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This episode offers an overview of the U.S. stock market's predicted growth over the next decade, strongly suggesting lower-than-average returns. It analyzes multiple valuation metrics, such as the S&P 500 P/E ratio, the Buffett Indicator, and the Shiller CAPE ratio, all of which currently indicate significant overvaluation compared to historical averages. The analysis highlights a robust inverse correlation between starting valuations and subsequent 10-year returns, with historical precedents showing that elevated valuations typically lead to subdued future performance. Therefore, the source concludes that investors should temper their expectations for future equity returns and consider diversified strategies to navigate a challenging investment landscape.
Value Investing Books
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Warren Buffett
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The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FVasqy
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3HIfeZ2
Paperback: https://amzn.to/4kBjUOZ
Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements (by Marry Buffett)
Kindle: https://amzn.to/43Vr5dD
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4n6yNus
Paperback: https://amzn.to/45XBBDL
————————————————————————
Charlie Munger
————————————————————————
Poor Charlie’s Almanack
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Zsw9VB
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4jMExq7
Collector's Edition: https://amzn.to/3SRgsn7
Tao of Charlie Munger
Kindle: https://amzn.to/4nk0akT
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/44eq8OR
————————————————————————
Howard Marks
————————————————————————
The Most Important Thing (Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor)
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Tqb4Yg
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3SRyy8A
Paperback: https://amzn.to/45ohdM0
Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXPmby
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/45X6AQq
Paperback: https://amzn.to/44oPGYP
————————————————————————
Money Philosophies
————————————————————————
The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FDbO9u
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kL3TGi
Paperback: https://amzn.to/44fpkcC
————————————————————————
Classic Principles
————————————————————————
The Intelligent Investor
Kindle: https://amzn.to/45T9OEv
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l4f7W3
Paperback: https://amzn.to/43ZNyXb
Security Analysis, Seventh Edition: Principles and Techniques
Kindle: https://amzn.to/442yKak
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3TmEEhg
Margin of Safety: Risk-Averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor
Collector Edition: https://amzn.to/4lrgWNd
Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9?si=YsWJodQKS7CEMq5Twdh_8Q
Disclaimer: All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Like and Subscribe us on Apple, Spotify Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing!
5
22 ratings
This episode offers an overview of the U.S. stock market's predicted growth over the next decade, strongly suggesting lower-than-average returns. It analyzes multiple valuation metrics, such as the S&P 500 P/E ratio, the Buffett Indicator, and the Shiller CAPE ratio, all of which currently indicate significant overvaluation compared to historical averages. The analysis highlights a robust inverse correlation between starting valuations and subsequent 10-year returns, with historical precedents showing that elevated valuations typically lead to subdued future performance. Therefore, the source concludes that investors should temper their expectations for future equity returns and consider diversified strategies to navigate a challenging investment landscape.
Value Investing Books
————————————————————————
Warren Buffett
————————————————————————
The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FVasqy
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3HIfeZ2
Paperback: https://amzn.to/4kBjUOZ
Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements (by Marry Buffett)
Kindle: https://amzn.to/43Vr5dD
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4n6yNus
Paperback: https://amzn.to/45XBBDL
————————————————————————
Charlie Munger
————————————————————————
Poor Charlie’s Almanack
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Zsw9VB
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4jMExq7
Collector's Edition: https://amzn.to/3SRgsn7
Tao of Charlie Munger
Kindle: https://amzn.to/4nk0akT
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/44eq8OR
————————————————————————
Howard Marks
————————————————————————
The Most Important Thing (Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor)
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Tqb4Yg
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3SRyy8A
Paperback: https://amzn.to/45ohdM0
Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXPmby
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/45X6AQq
Paperback: https://amzn.to/44oPGYP
————————————————————————
Money Philosophies
————————————————————————
The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FDbO9u
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kL3TGi
Paperback: https://amzn.to/44fpkcC
————————————————————————
Classic Principles
————————————————————————
The Intelligent Investor
Kindle: https://amzn.to/45T9OEv
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l4f7W3
Paperback: https://amzn.to/43ZNyXb
Security Analysis, Seventh Edition: Principles and Techniques
Kindle: https://amzn.to/442yKak
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3TmEEhg
Margin of Safety: Risk-Averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor
Collector Edition: https://amzn.to/4lrgWNd
Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9?si=YsWJodQKS7CEMq5Twdh_8Q
Disclaimer: All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Like and Subscribe us on Apple, Spotify Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing!
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