We all know technology and geopolitics shape the world, but there’s a quieter, less obvious force that dictates the flow of wealth and opportunity: demographics.
Where people live, where they move, and how populations grow or shrink — these are the currents that ultimately drive economic gravity. That’s why all of the multifamily investments you see through Investor Club focus on areas where there is job creation. Where there is job creation, there is population growth, and people have to live somewhere.
Scale that concept up to a global level, and you start to see why migration, climate, and demographics are the real megatrends of the century.
Take China — decades of the one-child policy have created a demographic cliff. Contrast that with parts of Africa and South Asia, where populations are booming. Add to this the wildcard of AI, which could either amplify the advantages of youthful nations or offset aging ones.
For investors, entrepreneurs, and anyone thinking long term, the key isn’t where the puck is today — it’s where the puck is going. That’s the topic of this week’s Wealth Formula Podcast.
Disclaimer: This transcript was generated by AI and may not be 100% accurate. If you notice any errors or corrections, please email us at [email protected].
If a place is attracting young people, it must be doing something right.
Welcome everybody. This is Buck Joffrey with the Wealth Formula Podcast. Coming to you from Montecito, California. Before we begin, I wanna remind you that there is a website associated with this podcast is called wealth formula.com. Go there and uh, check out some of the resources we have, including the opportunity.
To join our accredited investor club. Uh, this is a. A group, uh, for a credit investors to see a potential deal flow that you wouldn’t see otherwise, uh, because they are private, uh, private nature. So the process is easy. If you are an accredit investor, go ahead and sign up and get onboarded. Then basically wait to see what kind of deals are out there and see if you’re interested.
Check it out. Wealth formula.com. Okay, so let’s start. Uh, let’s talk a little bit today about something that’s really important, maybe not appreciated as much. You know, we know that technology and geopolitics shape the world, but there’s a quieter, sort of less obvious force that dictates the flow of wealth and opportunities.
And that is demographics, um, where people live, where they move, and how populations grow or shrink. These are the currents that ultimately drive economic gravity. And that’s why all of the multifamily investment you see through say investor club, uh, focus on areas where there’s job creation. Why? Because where there is job creation, there is population growth.
And guess what? People have to live somewhere, right? So that’s something that you might be familiar with already, but scale that concept up to a global level and you start to see why migration. Climate demographics, they’re really the sort of mega trends of the century. All you have to do is take a look at China, right?
Decades of one child policy have created essentially a demographic cliff for them. And you contrast that with parts of Africa and South Asia where populations are booming. And then you add to this, the wild card of ai, which could either amplify the advantages of youthful nations or, or potentially offset.
Aging ones like China, as we mentioned. So for investors, entrepreneurs, and anyone really thinking long, uh, term, the key isn’t necessarily where the Pak is today, as the Great Gretzky once said. It’s where the puck is going, and that is the topic of this Week’s Wealth Formula podcast, and we will have that for you right after these messages.
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It’s a refined strategy used by some of the wealthiest families in history, and it uses century old rock solid insurance companies as its backbone. Turbocharge your investments visit. Wealth Formula banking.com. Again, that’s wealth formula banking.com. Welcome back to the show, everyone. Today I’m joined by Parag, Dr.
Parag Khanna, a globally recognized strategist, bestselling author, and founder of Alpha Geo. His work focuses on some of the most important forces shaping the future of wealth, opportunity, uh, wealth, opportunity, migration, demographics, climate and technology. He’s advised governments, global institutions, and even military leaders on how to navigate a rapidly changing world, and his books, including Move the Future is Asian, have become.
Essential guides for understanding where people capital and power are headed. Uh, welcome to show up Pak, how are you? Thank you. Great. Great to be with you. And, uh, thanks again for coming all the way across, uh, the world from Singapore. Uh, I just got you off your, uh, ice bath and, and tea, so we should be ready to go right now.
