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By Impact Theory
Uncover the truth behind the headlines and memes in an unbiased pursuit of what’s real.
From interviews and reactions to debates on the most important topics of the day, this podcast w
... more4.7
46004,600 ratings
The podcast currently has 2,268 episodes available.
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Welcome back to Impact Theory with Tom Bilyeu! In this episode, we’re joined once again by Raoul Pal, a renowned macro investor and futurist thinker. Raoul Pal dives deep into the seismic shifts happening in the global economy, exploring how AI and technology are driving the next exponential age, reshaping markets, and pulling liquidity away from sectors like crypto. Together, we examine the opportunities—and challenges—facing investors in an uncertain world, including the impact of central bank decisions, the evolution of money and digital assets, and the looming transition to AI-driven decision-making at every level of business and government. From debunking doom-laden narratives about the decline of the US dollar to strategies for surviving—and thriving—amid market cycles, Raoul Pal shares the hard-earned lessons all investors need to hear. Prepare to rethink your playbook for the future as we tackle everything from the psychology of investing to the profound societal questions emerging in the age of artificial intelligence. 00:00 Intro 00:59 Liquidity In the Stock Market 06:44 The Dot-Com Math Nobody Runs 11:20 The $600 Test 22:03 Why The US Wants $3 Trillion In Stablecoins 32:43 The Real Danger of the Doom Narrative 44:03 Why AI Can't Kill Us Cash App: Download Cash App Today: https://capl.onelink.me/vFut/v6nymgjl #CashAppPod *Cash App is a financial services platform, not a bank. Banking services provided by Cash App’s bank partner(s). Prepaid debit cards issued by Sutton Bank, Member FDIC. Cash App Visa® Debit Flex Cards issued by Sutton Bank, Member FDIC, and The Bancorp Bank, N.A., pursuant to a license from Visa U.S.A. Inc. See terms and conditions for the Sutton prepaid card, Sutton debit flex card, and Bancorp debit flex card. Cash App Green features, Savings, Direct deposit, Round ups, Overdraft coverage and Discounts provided by Cash App, a Block, Inc. brand. Visit cash.app/legal/podcast for full disclosure. Quince: Free shipping and 365-day returns at https://quince.com/impactpod Whatnot: Download the Whatnot app today and get free shipping on your first order. Surfshark: Go to https://surfshark.com/TOMB or use code TOMB at checkout to get 4 extra months of Surfshark! ATT Business: Switch to AT&T Business at business.att.com Horizon.ai: Go to https://horizon3.ai/IMPACTTHEORY and request your free NodeZero demo. No commitment required. Results in hours, not weeks. Quo: Try for free PLUS get 20% off your first 6 months at https://quo.com/impact Incogni: Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code IMPACT at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/impact Pique: 20% off at https://piquelife.com/impact Shopify: Own your customer relationships. Own your revenue. Start with a free trial at https://shopify.com/impact Ketone IQ: Visit https://ketone.com/IMPACT for 30% OFF your subscription order What's up, everybody? It's Tom Bilyeu here: Want my help starting a business? Join me here inside Zero To Founder Sign up for my AI Masterclass: AI Masterclass FOLLOW TOM: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tombilyeu/ Tik Tok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tombilyeu?lang=en Twitter: https://twitter.com/tombilyeu YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TomBilyeu See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

What's up, guys? Today I'm hitting you with a truly essential conversation featuring Andrew Bustamante. This guy's not just a former covert CIA intelligence officer—he's become one of the most sought-after experts on modern espionage, national security, and global power. With everything that’s exploding right now between the U.S., Iran, China, and Russia, I could not wait to get his perspective. Andrew is breaking down how the new world order is shaping up in real time—why China’s playing a long, strategic game, what the real stakes are in the U.S.