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📈Weekly Charts📉 Video Recap
This week’s update walks through the broad market picture across U.S. indexes, global markets, bonds, commodities, crypto, and key breadth and risk measures.
🟢 Key Takeaways:
SPX & QQQ: Still in high-level consolidations after Friday’s sharp pullback. Structure holds above key AVWAPs and rising support zones.
Commodities: Silver continues its steep breakout. GSG builds higher lows but still capped below $23.
Dollar & Volatility: Dollar reversed from resistance. VIX remains low — supportive for risk.
Breadth & Risk Appetite: Mixed tone. Growth cooled, value led. High beta reversed after a strong run. Breadth indicators remain elevated.
Bonds & Bitcoin: Bonds look vulnerable to further weakness. Bitcoin stuck in a bearish range below key VWAPs.
Next Week: Watching for follow-through or stabilization ahead of Thursday’s CPI data — a potential short-term catalyst.
🎯 All charts are included in the downloadable PDF so you can review levels and context across timeframes.
📥 Download the full chart pack here
The Disclosures
***This is NOT financial advice. This is NOT a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any security. The content presented here is intended for educational purposes only.
Thursday Market Update – December 4, 2025
In today’s video, we reviewed key developments across the major indices, crypto, and several leading stock themes:
* Indices (SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA):
A bullish consolidation continues, with the S&P and Nasdaq drifting sideways near highs, while small caps (IWM) and the Dow (DIA) show notable relative strength. Buyers remain in control for now, but we may see some digestion after a strong run.
* Crypto (BTC, ETH, SOL):
Early signs of constructive basing, but major tokens are still facing resistance. Momentum is building, but caution remains warranted.
* MAG-7 Check-In:
* Apple & Google continue to lead with bullish consolidation.
* Meta popped on cost-cutting news but hit overhead resistance.
* Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia, and AMD are mixed to weak and mostly range-bound.
* Thematic Strength – Rotation in Play:
* Nuclear (e.g., NLR, OKLO)
* Quantum computing
* Aerospace & drones
All showed strong upside today, suggesting rotation into speculative and growth themes as large caps rest.
* Takeaway:
Momentum remains healthy with selective strength. We’re watching for potential short-term consolidation in overheated areas and continued rotation as the market prepares for its next leg.
The Disclosures
***This is NOT financial advice. This is NOT a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any security. The content presented here is intended for educational purposes only.
Market Update – August 21, 2025
Pro tip — Click the three vertical dots button in the lower right-hand corner to select a 1.25x playback speed.😉
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Tuesday brought a wave of strength across the markets — from major indices to crypto and key tech names — all closing strong as traders prepare for NVIDIA’s earnings after the bell on Wednesday. In today’s video update, I walk through the charts, highlight the standouts, and share the levels I’m watching next.
Click to watch and get ready for what’s shaping up to be a big week.
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EpicTrades Options Newsletter
Real-time trade ideas and insights, providing actionable trading insights focusing on options trades with short-term horizons, aiming to capitalize on weekly market movements.
The approach includes detailed reasoning for trades, specific options, and profit targets, focusing on quick gains with less time commitment required from subscribers.
The Inner Circle
The Inner Circle is a Virtual Trading Floor (VTF) at T3 Live. It’s the group I’ve been working and trading with since 2022. You may have noticed the logo in the watermarks on my charts.
Founded by David Prince and led by him, Rick March, and Kira Turner, the Inner Circle is a community of elite traders, including hedge fund managers, family office heads, corporate executives, financial advisors, and even professional poker players.
Fundamental, Macro, and Technical Analysis all combine to find and discuss the best opportunities in current markets.
The Disclosures
***This is NOT financial advice. This is NOT a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any security. The content presented here is intended for educational purposes only.
A comprehensive review of today's market activity, focusing on the impact of Trump's tariff comments and subsequent market recovery.
Market Overview:
* Sharp gap down due to Trump's comments about imposing tariffs on Canada and Mexico
* Strong recovery after news of Trump's friendly call with Mexico's President and one-month delay on tariffs
* $SPY closed at 597.77, near the 50-day moving average
* Bitcoin showed significant recovery from 91,178 to over 101,460
* $PLTR reported strong after-hours results, stock jumping from 83 to 97
Notable Technical Levels:
* SPY has potential resistance near $603 (8-day moving average)
* Potential support at $590.49 (today's pivot low)
* Dollar testing 21-day moving average as support
* Bitcoin could see resistance at $108-109k level
Upcoming Events:
* Earnings: $GOOGL, $AMD, $AMGN (Tuesday)
* $QCOM, $ARM, $MSTR (Wednesday)
* $AMZN (Thursday)
* Economic Data: JOLTS (Tuesday), ADP employment (Wednesday), Jobless claims (Thursday), Non-farm payrolls (Friday)
Action Points:
* Monitor $SPY's reaction to the 50-day moving average resistance
* Watch for potential continuation of $DIA leadership
* Keep expectations tempered due to typically weak February performance in post-election years
* Visit these links for more information from Jeffrey Hirsch and Ryan Detrick. Follow them both on X while you’re there.