Ready to rock? For sure. That is the best way to start the day. So I wanna talk to you about things that, you know, you’re, you’re an expert on. Um, one of the things that you talk about is, uh, migration as an investment signal. So you’ve written that migration is, is a driver of growth, which makes intuitive sense.
So what migration trends should investors be watching closely as signals, uh, for where capital will flow next? Sure. I mean, there’s many reasons to talk about migration and you know, just backing up for a moment, it really is the original globalization. So when we think of globalization as a force for good, a force for prosperity, a force for comparative advantage among nations and so forth, well migration, it all began with a single step.
Now, the reason this is so important today is because not only do we have the mass migrations of today, which can be both. Enriching and also destabilizing. Right? It’s not merely an unadulterated good look at the politics of the United States right now, for example. Yeah, in Europe. Yeah. Migration, turning migration off or on literally has a significant measurable economic impact.
Right now, for example, already economists are debating how. The extent to which cutting off inflows of migrants is going negatively impact GDP as we head into a recession, right? Among other things, right? So will it be wages or is it simply going to choke the innovative capacity? In the productive capacity and just the output of key industries.
Uh, so that’s something to, to dig into in a, uh, for a bit. But the real, one of the big reasons why I wrote the book is because. Unlike the last a hundred plus years where the world population was going like this, right? Quadrupling over the past century. Now we’re reaching a plateau, as you know, and this is why Elon Musk and everyone talks about, yeah, you know, peak humanity and civilizational decline and low fertility rates.
I mean, he’s, he’s late to the game, quite frankly. You know, those of us who work on these issues have been talking about this for a very long time. We’ve also noticed that it’s too late. A lot of people on social media are still kind of saying, let’s get, let’s have more babies, or These rich people have babies, right?
I just need to remind everyone so we’re on the same page. It’s not enough. It’s not nearly enough. There are not enough children. There will never be enough children. You need humanoids in robots or whatever the case may be, to take care of the elderly and the young. At this point, there’s so few young people.
So migration matters because where young people go in particular, take millennials, gen Z, gen Alpha, take everyone between the ages of five and 40. 35 years, or they’re up to 45. So a 40 year block spanning a couple of generations. Everyone today, who’s young, where they go, they vote with their feet, whether they’re moving from California to Texas, right?
You know, LA’s loss is Austin’s gain, or San Francisco Boulder, Colorado’s gain, or you know, Boise Idaho’s gain, right? It’s zero sum when you don’t have population growth, right? My people, I lose. You gain people, you win. So the zero sum nature of demographics and migration is what’s new because up until the present, every place was just having more and more children.
So it’s like, oh, well a million Indians left India, like no big deal. Right? Um, but once, once you stop having population growth, it’s, it’s zero sum. So in other words, why does it matter for investors? It’s three words. Follow the people. If a country, so you know, you and I can sit here and pontificate and we can say, oh, Europe is finished.
Europe is dead. Well, I mean, look, go to Lisbon, go to Berlin. Go to Athens. Yeah. Those places feel dead. No, they’re attracting young people. So it’s not necessarily at a country level. Right. But city by city, place by place. It’s, you can boil down all the complexity of the world. Geographically into this one thing.
If a place is attracting young people there, mu it must be doing something right. So, so in that regard, pro, so who, who are some of the winners and who are some of the losers when it comes to, at the city level? So here’s a place that everyone’s heard of Dubai, right? The United Arab Emirates, right as a country and Dubai as a city.
But there’s multiple Emirates. All of them are doing great, uh, to greater illustrious the UAE as a country. Fun fact, I, I grew up there as a child until the early eighties and um, it had 200,000 people. So it has more than 12 million today. So it’s the, by as a percentage of its own population, it’s grown, uh, by a factor of 60.
So, you know, it’s the fastest growing population in the history of the world. By, by far. Right. So, and it continues to grow and grow and grow. It’s the number one destination for new millionaires. So it’s also relevant in that sense. Ultra high net worth individuals are choosing to ditch Country X and move to the UAE, right?
