February 01, 2016

Volatility Views 190: The VIX Red Zone

1 hour

Volatility Viewpoint: VIX outside of "Red Zone" indicates no recession, Goldman says. The Goldman Sachs analysis shows the VIX is currently in a “low and rising” phase, which tends to last about two months on average.

VIX Options: Massive spread on Thursday - Paper buys Mar 27/35 vertical. Total 4.82m (3.15m Calls, 1.67m Puts)

Earnings Volatility: AMZN: Bulls dominate Amazon options as earnings loom.

Crude Oil: Talk of Saudi/Russian oil deal on production lifted markets earlier this week. OIV: 64. OVX: 63

Volatility Voicemail: Listener questions and comments

Question from Andrew T. - Vega is pretty straightforward but is Gamma really a second-order Greek since it measures the rate of change of another Greek?

Question from TBig - You guys always talk about VIX futures term structure and contango impacting products like VXX. But does the same not apply to USO and the contango in the crude futures? What about backwardation in both products - how does that impact ETFs?

The Crystal Ball: Reckless prognosticating

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