* https://x.com/RyanDetrick/status/1886221160209363356
* https://x.com/AlmanacTrader/status/1885391355569905923
* Track Bitcoin's behavior around the 108-109k resistance level
The market continues to show increased volatility and uncertainty as February approaches, with mixed signals from different sectors and asset classes. Traders should remain vigilant, as multiple high-impact earnings reports and economic data releases are scheduled for the week ahead.
Looking For More?
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EpicTrades Options Newsletter
Real-time trade ideas and insights, providing actionable trading insights focusing on options trades with short-term horizons, aiming to capitalize on weekly market movements.
The approach includes detailed reasoning for trades, specific options, and profit targets, focusing on quick gains with less time commitment required from subscribers.
The Inner Circle
The Inner Circle is a Virtual Trading Floor (VTF) at T3 Live. It’s the group I’ve been working and trading with since 2022. You may have noticed the logo in the watermarks on my charts.
Founded by David Prince and led by him, Rick March, and Kira Turner, the Inner Circle is a community of elite traders, including hedge fund managers, family office heads, corporate executives, financial advisors, and even professional poker players.
Fundamental, Macro, and Technical Analysis all combine to find and discuss the best opportunities in current markets.
The Disclosures
***This is NOT financial advice. This is NOT a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any security. The content presented here is intended for educational purposes only.
Analyzing the stock futures roadmap and a lightning round trip through a list of names from the watch list.
Market Overview
* Stock indices gapped lower but rallied into close, with 3 out of 4 finishing green
* Performance: SPY +0.16%, IWM +0.19%, QQQ -0.32%, DIA +0.87%
* Bitcoin is trading at $94,200, up from $89,000, showing resilience at support levels
Key Events
* PPI data release tomorrow
* CPI data on Wednesday
* Bank earnings on Wednesday
* Inauguration Day next week
Trading Adventures is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a paid subscriber.
Technical Analysis
* SPY resistance level around 587, with multiple technical factors converging there
* QQQ resistance at 513 (8-day and 50-day moving averages) and 517 (anchored VWAP)
* The dollar showing continued strength, acting as a headwind for stocks
Notable Stock Movements
* Apple showed strength after testing August pivot low VWAP
* Palantir (PLTR) closed at $64.98, showing strength in after-hours trading
* Nike showing potential reversal after 6 days of decline
Trading Adventures is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a paid subscriber.
Looking For More?
Elevate Your Trading Adventure Even Further With These Offerings.
EpicTrades Options Newsletter
Real-time trade ideas and insights, providing actionable trading insights focusing on options trades with short-term horizons, aiming to capitalize on weekly market movements.
The approach includes detailed reasoning for trades, specific options, and profit targets, focusing on quick gains with less time commitment required from subscribers.
The Inner Circle
The Inner Circle is a Virtual Trading Floor (VTF) at T3 Live. It’s the group I’ve been working and trading with since 2022. You may have noticed the logo in the watermarks on my charts.
Founded by David Prince and led by him, Rick March, and Kira Turner, the Inner Circle is a community of elite traders, including hedge fund managers, family office heads, corporate executives, financial advisors, and even professional poker players.
Fundamental, Macro, and Technical Analysis all combine to find and discuss the best opportunities in current markets.
The Disclosures
***This is NOT financial advice. This is NOT a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any security. The content presented here is intended for educational purposes only.
The Markets
The falling Dollar and rising Bonds scenario is working out well. Revisit the Monday Market Update to read more about why it matters.
We’ll dig into the details of why this matters. But first, a special offer and Thanks to all of you - the readers.
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The Charts
Last Friday, US Dollar futures put in a potential topping candle after hitting the bull flag measured move price objective. This week, that topping candle is confirmed as prices move sharply lower. $DXY $DX1!
Meanwhile, $TLT Treasury bonds continue to climb, moving out of the quagmire near $90 and back over the 8-day MA, the 21-day MA, and a pivot area near $93. Next, it will need to deal with the 50 and 200-day MAs near $93.50.
These factors - falling dollar and falling rates/rising bonds - combined with seasonality and the average December market performance in a strong year like this one should provide a significant tailwind for stocks.
Here’s how the stock index charts and Bitcoin are holding up.
SPY
QQQ
IWM
DIA
BTCUSD
Once again, thank you all for making this a fun, successful, and, most of all, useful endeavor. I truly hope you’re enjoying the charts and articles. And I’m grateful for your support.
Let’s finish 2024 with a bang!
Get 33% off an annual subscription when you gift a friend or family member a monthly subscription.🎁
Click this button to send your gift.
Then receive a gift from me!
