Dr. David Kelly

Notes on the Week Ahead

194 Listeners

Insights Now by Dr. David Kelly and Gabriela Santos, J.P. Morgan Asset Management

Insights Now

95 Listeners

Schwab Market Update Audio by Charles Schwab

Schwab Market Update Audio

349 Listeners

The Compound and Friends by The Compound

The Compound and Friends

2,116 Listeners

Thoughts on the Market by Morgan Stanley

Thoughts on the Market

1,299 Listeners

WashingtonWise by Charles Schwab

WashingtonWise

455 Listeners

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg by All-In Podcast, LLC

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

9,956 Listeners

The Efficient Advisor: Tactical Business Advice for Financial Planners by Libby Greiwe

The Efficient Advisor: Tactical Business Advice for Financial Planners

130 Listeners

Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

76 Listeners

Prof G Markets by Vox Media Podcast Network

Prof G Markets

1,387 Listeners