GPT-5 did what? OpenAI ahead of Google? There are 9 ways to misread the headlines of the last 48 hours, so this video is here to tell you what happened, sans sizzle. It’s been a fairly momentous last few days, so let’s dive in to the International Math Olympiad Gold, GPT-5 alpha release, whether mathematicians are out of jobs, and the white collar impact by year’s end.

Job Board: https://80000hours.org/aiexplained

New Documentary on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/posts/our-new-age-of-133960279

Chapters: 
00:00 - Introduction
00:18 - AI > Mathematicians?

01:23 - OPENAI vs GOOGLE

02:42 - Irrelevant to Jobs or …

06:45 - White-collar jobs gone?

10:26 - AI is Plateauing?

12:00 - We Don’t Know the Details…

14:33 - GPT-5 alpha

14:54 - Nothing but Exponentials?

15:53 - No Impact?

Announcement: https://x.com/alexwei_/status/1946477742855532918

UCLA Math Prof: https://x.com/ErnestRyu/status/1946699302308635130

ChatGPT Agent: https://openai.com/index/introducing-chatgpt-agent/

Livestream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1jn_RpbPbEc&t=796s
System Card: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/839e66fc-602c-48bf-81d3-b21eacc3459d/chatgpt_agent_system_card.pdf

Jerry Tworek (OpenAI): https://x.com/MillionInt/status/1946556255490982022

https://x.com/MillionInt/status/1946558130906968330

Noam Brown Details: https://x.com/polynoamial/status/1946478249187377206

Trieu Tranh Retweet: https://x.com/Mihonarium/status/1946880931723194389

Neel Nanda: https://x.com/NeelNanda5/status/1946602953370173647

Terence Tao: https://mathstodon.xyz/@tao

Sam Altman: https://x.com/sama/status/1946569252296929727

METR Dev Study: https://metr.org/blog/2025-07-10-early-2025-ai-experienced-os-dev-study/

Ravid Schwatz: https://x.com/ziv_ravid/status/1946378712716562605

AlphaEvolve: https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/

https://simple-bench.com/

Meta Salary: https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/abel-founder-claims-meta-offered-usd1-25-billion-over-four-years-to-ai-hire-person-still-said-no-despite-equivalent-of-usd312-million-yearly-salary

$2k per month: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-considers-higher-priced-subscriptions-to-its-chatbot-ai-preview-of-the-informations-ai-summit?rc=sy0ihq

Grok 4 is here, but did you know these 10 things about the new model? From benchmark caveats to soloing science, $300 a month secrets to Grok 5 promises, here's 10 new things to know in just under 12 minutes.

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:22 - Benchmark Results
02:11 - Benchmark Caveats
02:59 - ARC-AGI 2 
03:35 - SimpleBench
04:49 - ‘Humanity’s Last Exam’
07:20 - SuperGrok Heavy Price
07:58 - API Price
08:12 - Grok 5, Gemini 3.0 Beta, GPT-5
09:12 - System Prompt Change + $1B a month, pollution
10:20 - Not soloing science, helping you solo code

Livestream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1tQ_KrlHgfg&t=1s

Price: https://grok.com/#subscribe
https://x.com/ArtificialAnlys/status/1943166841150644622

Gemini DeepThink: https://blog.google/technology/google-deepmind/google-gemini-updates-io-2025/#deep-think

https://simple-bench.com/

ARC-AGI 2: https://x.com/arcprize/status/1943168950763950555

Humanity’s Last Exam: https://agi.safe.ai/

SmartGPT: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hVade_8H8mE

New Power Plant, 1m GPUs: https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/elon-musk-xai-power-plant-overseas-to-power-1-million-gpus

Gemini 3.0 beta: https://web.archive.org/web/20250709174548/https://github.com/google-gemini/gemini-cli/blob/b0cce952860b9ff51a0f731fbb8a7649ead23530/packages/cli/src/ui/utils/errorParsing.test.ts

Pollution: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/apr/24/elon-musk-xai-memphis
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C8rU4dv2w8Q
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3VJT2JeDCyw

System Prompt: https://github.com/xai-org/grok-prompts/blob/535aa67a6221ce4928761335a38dea8e678d8501/ask_grok_system_prompt.j2

Burn Rate: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-17/musk-s-xai-burning-through-1-billion-a-month-as-costs-pile-up

Ron Johnson: https://x.com/jdcmedlock/status/1939814516503847259



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

In the last few days Anthropic have released an impressive honest account of how all models blackmail, no matter what goal they have, and despite prompt warnings, and other preventions. But do these models *want* this?