-Iran conflict, and how economic warfare and public perception matter more than ever. If you've ever wondered what global power really means today, or how to navigate a world that's changing at crazy speed, this episode will give you the frameworks and mental models you need to make sense of it all. I hope you guys get as much out of this episode as I did recording it with Andrew. If you find it valuable, please drop us a review—it’s the best way to support the show and make sure we continue to bring bold, unfiltered conversations right to you. I'm Tom Bilyeu, and welcome to Impact Theory. 00:00 - Welcome and intro: Why meeting with Andrew Bustamante was urgent with global tensions 00:20 - What China Learned While US Fights Iran 05:24 - The global scramble: How 157 countries are hedging against US dollar and US tech; why the “portfolio split” just got real 09:06 - The “Suez Canal moment” for the US: Why losing grip in the Strait of Hormuz is historic 19:15 - How global perception shifts when threats (“economic D-Day”, anyone?) become empty—China’s new confidence in resisting American pressure 31:08 - From American Dream to “Red Dream”: How Xi Jinping’s CCP is remaking global aspirations, and the chilling influence on wavering democracies 40:45 - Why China WANTS conflict close to its home turf (South China Sea)—and what happens if the US ever takes the bait 53:21 - Does China see itself in decline? The real calculus behind demographics, technology, and whether they’re just waiting for the world to come back to them What's up, everybody? It's Tom Bilyeu here: Want my help starting a business? Join me here inside Zero To Founder Sign up for my AI Masterclass: AI Masterclass FOLLOW TOM: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tombilyeu/ Tik Tok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tombilyeu?lang=en Twitter: https://twitter.com/tombilyeu YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TomBilyeu Cash App: Download Cash App Today: https://capl.onelink.me/vFut/v6nymgjl #CashAppPod *Cash App is a financial services platform, not a bank. Banking services provided by Cash App’s bank partner(s). Prepaid debit cards issued by Sutton Bank, Member FDIC. Cash App Visa® Debit Flex Cards issued by Sutton Bank, Member FDIC, and The Bancorp Bank, N.A., pursuant to a license from Visa U.S.A. Inc. See terms and conditions for the Sutton prepaid card, Sutton debit flex card, and Bancorp debit flex card. Cash App Green features, Savings, Direct deposit, Round ups, Overdraft coverage and Discounts provided by Cash App, a Block, Inc. brand. Visit cash.app/legal/podcast for full disclosure. Quince: Free shipping and 365-day returns at https://quince.com/impactpod Whatnot: Download the Whatnot app today and get free shipping on your first order. Ketone IQ: Visit https://ketone.com/IMPACT for 30% OFF your subscription order Ethos: Get a free quote at https://ethos.com/impact Incogni: Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code IMPACT at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/impact ATT Business: Switch to AT&T Business at https://business.att.com Pique: 20% off at https://piquelife.com/impact Order Andrew's new book 'Outsmart Everyone' TODAY and get IMMEDIATE ACCESS to your ‘Operators Guide to Outsmart Everyone’ before Andrew's book hits the shelf: - Step 1: Visit the official site for Andrew's book by clicking here https://outsmarteveryonespy.com/ - Step 2: Purchase the hardcover, audiobook, or eBook. - Step 3: Send the receipt for your purchase to Andrew's team at: [email protected] - Step 4: A real-life human being will respond to your email with a personal link to download your ‘Operators Guide to Outsmart Everyone!’ - BONUS STEP: For those who want to celebrate with Andrew personally, if you BUY 5 COPIES of the book, you’ll get a PRIVATE INVITE to JOIN ANDREW on LAUNCH DAY for an EXCLUSIVE LIVE VIDEO CALL! Just send your receipt and highlight that you bought 5 copies (or more!) of the book. Want to learn more from Andrew? - Find your Spy Superpower: https://yt.everydayspy.com/ImpactTheory082026 - Follow Andrew on YouTube: https://youtube.com/@Andrew-Bustamante - Explore Spy School: https://everydayspy.com/ - Support Andrew's sponsor: https://axoltbrain.com/andy See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