It’s that simple. Give a paid monthly subscription and receive 33% of your annual plan. Then, once you send the gift, email me to receive your promo code to purchase, renew, or extend your annual subscription at the discounted rate.
🦃🦃 Happy Thanksgiving! 🦃🦃
The Disclosures
***This is NOT financial advice. This is NOT a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any security. The content presented here is intended for educational purposes only.
Looking For More?
Elevate Your Trading Adventure Even Further With These Offerings.
EpicTrades Options Newsletter
Real-time trade ideas and insights, providing actionable trading insights focusing on options trades with short-term horizons, aiming to capitalize on weekly market movements.
The approach includes detailed reasoning for trades, specific options, and profit targets, focusing on quick gains with less time commitment required from subscribers.
The Inner Circle
The Inner Circle is a Virtual Trading Floor (VTF) at T3 Live. It’s the group I’ve been working and trading with since 2022. You may have noticed the logo in the watermarks on my charts.
Founded by David Prince and led by him, Rick March, and Kira Turner, the Inner Circle is a community of elite traders, including hedge fund managers, family office heads, corporate executives, financial advisors, and even professional poker players.
Fundamental, Macro, and Technical Analysis all combine to find and discuss the best opportunities in current markets.
The Market
Good afternoon, everyone.
In this early Monday Market Update, we will examine the current state of stock index futures, focusing on key levels and potential support/resistance areas while highlighting the importance of Friday's pivot lows and the need for prices to surpass certain levels for a rally to strengthen.
In short — do we hold the inside days at the close? And if so, do we get upside follow-through tomorrow?
Also, NVDA reports earnings Wednesday evening after the market closes. We’ll be back with a deeper look at the stock chart and earnings expectations in another article tomorrow.
Finally, all charts from the video are posted below.
Correction: In this video segment looking at Amazon, I mistakenly referred to the VWAP as anchored to the post-election day move when it’s actually anchored to the beginning of the month.
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The Charts
Gallery view - click a chart to enlarge and then scroll left to right to view the others.
The Disclosures
***This is NOT financial advice. This is NOT a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any security. The content presented here is intended for educational purposes only.
Looking For More?
Elevate Your Trading Adventure Even Further With These Offerings.
EpicTrades Options Newsletter
Real-time trade ideas and insights, providing actionable trading insights focusing on options trades with short-term horizons, aiming to capitalize on weekly market movements.
The approach includes detailed reasoning for trades, specific options, and profit targets, focusing on quick gains with less time commitment required from subscribers.
The Inner Circle
The Inner Circle is a Virtual Trading Floor (VTF) at T3 Live. It’s the group I’ve been working and trading with since 2022. You may have noticed the logo in the watermarks on my charts.
Founded by David Prince and led by him, Rick March, and Kira Turner, the Inner Circle is a community of elite traders, including hedge fund managers, family office heads, corporate executives, financial advisors, and even professional poker players.
Fundamental, Macro, and Technical Analysis all combine to find and discuss the best opportunities in current markets.
Consolidation
Prices are consolidating and testing the 8-day moving averages in many cases after the substantial rally — a move we anticipated in Monday’s Market Update article.
As we look at the completion of day four higher, are there signs that this move could slow down?
There were. And it has.
Now, we can examine the first support levels and see what holds.
More in the video.
I am pleased to announce the launch of reader-supported subscriptions to Trading-Adventures.com. For just $15 a month, you can further support this work and enhance your Trading Adventure.
* Go deeper than the indexes to analyze market moves beneath the surface.
* More charts, more analysis, and more education to improve your trading and enhance your success.
Subscribe now to support this Trading Adventure and take a significant step forward on your own. It's all available for less than a cup of coffee each week.
Been here a while and enjoy the freebies? No worries. Free subscribers will continue to receive the Market Update articles twice a week.
And you can help in other ways.
* Share Trading Adventures
* Forward this email to friends, family, coworkers, and fellow traders
Thank you for considering a paid subscription to Trading Adventures. I look forward to supporting you on your trading journey!
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Looking For More?
Elevate Your Trading Adventure Even Further With These Offerings.
EpicTrades Options Newsletter
Real-time trade ideas and insights, providing actionable trading insights focusing on options trades with short-term horizons, aiming to capitalize on weekly market movements.
The approach includes detailed reasoning for trades, specific options, and profit targets, focusing on quick gains with less time commitment required from subscribers.
The Inner Circle
The Inner Circle is a Virtual Trading Floor (VTF) at T3 Live. It’s the group I’ve been working and trading with since 2022. You may have noticed the logo in the watermarks on my charts.
Founded by David Prince and led by him, Rick March, and Kira Turner, the Inner Circle is a community of elite traders, including hedge fund managers, family office heads, corporate executives, financial advisors, and even professional poker players.
Fundamental, Macro, and Technical Analysis all combine to find and discuss the best opportunities in current markets.
The Disclosures
***This is NOT financial advice. This is NOT a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any security. The content presented here is intended for educational purposes only.
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