Thanks to Storyblocks for sponsoring this video! Download unlimited stock media at one set price with Storyblocks: storyblocks.com/AIExplained


AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:20 - What prompts blackmail?
02:44 - Blackmail walkthrough 
06:04 - ‘American interests’
08:00 - Inherent desire?
10:45 - Switching Goals
11:35 - Murder
12:22 - Realizing it’s a scenario? 
15:02 - Prompt engineering fix?
16:27 - Any fixes?
17:45 - Chekov’s Gun
19:25 - Job implications
21:19 - Bonus Details

Report: https://www.anthropic.com/research/agentic-misalignment
30 Page Appendices: https://assets.anthropic.com/m/6d46dac66e1a132a/original/Agentic_Misalignment_Appendix.pdf
Announcement: https://x.com/AnthropicAI/status/1936144602446082431?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
OpenAI Files: https://www.openaifiles.org/
Grok 4 News: https://x.com/RonFilipkowski/status/1936372579607912473
Claude 4 Report Card: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/6be99a52cb68eb70eb9572b4cafad13df32ed995.pdf
New Apollo Research: https://www.apolloresearch.ai/blog/more-capable-models-are-better-at-in-context-scheming
Interesting Reflections: https://nostalgebraist.tumblr.com/post/785766737747574784/the-void


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

What to make of those headlines that AI can’t reason, seen by tens of millions? I cover the paper in layman’s terms, what it means and doesn’t mean, and what’s next. 

Thanks to Storyblocks for sponsoring this video! Download unlimited stock media at one set price with Storyblocks: https://storyblocks.com/AIExplained

Plus o3-pro and whether it is my current most-recommended model.

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:57 - Viral Post + Headlines
01:42 - Apple Paper Analysis
08:34 - But they do Hallucinate 
10:43 - Not Supercomputers
11:18 - o3 Pro and Recommendations 


13.7M Tweet: https://x.com/RubenHssd/status/1931389580105925115

Apple Paper: https://ml-site.cdn-apple.com/papers/the-illusion-of-thinking.pdf

Guardian Article: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/jun/09/apple-artificial-intelligence-ai-study-collapse

Lisan al Gaib post: https://x.com/scaling01/status/1931854370716426246

Multiplication: https://x.com/yuntiandeng/status/1836114401213989366

The Illusion of the Illusion of Thinking: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Zx9ikRj0Enc3SB4wA9HlYIlpmO_8QiUO/view

Marcus: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/jun/10/billion-dollar-ai-puzzle-break-down

Prof Rao: https://x.com/rao2z/status/1927707640223719631

AI Job Headlines: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/11/technology/ai-mechanize-jobs.html
https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic

Sky News Story: https://news.sky.com/story/can-we-trust-chatgpt-despite-it-hallucinating-answers-13380975

Veo 3 Ad: https://x.com/Kalshi/status/1932891608388681791

Altman Essay: https://blog.samaltman.com/

o3 Original benchmarks: https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5b8b6c44-acd6-43b3-b5c6-1a1d5c6c25e4_2486x1388.png

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfQ0bfcXQAAQt13.jpg

Alpha Evolve Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RH4hAgvYSzg

https://simple-bench.com/


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

There’s a new best language model, so let’s go through the up and downs of Gemini 2.5 Pro 06-05. Record-breaking common-sense, but dumb mistakes remain. And it’s not even their best model, which remains behind the scenes - Gemini 2.5 Ultra. Plus Sundar Pichai’s AGI date and an analysis of whether the current AI unemployment headlines are justified, and Elevenlabs v3.


https://emergentmind.com


AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
02:04 - Gemini 2.5 Ultra 
03:34 - Benchmarks
07:41 - AGI Date and Meaning Pichai
09:13 - Jobs and AI Unemployment Fears
15:28 - Elevenlabs v3

Sundar Pichai Fridman: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9V6tWC4CdFQ

Pichai More Jobs (until 2026 at least): https://www.techradar.com/pro/alphabet-ceo-sundar-pichai-says-ai-wont-lead-to-job-cuts-will-be-an-accelerator

Gemini Comparison: https://blog.google/products/gemini/gemini-2-5-pro-latest-preview/
https://x.com/viathebrink/status/1930733154203292121

https://simple-bench.com/

White Collar Bloodbath: https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic
https://fortune.com/2025/05/25/ai-entry-level-jobs-gen-z-careers-young-workers-linkedin/
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/19/opinion/linkedin-ai-entry-level-jobs.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/25/business/economy/white-collar-layoffs.html

