At the Water's Edge

At the Water's Edge

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At the Water's Edge episodes

  • The Wild World of Global Trade with Wendy Cutler

    In this conversation, Wendy Cutler, a former U.S. trade negotiator, discusses the complexities of international trade, the role of government in negotiations, and the evolving landscape of U.S. trade policy. She emphasizes the importance of understanding cultural nuances in negotiations, the impact of political changes, and the need for a balanced approach to trade that considers both economic prosperity and national security. The discussion also highlights the unique challenges posed by China and the necessity of collaborating with allies to address these issues effectively.

    takeaways

    • Trade is not just about money; it involves various stakeholders.
    • The government plays a crucial role in negotiating trade agreements.
    • Political changes can significantly impact trade negotiations.
    • Cultural factors are essential in understanding negotiation dynamics.
    • The U.S. has shifted from a focus on economic prosperity to economic security in trade policy.
    • China is a formidable economic rival that requires a strategic approach.
    • Working with allies is crucial in addressing the China challenge.
    • NAFTA's impact shows the need for careful consideration of trade agreements.
    • Trade policies should be holistic, addressing both international and domestic concerns.
    • The future of trade will involve navigating complex international relationships.
      • Navigating the Complex World of Trade
      • The Role of Government in Trade Negotiations
        • "Trade is not just about money."
        • "Trade negotiations take years to develop."
        • "Economic security is becoming a priority."
        • Chapters

          00:00 Understanding Trade Negotiation

          02:26 Negotiation Tactics and Challenges

          07:25 Political Dynamics in Trade Negotiations

          14:05 Evolution of U.S. Trade Policy

          19:52 Economic Security vs. National Security

          28:41 The Role of Allies in Trade

          33:38 Lessons from NAFTA and Future Trade Agreements

          38:08 Advice for U.S. Trade Policy

          45 min
        • Going Viral on TikTok and meeting the Jonas Brothers

          In this conversation, Scott shares his unexpected journey from a viral resume incident to appearing on national television. He discusses the challenges and excitement of being contacted by major media outlets, preparing for his appearance on The Tonight Show with Jimmy Fallon, and the surreal experience of meeting the Jonas Brothers. Scott reflects on the importance of veteran transitions and the support of the military community, while also navigating the chaos of newfound fame and media attention.takeaways

          • Take every call; it sharpens your skills.
          • The military teaches accountability and communication.
          • Viral moments can lead to unexpected opportunities.
          • Networking is crucial, especially for veterans.
          • Preparation is key for public speaking engagements.
          • Embrace the chaos of media attention.
          • Always protect your personal information online.
          • Unexpected connections can lead to great opportunities.
          • The importance of community support for veterans.
          • Humor can be a great way to connect with others.

            • Chapters

              00:00 A Dog's Emergency and a Viral Moment

              13:53 Media Attention and Career Opportunities

              16:34 Preparing for the Tonight Show

              19:43 The Journey to New York City

              22:26 Unexpected Media Engagements

              24:48 The Impact of Viral Fame

              25:11 Preparing for the Tonight Show

              27:59 Navigating the Green Room Experience

              30:54 The Anticipation of Going Live

              33:52 Going Off Script on National Television

              36:55 Meeting the Jonas Brothers

              40:05 Transitioning to Fox and Friends

              43:01 The Aftermath of Fame

              46:28 Returning to Reality

              50 min
            • Drones Are Evolving, Can We Protect Ourselves?

              The conversation with Logan Harris, CEO of Spotter Global delves discusses how radar combined with other sensors are critical to detecting threats in real time and enable decision makers to counter the threat of drone. The risks of drone used by nefarious actors is matched by the risk of inadvertent civilian use and Logan shares his recommendations for policy makers to protect our critical infrastructure.

              • There are nearly 26 million drones in total.
              • Only about a million drones are registered.
              • 25 million drones remain unregistered.
              • Most drones are relatively new and prone to crashing.
              • Information can be readily obtained from most drones.
              • Drones present a danger to helicopters and low-flying aircraft.
              • The risk associated with drones is expected to increase.
              • Unregistered drones complicate aviation safety.
              • The technology surrounding drones is rapidly evolving.
              • Regulatory measures are needed to address drone safety.
              • 59 min
              • Is America's Financial Flu Fatal? Guest Douglas Holtz-Eakin (PhD)

