On The Market

34: Crash or Correction: Are We Repeating 2008’s Mistakes?


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Home sales are starting to slump, days on market continue to climb, and price drops are becoming the new norm. Are we on the cusp of a 2008 housing market crash repeat? Or, are these eerily similar signs of a large-scale sell-off just coincidental, without much backing behind them? The On The Market Team wanted to know exactly how close we are to repeating the same mistakes from fourteen years ago, and whether or not the runup in buying activity over 2020 and 2021 could lead to a lackluster housing market for years to come.

We’ve brought our entire panel of experts back on the show so we can get an up-to-date read on everything happening in today’s housing market. With fears of a recession on the horizon, buyers and sellers live in fear of what could happen next. But are these “panicky” investors looking at the full data set that Dave and the rest of the team have been able to dig up?

In this episode, we’ll compare four of the most important metrics that could influence today's housing market to 2008 data. These include consumer debt and mortgage quality, defaults and home foreclosures, housing market inventory, and appreciation and growth rates. Are we closer to a housing market apocalypse than we thought or are media outlets using a “crash” as a fear tactic to keep homebuyers out of the loop?

In This Episode We Cover

August housing market data and whether or not real estate still looks strong

Crash vs. correction predictions and which way the market could slide

Mortgage quality stats and where modern-day homebuyers stand when compared to 2008

A massive year-over-year increase in foreclosures and how it may hurt the housing market

Demographic data that could force first-time homebuyers to get even more desperate

Lessons learned from the 2008 crash and what experts and investors warn against

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel

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Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile

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Jamil's BiggerPockets Profile

Jamil's Instagram

Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile

Kathy's Instagram

Hear Our Interview About Foreclosures with Rick Sharga

Get Redfin’s Up-To-Date Housing Market Data

Key Takeaways From the ’08 Recession That Apply Today


Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-34

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