So it’s, you know, Singapore, where I live right now, uh, it’s another winner, right? It’s very, very selective. It’s not about the total number of population increase, but rather the value add in terms of wealth. Invested in the economy, in real estate, in consumption, in financial services, and so on. So Singapore is also a clear winner since COVID.
You can tell that places like Lisbon, like Berlin, like Bali, right in Indonesia, you know, they call it silicon Bali. Now, it’s not really a hotbed of innovation. It’s just a place for digital nomads to go. But wherever you’re seeing young digital nomads show up and plant roots to the extent that young people plant roots at all.
You know, you’ve got a winning place, and that is a place where you might look to increase your exposure in some way, shape or form. So who, who are the losers that maybe there’s some, uh, I mean probably like Los Angeles or something like that, right? I mean, what. No, you know, I mean, I, I come to LA all the time and I, I get some of the macro dec declines data that people point to, you know, like net population outflow from California and LA is a source of that.
But they may not be fully considering new inflow, you know, new arrivals. They’re not seeing economic diversification, you know, and, and these kinds of things. So I, I’m still okay with, with la, um, as a whole being America’s second biggest city, you know, an enormous GDP. The California turnaround in general, that is kind of, you know, being, um, enacted, uh, right now that that’s underway.
Um, so let’s think more at, if you wanna look at the US for different reasons. Florida is not. Kind of, I don’t wanna say peak, you know, I don’t wanna call the peak, but you’ve seen a significant outflow now, or at least homes being sold because of the climate crisis and other kinds of issues, cost of living issues and so on.
So I think, you know. Florida is gonna be balanced out by other places. Um, so I, I mentioned climate, you know, the Gulf Coast of the US obviously, but let’s look globally, you know, places like Italy, places like Korea, places like Russia that are in just terminal population decline. These are the places where they’re selling.
They used to just sell a single home or a villa for one euro as a gimmick. Now you can buy an entire town, you know, for like a hundred thousand bucks. So there, you know, these places that are in structural population decline are gonna remain in structural population decline. Their entire geographies are gonna be backfilled and sold off to private investors to turn into resorts.
That kind of thing that that’s what’s happening. Almost a remapping of the world in light of these dire demographic changes. So I, I guess the obvious one that comes to mind for me when I think about big players, uh, in the global economy is China and you know, obviously with their. One child, um, laws that they had enacted for, you know, decades.
And then on top of that, there’s, there’s not really any immigration. I mean, what, what’s going on in China? Right, so China actually ha doesn’t technically need immigrants in the sense that you would say, how can the second largest population in the world behind India need immigrants? But it’s not about the number.
In the end, as I mentioned, it’s about the functions in the economy. So when you have what’s known as the 1, 2, 4 population pyramid where a young, young person has to provide for their two parents and their four grandparents, that’s just a big burden on the young, you know, breadwinner, right? Or earner.
Especially at a time of, you know, financial stress because of the cost of living in major Chinese cities. So what they do need though, is more El is more caregivers for the elderly, right? So China is importing people, but specifically, you know, uh, Filipino nurses or Burmese nurses and just young women even, even brides.
Of course they have their gender imbalance because not only the one trial policy, but the male preference, uh, led to an imbalanced gender divide, just like India has as well. So you wind up in a situation where you do need to import certain types of people, like elderly care workers, nurses, and uh, and and so on.
But they, but China is more rapidly automating through robotics. Some of these functions even faster than Japan. So in Japan, you don’t have enough of an acceptance. You have a cultural acceptance of technology, but you don’t have a mass deployment of technology to take care of the elderly at a communal level.
You don’t have telemedicine, right? And these kinds of things as rapidly deployed in Japan as you do in China. So China has a technological sophistication that’s allowing it to kind of, you know, circumvent some of the pain of this demographic adjustment. Interesting. And, and then the other thing that I think you’ve alluded to a couple times, um, I, I really think about quite a bit is the role of robotics and, and artificial intelligence.