What's up, guys? Today I’m bringing you part 2 of a mind-blowing episode with former CIA intelligence officer and spycraft expert Andrew Bustamante. If you don’t know Andrew, he’s not only a decorated CIA veteran, but he’s also spent years consulting with top organizations on national security and critical decision-making. Andrew is a master at deconstructing the global chess game between superpowers, and today, we go deep into why AI is the new arms race, what China is really doing behind closed doors, and what it means for the future of America and the world. We’re talking about everything from the chilling pragmatism of the Chinese government, the perils of declining self-belief in the West, and what we need to do right now to win the future. Whether you’re worried about rapid advances in artificial intelligence, the fate of democracy, or just want to know how to outsmart your competition in today’s noisy world, this episode is for you. If you’re hungry for actionable insights on how to think at the highest strategic level, and you want the clarity to navigate a world that’s changing faster than ever before, you cannot miss this conversation. If you dig it like I did, please leave a review and help us get these vital ideas into the hands of everyone who wants to shape their destiny. I’m Tom Bilyeu, and welcome to Impact Theory. 00:00 Japan's immigration challenges 05:18 China's holistic tech integration 07:25 Speculating on future AGI impacts 11:36 Concerns about AI dominance 12:57 AI advancement implications and concerns 16:11 US needs its own AI 19:36 AI and military applications 23:02 China's strategy in Hong Kong 28:27 American beliefs and financial hedging 30:22 Feeling unsafe during COVID 33:00 Future of the United States 36:41 Finding optimism and making change 42:08 Learning and knowledge cycle 43:40 Using open-ended questions in sales 46:12 Two questions and a confirmation strategy Cash App: Download Cash App Today: https://capl.onelink.me/vFut/v6nymgjl #CashAppPod *Cash App is a financial services platform, not a bank. Banking services provided by Cash App’s bank partner(s). Prepaid debit cards issued by Sutton Bank, Member FDIC. Cash App Visa® Debit Flex Cards issued by Sutton Bank, Member FDIC, and The Bancorp Bank, N.A., pursuant to a license from Visa U.S.A. Inc. See terms and conditions for the Sutton prepaid card, Sutton debit flex card, and Bancorp debit flex card. Cash App Green features, Savings, Direct deposit, Round ups, Overdraft coverage and Discounts provided by Cash App, a Block, Inc. brand. Visit cash.app/legal/podcast for full disclosure. Quince: Free shipping and 365-day returns at https://quince.com/impactpod Whatnot: Download the Whatnot app today and get free shipping on your first order. Ketone IQ: Visit https://ketone.com/IMPACT for 30% OFF your subscription order Ethos: Get a free quote at https://ethos.com/impact Incogni: Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code IMPACT at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/impact ATT Business: Switch to AT&T Business at https://business.att.com Pique: 20% off at https://piquelife.com/impact What's up, everybody? It's Tom Bilyeu here: Want my help starting a business? Join me here inside Zero To Founder Sign up for my AI Masterclass: AI Masterclass FOLLOW TOM: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tombilyeu/ Tik Tok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tombilyeu?lang=en Twitter: https://twitter.com/tombilyeu YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TomBilyeu See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Welcome back to another thought-provoking episode of Impact Theory with Tom Bilyeu. Today, we continue our groundbreaking conversation with macro investor and visionary thinker Raoul Pal, exploring the seismic technological revolution reshaping our world. In this episode, Raoul Pal breaks down why artificial intelligence represents the ultimate leap in human advancement—and why investing in technology right now may be more crucial than ever. From the fundamentals of network effects and exponential growth, to the unprecedented speed of AI adoption and its implications for markets, capital allocation, and societal productivity, this episode dives deep into how the coming economic and technological supercycle could redefine wealth, work, and global competition. We examine the optimism and risks inherent in this transformation, and what it means for investors, governments, and everyday people. Strap in as we debate the future of intelligence, productivity, and how to navigate this new era—whether with caution or conviction. Let’s dive in. 00:00 Intro 00:30 AI and Metcalfe's Law explained 04:57 OpenAI and rapid user growth 12:13 Managing Crypto Investment Volatility 29:01 Economic impacts of AI and robots 32:16 Automation impact on labor force 44:58 Understanding liquidity and euro-dollar debt 51:37 Embracing unstoppable change What's up, everybody? It's Tom Bilyeu here: Want my help starting a business? Join me here inside Zero To Founder Sign up for my