After all the fire and thunder, the deadline came, and it presented mostly as a feeble capitulation to the need for compromise. In spite of all the usual bluster from President Donald Trump and his administration, all the protestations of 'negotiating from strength' and 'the art of the deal', it seems that Iran is predominantly setting the terms of reference for the discussion, and determined to hold onto its dominance over the Strait of Hormuz. Negotiations may follow, but these are the factors that suggest Iran has won the war - so you can check to see which of them endure through the talks.