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The UBK Gang discusses the history of US involvement in the Middle East and the Kalshi market for whether there's likely to be a US-Iran nuclear deal by the end of the year.
The UB Gang takes a look at the Maine Senate race and examines whether Graham Platner and Susan Collins are worth a bet.
The UBK Gang discusses the Maine Senate race and whether Graham Platner or Susan Collins are worth a bet.
McKenna returns & the UBK Gang discusses the unfolding Texas Senate race & related markets.
The UBK Gang explores the Kalshi markets for the release of additional data sets in the Epstein Files, and who will be named in them, if released.
Evan, a Knick fan of 50 years, and Amir, who became a Knick fan last week, discuss the market for the NBA Finals and sports betting generally.
Evan, a Knicks fan of 50 years, and Amir, who became a Knicks fan last week, discuss who will win the NBA Finals and sports markets generally?
The UBK gang considers the Kalshi market for how much democracy will weaken over the remaining course of the Trump presidency, as measured by The Economist's Democracy Index? Plus a bonus exploration of how much democracy, democratic norms have already been eroded!
The UBK Gang discusses state legislative limits on sports participation by transgender athletes and the Kalshi market for the upcoming Supreme Court decisions in West Virginia v. BPJ and Little v. Hecox, in which the Court will decide whether transgender sports bans violate the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment and Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964.
The UBK Gang takes a look at early trading in the market for the 2028 Republican primary, with close looks at the potential candidacies of Vice President J.D. Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, populist media pundit Tucker Carlson, and yes, President Donald J. Trump.
From the publisher's feed
A team of long-time investors and social scientists navigate the prediction market with a focus on politics and the heuristic biases that derail most speculators.