College Unemployment: https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/college-labor-market/#--:explore:unemployment

New Scientist AI Hallucinaitons: https://www.newscientist.com/article/2479545-ai-hallucinations-are-getting-worse-and-theyre-here-to-stay/

Duolingo: https://fortune.com/2025/05/24/duolingo-ai-first-employees-ceo-luis-von-ahn/
Klarna: https://www.forbes.com/sites/quickerbettertech/2025/05/18/business-tech-news-klarna-reverses-on-ai-says-customers-like-talking-to-people/

Sholto Douglas: https://www.reddit.com/r/ClaudeAI/comments/1ktt1rb/anthropics_sholto_douglas_says_by_202728_its/

Figure 02: https://x.com/adcock_brett/status/1930693311771332853

Elevenlabs v3: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zv_IoWIO5Ek

Gemini Speech Generation: https://aistudio.google.com/generate-speech


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Not only did I get early access and ran my own tests, as per the title I read both the 120 page Claude 4 Opus and Claude 4 Sonnet System Card, and 25 page report on ASL-3 being triggered, plus the 2 hour launch video, and surrounding coverage. Ft. coding tests, Simple, twitter controversies, deep alignment coverage, spiritual bliss and much more!

https://80000hours.org/aiexplained

Chapters: 

00:00 - Introduction
01:12 - 3 Quick Controversies

02:42 - Benchmark Results 

04:20 - 120 page Card 20 Highlights

10:07 - Coding Test
11:27 - Model Welfare and Spiritual Bliss

13:29 -  ASL-3

Claude Card: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/4263b940cabb546aa0e3283f35b686f4f3b2ff47.pdf?s=09
ASL 3:https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/807c59454757214bfd37592d6e048079cd7a7728.pdf

Tweets: https://x.com/fish_kyle3/status/1925597284546629753

https://x.com/EMostaque/status/1925624164527874452?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

Cursor Says State of the Art for Coding: https://x.com/cursor_ai/status/1925594428095561941

Benchmarks: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-4

Google just announced at least 12 things that are each worthy of a video, but here are the top I/O highlights. From Veo 3 to Deep Research now being useable, Deep Think breaking records to Gemini Diffusion, Gemini 2.5 Flash changing how AI is priced and GemmaVerse, SynthID Detector and Imagen 4. And even this intro is missing other announcements covered in the vid! And yes, they’ll be plenty of Veo 3 clips to enjoy…

https://80000hours.org/aiexplained

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:48 - Veo 3
02:10 - Gemini 2.5 Flash
03:13 - Universal Assistant
03:47 - Usage Skyrockets + OpenAI dig
04:51 - Gemini Pro Deep Think
06:21 - Overviews and AI Mode
07:26 - Deep Research Updates (new) + Jules 
08:53 - Make and Deploy Apps with Gemini
09:12 - Imagen 4 
10:00 - Gemini Diffusion
11:46 - Try It On
12:17 - SynthID Detector
13:30 - GemmaVerse, SignGemma, Gemma3n, medGemma
14:24 - Outro + Clips

Event: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8NiE3XMPrM
Ntaive Audio: https://aistudio.google.com/generate-speech
Gemini Diffusion: https://deepmind.google/models/gemini-diffusion/#capabilities 
New Gemini 2.5 Flash: https://deepmind.google/models/gemini/flash/
SignGemma (See end of this vid): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GjvgtwSOCao
Deep Think: https://blog.google/technology/google-deepmind/google-gemini-updates-io-2025/#flash-improvements
Google Parallel Sampling: https://www.patreon.com/posts/next-level-good-127441188

Price Plans: https://blog.google/products/google-one/google-ai-ultra/
Imagen 4 Benchmarks: https://deepmind.google/models/imagen/
Jules: https://jules.google/
SynthID Detector: https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-synthid-ai-content-detector/
Veo 3 Benchmarks: https://deepmind.google/models/veo/evals/
MedGemma: https://deepmind.google/models/gemma/medgemma/
Build Apps: https://aistudio.google.com/apps


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

AlphaEvolve is not the first system to exhibit self-improvement, but it may be the most impressive yet. AI is literally improving the hardware, architectures, data and training methods of AI itself. A deep dive into the paper, drawing on two previous interviews and 5 other papers. Plus a snippet on OpenAI’s new Codex system.

