
Sign up to save your podcasts
Or


Seeing this post and its comments made me a bit concerned for young people around this community. I thought I would try to write down why I believe most folks who read and write here (and are generally smart, caring, and knowledgable) will be OK.
I agree that our society often is under prepared for tail risks. As a general planner, you should be worrying about potential catastrophes even if their probability is small. However as an individual, if there is a certain probability X of doom that is beyond your control, it is best to focus on the 1-X fraction of the probability space that you control rather than constantly worrying about it. A generation of Americans and Russians grew up under a non-trivial probability of a total nuclear war, and they still went about their lives. Even when we do have some control over possibility of very bad outcomes (e.g., traffic accidents), it is best to follow some common sense best practices (wear a seatbelt, don't drive a motorcycle) but then put that out of your mind.
I do not want to engage here in the usual debate of P[doom]. But just as it makes absolute sense [...]
---
First published:
Source:
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
By LessWrongSeeing this post and its comments made me a bit concerned for young people around this community. I thought I would try to write down why I believe most folks who read and write here (and are generally smart, caring, and knowledgable) will be OK.
I agree that our society often is under prepared for tail risks. As a general planner, you should be worrying about potential catastrophes even if their probability is small. However as an individual, if there is a certain probability X of doom that is beyond your control, it is best to focus on the 1-X fraction of the probability space that you control rather than constantly worrying about it. A generation of Americans and Russians grew up under a non-trivial probability of a total nuclear war, and they still went about their lives. Even when we do have some control over possibility of very bad outcomes (e.g., traffic accidents), it is best to follow some common sense best practices (wear a seatbelt, don't drive a motorcycle) but then put that out of your mind.
I do not want to engage here in the usual debate of P[doom]. But just as it makes absolute sense [...]
---
First published:
Source:
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

26,348 Listeners

2,456 Listeners

8,494 Listeners

4,170 Listeners

95 Listeners

1,612 Listeners

9,971 Listeners

95 Listeners

517 Listeners

5,512 Listeners

15,833 Listeners

554 Listeners

130 Listeners

92 Listeners

473 Listeners