Um, which is likely to be probably more rapid and a bigger impact than we. Can imagine right now. How, how do you think of that as I guess somebody who looks at, uh, through your lens? Well, there’s no question that it already has, having that impact and people are debating so much what the magnitude of that impact is.
Um, and that’s because they are looking at one particular industry, one particular country. If we’re gonna talk about this globally, what you really want to create is something of like a matrix where you say, okay. What is the specific technology? What are the sectors that you’re applying it to? In which countries is it deploying at what pace?
And then measure what impact it’s gonna have because that’s how things go in the. Un full, uh, unfold In the real world, there’s a lot of fiction in reality, right? So you can say, oh wow, we’ve got, you know, uh, full, you know, full self-drive vehicles. But okay. In some countries, the regulations, the roads, the uh, and so forth are amenable.
In other places they’re not. Right. In some countries you can afford those cars. In some countries you can’t. So think about the friction in it. So people have said it for a long time. Well, truck drivers, that’s gone, right? But guess what? Humans are still driving trucks so. Maybe instead of teams of two, you have, you have one, you know, or you have different kinds of shifts and so forth.
And these things still play. They play, maybe it’s gonna be, um, you know, long haul rather than short haul or media hall. Right. So, you know, look, you have to really, really splice and dice every sector to see the impact. So lawyers, right. Well, people thought it would hurt, affect blue collar people more than white collar people.
Turns out it’s the lawyer that’s redundant. Right. Or the paralegal that’s redundant. Whereas the plumber. We’re gonna need plumbers for a long time. Right. So I wanna see a robot contort himself to get underneath your bathroom sink and fix the plumbing. Right? Well, ain’t gonna happen. Right? So, so that’s the, the, in terms of robotics.
It’s gonna play out in that very, very jagged, um, non-linear, bumpy way. And of course, those among other things are powered by ai. So you’ve even got software engineers now who are needed, look at the jobs crisis for some of the most highest, best educated young computer scientists, right? So yeah. Never had such a high rate of unemployment.
Among us computer science grads at the same time that America’s finally Amer, you know, we’ve been saying stem, stem, stem, right? And lo and behold, Americans are finally churning away from humanities towards stem. Yeah, they learned the code for no reason at all. And now you can’t get a job in stem. So this is the level, uh, pace and intensity of disruption that, um, that, that we’re facing.
So AI is a key upstream driver of these downstream impacts on fields like robotics, which then impact the labor market. Um, but again, there’s lots of new jobs to be created in. Building more electric vehicles and more, you know, the, the, the key components, you know, you know, the cameras and, and sensors and so forth that those vehicles need.
So the question is, where are those gonna be built and what skills need to build those? And, and, uh, and are we gonna have tariffs on those sectors to encourage those components to be built in the us? So again, the knock on effects ripple through supply chains, um, from every new technology, every new, you know, innovation.
Yeah, the, you call this sort of Asia’s, you know, is Asia’s century. Um, you, you argue that Asia will ultimately sort of dominate the global economy. What sectors or regions in Asia in particular and, and, and, and why? Well, so Asia is obviously a huge, uh, uh, mega region, right? And then that’s sort of, you know, actually the map behind me is, is one of my maps of Asia.
So a lot of people when, when. You say Asia, they think only of East Asia, the Pacific ri, and Greater China and Japan. In reality, there is not a debate among geographers what Asia is. Asia literally reaches the Mediterranean Sea and the Red Sea. Right? So Saudi Arabia, which we think of as the Middle East, is actually west.
Right. So that’s how far West Asia goes into the east. It’s Japan to the south, it’s Indonesia and even Australia. You might say though, Australia, you could say it’s Oceania, but economically it’s very tethered to Asia and to the north it’s Russia. Right. So that’s Asia, right. This sort of, you know, diamond shape, set up powers and everything in between them, such as India, of course.
And Southeast Asia. So Asia has many drivers. Japan is the original Asian economic miracle. Then you have the tiger economies, as they were called in the, in the sixties and seventies, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, Hong Kong. Then China itself has become the largest economy in Asia and and the world. And now you have a new wave of Asian growth from another sub region.
