The discussion highlights the growing diplomatic struggle to end the war in Ukraine, focusing on President Trump’s inconsistent approach and its consequences. Initially, there was optimism for a trilateral Trump-Putin-Zelensky meeting, but recent statements from Russian officials confirm no such talks are planned. Despite repeated U.S. signals of urgency, Russia remains firm on conditions it has held since 2022, while Ukraine and Europe also maintain consistent positions.

Trump frequently expresses unhappiness about the war and sets short-term deadlines—such as “a couple of weeks” or “100 days”—for progress, but these deadlines repeatedly pass without consequences, undermining U.S. credibility. His positions have shifted from immediate resolution to demanding a ceasefire, and now to adopting Russia’s stance of addressing “root causes” before ceasefire, signaling malleability. This inconsistency incentivizes all sides to delay concessions, assuming Trump’s position will soften over time.

European and Ukrainian leaders, as well as Putin, exploit Trump’s need for flattery rather than altering their own stances. Meanwhile, talk of U.S. “security guarantees” introduces serious implications: Europe envisions Western troops in Ukraine, Zelensky wants a strong Ukrainian military backed by allied forces, and Russia strongly opposes this. With these definitions diverging sharply, the U.S. risks deeper entanglement and losing leverage, while Ukraine faces potential defeat if diplomacy collapses.

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