AI Masterclass: AI Masterclass FOLLOW TOM: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tombilyeu/ Tik Tok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tombilyeu?lang=en Twitter: https://twitter.com/tombilyeu YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TomBilyeu Cash App: Download Cash App Today: https://capl.onelink.me/vFut/v6nymgjl #CashAppPod *Cash App is a financial services platform, not a bank. Banking services provided by Cash App’s bank partner(s). Prepaid debit cards issued by Sutton Bank, Member FDIC. Cash App Visa® Debit Flex Cards issued by Sutton Bank, Member FDIC, and The Bancorp Bank, N.A., pursuant to a license from Visa U.S.A. Inc. See terms and conditions for the Sutton prepaid card, Sutton debit flex card, and Bancorp debit flex card. Cash App Green features, Savings, Direct deposit, Round ups, Overdraft coverage and Discounts provided by Cash App, a Block, Inc. brand. Visit cash.app/legal/podcast for full disclosure. Quince: Free shipping and 365-day returns at https://quince.com/impactpod Whatnot: Download the Whatnot app today and get free shipping on your first order. Surfshark: Go to https://surfshark.com/TOMB or use code TOMB at checkout to get 4 extra months of Surfshark! ATT Business: Switch to AT&T Business at business.att.com Horizon.ai: Go to https://horizon3.ai/IMPACTTHEORY and request your free NodeZero demo. No commitment required. Results in hours, not weeks. Quo: Try for free PLUS get 20% off your first 6 months at https://quo.com/impact Incogni: Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code IMPACT at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/impact Pique: 20% off at https://piquelife.com/impact Shopify: Own your customer relationships. Own your revenue. Start with a free trial at https://shopify.com/impact Ketone IQ: Visit https://ketone.com/IMPACT for 30% OFF your subscription order See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

In this episode, I take you on a deep dive into why China’s decline—not its rise—could be pushing the world toward inevitable conflict. I unpack the real numbers behind China’s looming demographic crisis, explain how flawed incentives and authoritarian policy like the one-child law have triggered an irreversible population collapse, and why that matters for both China and the global economy. We'll draw historical parallels to show why peaking powers are often the most dangerous, examine what China’s desperation means for Taiwan, and explore the broader impact on everything from global supply chains to AI innovation. I’ll also tackle tough questions about falling birth rates, the impact of women’s education, and whether automation can save aging societies. Get ready for a challenging and eye-opening journey into the realities shaping the future of the world. What's up, everybody? It's Tom Bilyeu here: Want my help starting a business? Join me here inside Zero To Founder Sign up for my AI Masterclass: AI Masterclass FOLLOW TOM: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tombilyeu/ Tik Tok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tombilyeu?lang=en Twitter: https://twitter.com/tombilyeu YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TomBilyeu Cash App: Download Cash App Today: https://capl.onelink.me/vFut/v6nymgjl #CashAppPod *Cash App is a financial services platform, not a bank. Banking services provided by Cash App’s bank partner(s). Prepaid debit cards issued by Sutton Bank, Member FDIC. Cash App Visa® Debit Flex Cards issued by Sutton Bank, Member FDIC, and The Bancorp Bank, N.A., pursuant to a license from Visa U.S.A. Inc. See terms and conditions for the Sutton prepaid card, Sutton debit flex card, and Bancorp debit flex card. Cash App Green features, Savings, Direct deposit, Round ups, Overdraft coverage and Discounts provided by Cash App, a Block, Inc. brand. Visit cash.app/legal/podcast for full disclosure. Quince: Free shipping and 365-day returns at https://quince.com/impactpod Whatnot: Download the Whatnot app today and get free shipping on your first order. Ketone IQ: Visit https://ketone.com/IMPACT for 30% OFF your subscription order Ethos: Get a free quote at https://ethos.com/impact Incogni: Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code IMPACT at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/impact ATT Business: Switch to AT&T Business at https://business.att.com Pique: 20% off at https://piquelife.com/impact See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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