Which is, uh, India and Southeast Asia, right? The Ian countries like Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, uh, and so on. So you, Asia is vast. Asia’s five and a half billion people. Most human beings on Earth live on this map behind me, quite literally, and that will always be true for the rest of our lives, our children’s lives, our grandchildren’s lives, our great grandchildren’s lives.
Most of the human species, like a substantial majority of the human beings on Earth, live inside this rectangle. They do not live outside of Syria. You in LA are in a great big city, but you are in a small minority of the human species. Yeah. Just so that we understand geographically what we’re talking about.
Yeah. So Asia’s got a long way to grow because it also says most of the world’s young people. Let’s tie it back to our very first topic, right? Most of the world’s young people are also on this map, and if you don’t have young people, you don’t have workers, you don’t have taxpayers, you don’t have innovation, you don’t have growth.
So I’m bullish on Asia, despite all the geopolitical tensions and so forth, because of some of these fundamental demographic facts, economic facts, infrastructure, investment, middle class growth, wealth creation, technology, capital industry. It’s all here. Yeah, I mean, you’ve mentioned a couple areas. I mean, certainly when you, you’re talking about, uh, you know, growth cities, um, you’re talking about Dubai, even Singapore, but there’s also, you know.
A variety of, of other issues that come with a number of these countries, like laws and immigration restrictions and all that. How is that all gonna play out? Do you, do you, do you anticipate some, some changes, uh, to various immigration patterns based on the needs of nation? For sure. You know, when I wrote the book Move I, I.
Almost realized they should have titled it moving because it’s not really a one way ticket. And we’re seeing this in the US obviously right now. Look at all the people that came to the US and have been deported, right? Or, you know, have, uh, their visas canceled even if they were legally in the country. So on over the cancellation of H one B, uh, you know, uh, policy as the Trump is threatening and, and the way Indians, you know, and Indian Americans are being treated right now.
So that’s just one example, but it’s really a, a pinball game. Migration has literally become a pinball game of billions of people, billions of lives. And that was the essence of what I was arguing, is that, you know, you can only. Politics in certain countries, whether it’s Britain or America, or Canada or Germany, uh, or Japan, you know, are gonna have an impact on the directionality, the vectors of migration.
But just remember you squeeze a balloon in one place, it expands somewhere else. So literally, you know, right. Right now we’re having Indians and Chinese think about leaving the United States because they’re not feeling welcome. But right now, the um. Uh, the German foreign minister, the Indian Foreign Minister, I believe is in Germany or, or vice versa, signing a bilateral agreement to expand immigration.
Right? And so one of the things I wrote about in the book was that, um, you’re, you have, you have a, such a fast, the fastest growing student population and professional population in Germany is Indian. You never would’ve imagined this. I, I actually went to high school in Germany. I lived near Hamburg, and I was the only Indian guy, an Indian American, but ethnically Indian guy for like, you know, hundreds of kilometers.
And now I hear Germany all the time, and it’s like Indians everywhere, right? So in, in the, in the blink of an eye, you have new migration vectors forming as people relocate to geographies where they’re welcome geographies of opportunity and so on. So. One of the things as a general statement, we just never had this volume of migration between regions of the world as we have today.
You just get on a plane, you don’t have to take a ship, uh, like the, the Puritans in a land on Ellis Island, like, you know, early 20th century migrants. Um, you literally just get on a plane. Just think about the volumes of people moving. Every single day, but the directions in which they’re moving. So you’ve never had so many Asians in Europe, rather than they’re having America as their default preference.
You’ve never had as many Asians in Central Asia or in East Asia as you do today, as many Africans in Europe, as many Latin Americans in North America, but now some moving back. So again, think of it as a giant pinball game of very thick vectors of migration that are, that are changing direction all the time.
