Universal Basic Kalshi Guys

Universal Basic Kalshi Guys

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Universal Basic Kalshi Guys episodes

  • Top 10 Value Plays for the Year

    The UBK Guys define lock propositions, identify their top 10 locks for the remainder of the year, and discuss how to create a diversified value portfolio.

    42 min
  • Who Will Win The Bachelorette?

    The UBK Gang uses the markets for season 22 of The Bachelorette as a launching point for discussing emerging markets and efforts to quantify the risks of insider trading.

    52 min
  • Iran -- A War to Play

    The UBK Guys analyze markets relating to the Iran war, including the chance of democratization and reopening of the American embassy.

    43 min
  • Oscars Preview 2026

    Special guest Dan Bubbeo of Newsday joins the UBK Guys to preview the markets for Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress, and Best Director with an eye to value.

    39 min
  • UBK Guys v. SCOTUS

    The UBK Guys recap their positions on the shutdown, discuss the difference between gambling and investing, and analyze the open markets for the remaining cases of the Supreme Court 2025-26 term including transgender sports bans, weakening of the Voting Rights Act, and banning of mail order ballots.

    51 min
  • State of the Union 2026

    Value propositions in the markets for who's going to attend the State of the Union address 2K26 and what DJT is likely to say. (Spoiler: We're short on Musk!)

    50 min

About Universal Basic Kalshi Guys

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A team of long-time investors and social scientists navigate the prediction market with a focus on politics and the heuristic biases that derail most speculators.