09 |

0:00:00 Start

0:00:45 What are the Sustainable Development Goals?

0:02:12 Biophysical Planetary Boundaries – Staying in the Holocene

0:04:11 Social Planetary Boundaries – can we live within the doughnut?

0:04:50 These biophysical and social boundaries are fundamentally different

0:06:09 What is a complex system?

0:08:05 Emergence

0:11:47 Self organization – Attractors

0:14:51 Complexity versus Chaos

0:18:25 History of the world in two graphs: 1, Population and technology

0:20:15 History of the world in two graphs: 2, Population and wealth

0:21:02 Attractors in the Human-Earth system

0:22:38 The Malthusian trap-a social attractor for most of human history

0:26:45 Escaping the Malthusian Trap

0:28:37 In the Post-industrial World, a minimal description of the Human-Earth System must include societal dynamics

0:30:27 We will try to construct a systems description

0:30:59 Population: the Fertility-mortality balance and its link with wealth

0:34:20 The Key Feedback from Mortality to Fertility

0:38:23 Fertility-mortality balance-the effect of urban living

0:39:47 Generation of wealth

0:41:10 Generation of wealth-economic output

0:44:17 Social State

0:52:51 Transitioning between Natural State and Open Access Order

0:57:53 Not a new Idea

0:59:02 Social State

1:00:39 Biospheric State

1:01:27 Tracing the links and feedbacks between the four state variables

1:02:17 Population

1:03:49 Economic output

1:05:09 Societal State

1:07:50 State of the Biosphere

1:13:32 Emergence and Coarse graining

1:14:50 Effect of climate change on suitability of land for growing crops

1:20:20 Syrian Civil War

1:24:39 The known Unknowns

1:25:40 We can examine the system description

1:27:30 Can the trajectory of the human-earth system be understood...?

1:28:27 some first conclusions

1:30:33 can understanding the human-earth system as a complex system help?