I dunno if you have any views on this, but it, it’s interesting to me that within all of the positive things that come from the immigration in various countries, there’s just like escalating tensions across the world, a lot in Europe, obviously in the us uh, as a reaction to globalization. Well, how, uh, what’s your take on that?
So a couple of things. You know, blaming globalization or scapegoating globalization for domestic policy failures is a worn out or not so worn out, apparently political game, right? Yeah, you can still hear JD Vance and Elon Musk and whoever blame the globalists, right? The globalists get blamed for everything from liberal agendas like high tax and mass migration to being warmongers and wanting to perpetuate the Ukraine war, and so on and so on, right?
So every, everything that’s global and globalists is a convenient bogeyman. To deflect from the fact that the US has not had sufficient trade adjustment assistance, not retrained workers, um, you know, not, not, um, redistributed income. All of these not built enough housing, right? You know, you can blame globalization for everything because globalization doesn’t have a constituency, a voice to defend itself, right?
Um. So, so I want to be clear that just because you hear people talking about the anti-globalization backlash, it doesn’t mean that A, you know, globalization is B, that globalization is actually to blame, or that C bashing globalization will actually make it better, because in reality, globalization always wins.
Globalization, whoever, whoever it is, is sitting there laughing because in the end we always turn back to globalization. Otherwise we wouldn’t be in this world that we’re in of hyperconnectivity, of transportation, of communications, of capital flows, of all of these things. Right? In the end, we always, you know, you and I are old enough to remember the nine 11 terrorist attacks 25 years ago.
Then you had the global financial crisis, then you had Trump. In 2016 and Brexit, then you had COVID, um, and, uh, and so, you know, five or six episodes in just 20, 25 years, and every single one of those episodes, what did the headlines say? It’s the end of globalization, right? Every time. Every time. And it’s always been wrong.
So we need to, if you want to have a serious conversation about this, and now I’m speaking obviously about our politicians and, uh, whether it’s business leaders or or political leaders, they need to get serious about the fact that the world has been remains and will be globalized in many ways. That it is their duty, their responsibility to harness those forces for public domestic benefit, for their constituents, for their citizens.
If they don’t have the capacity to do that, they should be the ones to step aside, not the globalists, quote unquote. Yeah. Interesting. Um, what, you know, obviously a majority, probably 90, certainly 95% of my audience is in the United States. What do you, when you look at the world through your lens again, where do you see the US headed and, you know, what are, what are some possible, uh, impacts of that?
Right. So, you know, uh, it may sound like I’m some kind of, uh, dec declines, but I’m actually very bullish on North America as a continental mega region, and America within that. If you rank the regions or continents of the world by their degree of self-sufficiency, like having enough land, labor, capital, industry, talent, technology, you know.
We natural resources, right? North America ranks number one by far, peace and stability right? As well, which is not to be discounted. So there are not just small but massive structural reasons to be very pro North America and to be continental list. And, and I am, that’s the kind of geopolitical tradition that I have trained in and written about in, in my books and so on.
And Ida potential is very much still there. That by the way, includes, I might add, you know, Greenland as a future member of a North American Union or part, part of the United States. No, no, no. Just part of the North American Union. Right. A or, or. Let’s create a milder term for it. A Federation of North American states, right?
And the United States is a sovereign state. Mexico’s a sovereign state. Canada’s a sovereign state. Greenland’s a sovereign state, uh, but for members of this federation, right? And, and I think that’s effectively what is happening in what will happen. We’re already in that in many ways, right? If you look at the functional reality, again, the trade flows, the supply chains, the capital flows.
Again, fun fact for your listeners. What are the two most busily, trafficked borders of Le legally not, not even illegally, legally traversed borders on the planet Earth? I, I mean, I’m kind of giving it away, right? Right. I think everyone should know. Right. And we need to appreciate the US Canada relationship.
The US Mexico relationship are fundamentally stable, right? These are the two busiest borders on earth by this much, right? And there’s not a third place that is even remotely meaning. And so we need to really, um, you know, kind of, you know, be, be grateful for it. Harness it. So I’m very bullish again on, um, on, on North America and, um, and I think the US is actually gonna sort itself out.
