Global stocks initially rose overnight on hopes for trade deals, but are off their highs in late US trade on confirmation China’s exports will face a 104% tariff within the day. The RBNZ is set to cut today, but will it be 25 bps or 50? And confidence surveys in Australia and New Zealand show confidence rebounded, but that was before the tariff news.

In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ’s Group Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga says the market reaction to the US administration’s latest tariff announcements could result in a Trump pivot.

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