Gray Swan: http://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:27 - AlphaEvolve
05:23 - Limitation
06:10 - Achievements
08:21 - Future Improvements
13:30 - Quirks
16:34 - Final Thoughts

AlphaEvolve release: https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/

Paper: https://storage.googleapis.com/deepmind-media/DeepMind.com/Blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/AlphaEvolve.pdf

Terence Tao Quote: https://mathstodon.xyz/@tao/114508029896631083

Nature Article: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-05172-4
MIT Article: https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/05/14/1116438/google-deepminds-new-ai-uses-large-language-models-to-crack-real-world-problems/
AI Co-Scientist: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2502.18864

OpenAI Codex: https://openai.com/index/introducing-codex/


70% of Pull Requests: https://x.com/slow_developer/status/1920920456393028027

Amodei Essay: https://www.darioamodei.com/essay/machines-of-loving-grace

OpenAI Jason Wei Tweet: https://x.com/_jasonwei/status/1923091260354531612

PromptBreeder: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2309.16797
DrEureka: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2406.01967

FT DeepMind: https://www.ft.com/content/4e497a91-670a-4f69-be4a-18e247daba3e



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

A green card, o3 vs Gemini 2.5, 6 Benchmarks and a whole bunch of my thoughts on what on earth is happening in AI, from here to 2030. Plus, how AI is becoming pay-to-win, and why. Crazy times, 14 mins probably wasn’t enough.

https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:33 - FictionLiveBench
01:37 - PHYBench
02:14 - SimpleBench
02:54 - Virology Capabilities Test
03:13 - Mathematics Performance
04:29 - Vision Benchmarks
05:43 - V* and how o3 works
06:44 - Revenue and costs for you
08:54 - Expensive RL and trade-offs 
09:40 - How to spend the OOMs
13:27 - Gray Swan Arena

Green Card: https://techcrunch.com/2025/04/25/an-openai-researcher-who-worked-on-gpt-4-5-had-their-green-card-denied/
PHYBench: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.16074Virologytest: https://www.virologytest.ai/
How o3 Vision Works: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2312.14135 https://x.com/sainingxie/status/1912570624523829573
Visual puzzles: https://neulab.github.io/VisualPuzzles/
Fiction Bench: https://x.com/ficlive/status/1912863028141244850
https://geobench.org/
https://simple-bench.com/
AIME 2025: https://openai.com/index/introducing-o3-and-o4-mini/
USAMO: https://x.com/mbalunovic/status/1914398518896193747
NaturalBench: https://linzhiqiu.github.io/papers/naturalbench/
Where’s Waldo: https://uk.pinterest.com/pin/492792384225896298/
IMO and AlphaProof:https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/ai-solves-imo-problems-at-silver-medal-level/
Crazy Revenue: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-forecasts-revenue-topping-125-billion-2029-agents-new-products-gain?rc=sy0ihq
Number of Users: https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/googles-gemini-user-numbers-revealed-court?rc=sy0ihq
Subscriptions pay to win: https://www.forbes.com/sites/paulmonckton/2025/04/23/google-leak-reveals-new-gemini-ai-subscription-levels/
GPU Trade-offs: https://x.com/sama/status/1915098951067554030
RL Scale-up Amodei: https://www.darioamodei.com/post/on-deepseek-and-export-controls
Log-linear Returns: https://x.com/bobmcgrewai/status/1895228291981943265
2030 Scaling: https://epoch.ai/blog/can-ai-scaling-continue-through-2030
Model Size: https://x.com/slow_developer/status/1874554473256997201
Adam on AGI: https://x.com/TheRealAdamG/status/1913998366632968381
Papers on Patreon: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2502.01839
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.13837
Chollet Quote: https://x.com/fchollet/status/1912934762580447447
OpenSim: https://opensim.stanford.edu/


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Critical analysis of the two most powerful new models behind ChatGPT, o3 and o4-mini. Not just the system cards, benchmarks, and my own tests, but some you may not have seen before. Yes, they can whip up amazing front-end in a few seconds, but you always have to ask what is in their data. Either way, they prove the gains from RL are just beginning…

https://weave-docs.wandb.ai/?utm_source=sponsorship&utm_medium=simple_bench&utm_campaign=ai_explained

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained


Chapters:
00:00 - o3 and o4-mini


https://simple-bench.com/

Plus, Teams and Pro,  plus token count: https://x.com/btibor91/status/1912568994512662679

System Card: https://openai.com/index/o3-o4-mini-system-card/

Release Notes: https://openai.com/index/introducing-o3-and-o4-mini/

https://deepmind.google/technologies/gemini/pro/

https://x.com/DeryaTR_/status/1912558350794961168

https://x.com/polynoamial/status/1912564068168450396

API Pricing:https://openai.com/api/pricing/

https://aider.chat/docs/leaderboards/


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/