I’m also long on this reindustrialization, you know, industrial renaissance kind of paradigm too. It can be done. There’s no, you know, rule that is so steadfast that can’t be modified. No technology so arcane that we didn’t already invent that we can’t re domesticate. Nothing that we can’t produce cost effectively through technology on shore that we have to get from offshore.
It can all be done. It’s happened with oil and gas and shale energy. It’s happened, it can happen with semiconductors. Um, and, and on and on it goes. Yeah. Um, any particular areas in the US that, I mean, if you narrow in on, uh, geographically, you know, I know you mentioned sort of the sort of peaking of, of Florida, but.
Is there is particular areas within the US that might surprise us in terms of, of, of growth possibilities. Um, it kind of just, yes. I mean, the short answer, yes, it’s the Great Lakes, right? And so this is how I began the, the, the opening chapter of the MO book because when I was writing that book, it was the kind of post-industrial, post global financial crisis tail end of the already.
De industrializing wave that had hit the region and it was on its last legs. And you know, Detroit was bankrupt and so on. Yeah, yeah, yeah. But if you look today, there’s already green shoots of an industrial revival. You know, people are moving in, home, prices have come down, and then you have the climate resilience, right?
So the combination of hitting rock bottom. Attracting, you know, re and revitalizing industries, um, and attracting young people are all, and climate resilience, all of those things favor Michigan, right In the Great Lakes region. Wow. Okay. So, you know, I first wrote this right after the financial crisis. So in 2010, um, I wrote an article titled, where Will You Live in 2050?
So when that came, when that was, um, published, it was like, what Michigan? Are you joking? And I gave all the reasons why. And so then the book move came out a decade later and I used those passages as the opening chapter of the book because it, it really already started to come true. And now in the post COVID.
Landscape as we look at, again, the industrial renaissance in the US and some of these patterns and of course accelerating climate volatility affecting places like Arizona to Florida and so on, you that amplifies and accelerates the Great Lakes, uh, stories. So I’m more bullish than ever on that region.
And, and as Alpha Geo is a software company that does geospatial analysis on these geographies, um. We brought that to life with our data where we kind of correlate every new factory that’s being built, where tax receipts are increasing as people move in. The inflows of people housing, market stabilization, climate resilience, and models, new infrastructure spending.
We put all of that literally physically as pin drops on maps and uh, and again, Michigan is looking good, so, so what kind of growth are they seeing? Um, in Michigan? I, it’s like a shell big surprise to me actually. So, well, it’s not so much the growth rate because that’s gonna be, you know, sort of that’s gonna.
Very significantly potentially year on year. But again, it’s, it’s the reversal of negative trends and it’s the, it’s definitely a marked year on year increase in population, right? And, uh, and, and therefore again, tax receipts, people buying homes, uh, and and so forth. So, um, I guess one more question and, you know, sort of a world shaped reshaped, I guess, by climate migration, demographics.
Do you have a sense of what asset classes you think might win because of some of these, you know, major shifts? Yeah, for sure. I mean, you know, we could, we could run through the whole gamut, but right now we’re in the middle of a major global CapEx boom, right? The investments in, in mobility, transportation, the investments in, um, energy, obviously everything from, from still LNG to, to nuclear and wind and solar and, um, and, and, and hydrogen infusion, right?
And of course, uh, digital. Right. So everything from internet cables to data centers, to AI training models. So you know, the, the, I call it the connectivity asset class that encompasses transport energy communications, right? The overall infra asset classes are all doing well. You have to. Manage your exposure, whether these are privately driven or public, private driven, you know, or backstop kinds of ventures because of the long and CapEx cycle.
But I’m obviously law on infrastructure and that’s been a big theme, you know, in, in, in my work, uh, certain commodities, obviously because climate volatility is accelerating. Geographies of food production are gonna shift. Um, then I’m big on anything that is urbanization when it comes to the top 30, 40 cities in the world that are gonna be the magnets for talent, right?
