
Sign up to save your podcasts
Or


We don’t treat all of our beliefs equally.
For some, we see them as either true or false, correct or incorrect. For others, we see them as probabilities, chances, odds. In one world, certainty, in the other, uncertainty.
In this episode you will learn from two experts in reasoning how to apply a rule from the 1700s that makes it possible to see all of your beliefs as being in “grayscale,” as neither black nor white, neither 0 nor 100 percent, but always somewhere in between, as a shade of gray reflecting your confidence in just how wrong you might be...given the evidence at hand.
• Show notes: http://bit.ly/1Nfby8T
• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/youarenotsosmart
• Donate Directly through PayPal: https://www.paypal.me/DavidMcRaney
SPONSORS
• MIT Press: https://mitpress.mit.edu/smart
• Casper Mattresses: https://casper.com/sosmart
• The Great Courses Plus: https://www.thegreatcoursesplus.com/smart
Patreon: http://patreon.com/youarenotsosmart
Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
By You Are Not So Smart4.5
16901,690 ratings
We don’t treat all of our beliefs equally.
For some, we see them as either true or false, correct or incorrect. For others, we see them as probabilities, chances, odds. In one world, certainty, in the other, uncertainty.
In this episode you will learn from two experts in reasoning how to apply a rule from the 1700s that makes it possible to see all of your beliefs as being in “grayscale,” as neither black nor white, neither 0 nor 100 percent, but always somewhere in between, as a shade of gray reflecting your confidence in just how wrong you might be...given the evidence at hand.
• Show notes: http://bit.ly/1Nfby8T
• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/youarenotsosmart
• Donate Directly through PayPal: https://www.paypal.me/DavidMcRaney
SPONSORS
• MIT Press: https://mitpress.mit.edu/smart
• Casper Mattresses: https://casper.com/sosmart
• The Great Courses Plus: https://www.thegreatcoursesplus.com/smart
Patreon: http://patreon.com/youarenotsosmart
Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

43,826 Listeners

31,967 Listeners

43,566 Listeners

26,224 Listeners

2,674 Listeners

93 Listeners

105 Listeners

64 Listeners

211 Listeners

9 Listeners

25 Listeners

12,225 Listeners

59,133 Listeners

41 Listeners

62 Listeners

4,184 Listeners

1,196 Listeners

24,416 Listeners

2,103 Listeners

5,153 Listeners

1,800 Listeners

2,307 Listeners

9,314 Listeners

94 Listeners