Feudal Future

Trump's Tariffs and the Future of US-Canada Relations


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Trump's threatened tariffs against Canada have sparked more than just economic anxiety—they've triggered a profound identity crisis among our northern neighbors. Joining Joel Kotkin and Marshall Toplansky are John Kay (Quillette) and Rob Roberts (National Post), who offer razor-sharp insights into how this diplomatic tension is reshaping Canadian self-perception.

The conversation reveals a fascinating psychological whiplash. Kay observes that many Canadians who recently characterized their country as a "genocide state" are now wrapping themselves in the maple leaf flag. This rapid oscillation between self-criticism and patriotism exposes what he describes as Canada's fundamentally "unstable" national identity—"like predicting the mood of a manic friend."

Beyond identity politics, the podcast explores concrete economic vulnerabilities that make diversification challenging. The auto industry emerges as particularly exposed, with parts often crossing the border multiple times during manufacturing. This integration makes talk of Canada simply pivoting to Asian markets unrealistic in the short term.

Yet amid the anxiety, there's a surprising silver lining. Roberts suggests this crisis might finally force Canada to address longstanding internal barriers to economic development—from interprovincial trade restrictions to the difficulties in approving energy projects. External pressure might accomplish what internal politics could not.

Most poignantly, both guests express a profound sense of betrayal that transcends economics. "There has been a real breach of trust, breach of friendship," Roberts explains. "We're hurt and angry in a way that I've never seen." This emotional dimension suggests that repairing US-Canadian relations will require more than just policy adjustments—it will demand rebuilding trust that has been fundamentally broken.

What role will Canada play in a rapidly changing North American economic landscape? Listen now to understand the complex dynamics reshaping our relationship with one of our most important allies.

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The Center for Demographics and Policy focuses on research and analysis of global, national, and regional demographic trends and explores policies that might produce favorable demographic results over time. It involves Chapman students in demographic research under the supervision of the Center’s senior staff.

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For additional information, please contact Mahnaz Asghari, Associate Director for the Center for Demographics and Policy, at (714) 744-7635 or [email protected].

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This show is presented by the Chapman Center for Demographics and Policy, which focuses on research and analysis of global, national and regional demographic trends and explores policies that might produce favorable demographic results over time.

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Feudal FutureBy Joel Kotkin & Marshall Toplansky

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