So that’s gonna be everything like around, um, real estate, but from like a rental, from an asset standpoint, right? So multifamily mixed use. Kinds of developments that are, you know, last mile, very convenient. Have retail medical education, um, you know, multi-generational housing, walkable. Um, all of those kinds of, ask all of those types of functionalities that you would ideally see if you were to start from scratch and design livable communities.
Well guess how many of those exist in the whole world today? Like zero, right? Zero. Yeah. Yeah. Here we are. You know, and this is a great way to wrap it all up. Here we are, 8 billion people, soon to be 9 billion people, but probably peaking around there ish that are moving and relocating ourselves to concentrate in anywhere from 50 to a hundred or more.
I mean, there’s a long tail of smaller cities, right? But the places that people wanna be, where you’re gonna have economic growth and dynamism and resilience and innovation. 50 really important cities. Not forget 200 countries, right? 50 important cities. Where those who can afford to, who are allowed to relocate and move, are gonna migrate to those places, and those cities are gonna thrive economically.
And so you want to be investing in the infrastructure, in the talent, in the skills, in the fixed assets and in the, in the businesses of those people in those places. So yes, you can understand it from the standpoint of asset classes, like I could say, sure, I’m super long on Asian emerging market equities, right?
Um, or, you know, super long on, on digital connectivity, but I’m also long on certain geographies and you just wanna have exposure to those. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Fascinating stuff. Well, uh, tell us a little bit about, uh, alpha Geo. So we’re a geospatial software company, AI powered from top to bottom using AI to downscale very large data sets like climate models and other kinds of market data and put it all together into one map based plane and run scenarios and simulations on how economies are gonna perform so that you can, we can guide investors, especially real estate infrastructure, data centers and so on.
So real estate is a huge area for us. So, as I mentioned before, whether you’re the outliers like Michigan, or whether it’s what neighborhood of Manhattan, uh, or la our models help, uh, you know, corporate investors and real estate investors kind of pinpoint where they wanna locate their assets. So, you know.
Specific Palisades fire tragic, uh, event from last year. Um, where do you wanna avoid fire risk in the future? Where can you buy a home where the insurance premium is not likely to go up as much because of the fire defense measures or the resilience of the location? Proximity to water supply, avoiding drought.
So we calculate all of that and we tried it. Our clients, everyone from high net worth individuals, like n of one or two, you know, I have one property, I have wanna buy two or three, four more properties or the world’s largest sovereigns and pensions are also customers of ours, and they also use the data in the same way.
Fascinating stuff. And again, the, the, the, uh, latest book is It’s Move, right? That’s the name of the book. Yeah. Move in a and that can be, uh, found pretty much everywhere, I assume. Uh, Parag, thanks so much for being on the show today. It’s been a, uh, very interesting conversation. Lovely. Really a pleasure.
Thank you so much. You make a lot of money, but are still worried about retirement. Maybe you didn’t start earning until your thirties and now you’re trying to catch up and meanwhile you’ve got a mortgage and private school to pay for and you feel like you’re getting farther and farther behind. Good news.
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I think, uh, you know, we’ve talked about population demographics, uh, on the show before. Uh, it is, and it, it continues to be a very, very important, uh, variable when it comes to, uh, wealth. And so I think it’s something to pay attention to. As I emphasized before you see this, when we have. Opportunities coming through our investor club, for example.
We often see, uh, you know, we often have deals, for example, in Dallas-Fort Worth, massive growth in Dallas-Fort Worth. And that’s why you have, you know, companies coming in. Uh, you have, uh, you know, lots of new jobs, people moving there because tax, same thing goes for Charlotte or Phoenix or any of these places.
But that’s one of the things you really gotta look at. When you make your investment. So anyway, that’s all I have this week, uh, on Well, formula Podcast. This is Buck Joffrey Signing off.