September 24, 2024

508. David Gioe, Huw Dylan & Elena Grossfeld: Putin’s (mis)Management of Russian Intelligence Assessments

1 hour 11 minutes

This is a conversation with the three esteemed authors of a paper

entitled “The autocrat’s intelligence paradox: Vladimir Putin’s

(mis)management of Russian strategic assessment in the Ukraine War. Huw

Dylan, David V. Gioe and Elena Grossfeld

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This article argues that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022

is illustrative of this broader, though understudied, pattern of

autocratic mismanagement of strategic intelligence. The invasion was

both spurred and accompanied by a catastrophic intelligence failure, the

responsibility for which rests with Vladimir Putin, the arbiter of a

system with limited capacity to offer dispassionate strategic

assessments. His failure is characteristic of autocratic regimes

assessing foreign developments, including Putin’s Soviet predecessors.

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LINKS:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2022/03/17/putins-kgb-past-didnt-help-him-with-intelligence-ukraine/

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/13691481241258108

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/13691481221146113

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Professor David Gioe is Visiting Professor of Intelligence and

International Security in the Department of War Studies. He joins the

department as a British Academy Global Professor. He is Associate

Professor of History at the US Military Academy at West Point, where he

also serves as History Fellow for the Army Cyber Institute. David is

also Director of Studies for the Cambridge Security Initiative and

co-convener of its International Security and Intelligence program.

Dr Huw Dylan is a Reader in Intelligence and International Security at

the Department of War Studies, King’s College London. He is also an

Associated Researcher at the Centre for Intelligence Studies in the

Norwegian Intelligence School. His work is focused on intelligence in

the Cold War and beyond, with a specific focus on deception operations,

intelligence in diplomacy, and covert action.

Elena Grossfeld is a PhD candidate in the Department of War Studies,

King's College London (KCL), and a member of King's Intelligence and

Security Group (KISG). Her research interests are strategic culture of

Russian/Soviet intelligence, Cold War, and information warfare.

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TRUSTED CHARITIES ON THE GROUND:

Save Ukraine

https://www.saveukraineua.org/

Superhumans - Hospital for war traumas

https://superhumans.com/en/

UNBROKEN - Treatment. Prosthesis. Rehabilitation for Ukrainians in

Ukraine

https://unbroken.org.ua/

Come Back Alive

https://savelife.in.ua/en/

Chefs For Ukraine - World Central Kitchen

https://wck.org/relief/activation-chefs-for-ukraine

UNITED24 - An initiative of President Zelenskyy

https://u24.gov.ua/

Serhiy Prytula Charity Foundation

https://prytulafoundation.org

NGO “Herojam Slava”

https://heroiamslava.org/

kharpp - Reconstruction project supporting communities in Kharkiv and

Przemyśl

https://kharpp.com/

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By Jonathan Fink

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