                In this conversation, Douglas Holtz-Eakin discusses the pressing issues surrounding America's national debt and fiscal health. He explores the implications of government shutdowns, the role of deficits in economic growth, and the structural challenges posed by entitlement programs. Holtz-Eakin emphasizes the need for political leadership to address these issues and the importance of long-term thinking in economic policy. He also touches on the Federal Reserve's independence, the impact of tariffs, and the future of social security, providing insights into how these factors intertwine with national security and global economic dynamics

                takeaways

                • America's national debt is a significant concern that has been growing for decades.
                • Government shutdowns have minimal economic impact but highlight political dysfunction.
                • Deficits can hinder economic growth and limit opportunities for future generations.
                • Entitlement programs like Social Security and Medicare contribute to structural deficits.
                • Political leadership has failed to address the looming fiscal crisis effectively.
                • The future of Social Security is uncertain, with potential cuts looming in the next seven years.
                • AI may improve productivity, but it won't solve fiscal issues overnight.
                • Sovereign wealth funds are not a viable solution for the U.S. due to a lack of surplus.
                • Tariffs raise revenue but can harm economic growth and are a regressive tax.
                • Supply chain resilience is crucial for national security and economic stability.
                • Chapters

                  00:00 Introduction to Douglas Holtz-Eakin

                  04:49 Government Shutdown Dynamics

                  07:57 Impact of Shutdown on Fiscal Health

                  12:49 The Deficit Dilemma

                  17:44 Entitlement Programs and Structural Deficits

                  22:46 Potential Solutions for Social Security

                  26:47 The Role of AI and Sovereign Wealth Funds

                  30:57 Tariffs and Global Supply Chain Fragility

                  32:15 Supply Chain Resilience Post-Pandemic

                  34:02 Government's Role in Supply Shortages

                  35:30 Long-Term Thinking in American Politics

                  36:51 Congressional Accountability and Military Actions

                  38:25 Influence of Special Interests in Politics

                  38:49 Understanding the Congressional Budget Office

                  41:54 The Future of the Dollar and Global Trade

                  44:40 The Federal Reserve's Independence and Its Importance

                  48:58 Comparing Monetary Policies: U.S. vs. Other Countries

                  53:54 National Security and Fiscal Policy

                  57:43 Bipartisan Solutions for Economic Reform

                  Find out more about Douglas Holtz-Eakin and the American Action Forum here

                  1 hr
                • The Shanghai Cooperation Organization: A New Era

                  In this conversation, Henrietta Levin, a senior fellow at CSIS, discusses the evolving dynamics of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) and its implications for global governance, US-China relations, and regional partnerships. She highlights China's ambitions to reshape the international order, the complexities of India-China relations, and the significance of recent developments within the SCO. The discussion also touches on the risks associated with China's growing confidence, the appeal of its development model, and the potential for alternative financial systems. Levin emphasizes the importance of understanding these dynamics for American businesses and policymakers.


                  00:00 Introduction to Henrietta Levin and Her Background

                  07:58 European Perspectives on China

                  11:04 Understanding the Shanghai Cooperation Organization

                  14:03 China's Long-Term Goals with the SCO

                  16:56 China's Vision for Global Governance

                  20:15 The Significance of the Recent SCO Summit

                  23:12 China-India Relations and Their Implications

                  25:57 The Future of the SCO and Regional Dynamics

                  30:23 China's Growing Influence in Asia

                  36:10 Contrasting Development Models: China vs. the West

                  41:03 The SEO and Alternative Financial Systems

                  46:58 Turkey's Role in the SEO and Its Complex Relations

                  54:19 Navigating US-China Relations: Strategies and Outcomes

                  59 min
                • #28 AI and Government's Data Dilemma with Jake Dyal, CEO of Certus Core

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                   Scott and Jake Dyal, CEO of Certus Core, discuss the intersection of AI, data integration, and national security. They explore the challenges faced by government agencies in managing and utilizing data, particularly in the context of drone and sensor data. Jake shares insights from his experience transitioning from government service to the private sector, highlighting the bureaucratic hurdles and the need for innovative solutions in government contracting. The conversation also touches on the importance of small bets in defense innovation and the evolving role of the Defense Innovation Unit (DIU).

                  takeaways


                  • Custom data products are essential for various government missions.
                  • Integrating multiple data sources enhances decision-making capabilities.
                  • Philosophical foundations can influence data integration technologies.
                  • The ATO process is a significant barrier to innovation in government.
                  • Startups face numerous challenges in navigating government contracting.
                  • The DIU has had mixed success in facilitating innovation.
                  • Bureaucratic processes often hinder timely technology adoption.
                  • Small bets in defense can lead to significant advancements.
                  • Building relationships with trusted partners is crucial for success.

                  • Chapters

                    00:00
                    Introduction to Certus Core and Its Mission

                    03:08
                    The Challenge of Data Integration in National Security

                    05:59
                    Philosophical Foundations of Data Communication

                    09:05
                    Transitioning from Government to Private Sector

                    11:56
                    Navigating Bureaucracy in Government Contracting

                    15:03
                    The Role of Innovation in Defense

                    17:48
                    Barriers to Effective Government Acquisition

                    20:58
                    The Future of Defense Technology and Partnerships

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                    42 min
                  • #27 Foreign Policy Polling Insights with Alex Tarascio

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                    In this episode of 'At the Water's Edge,' host Scott interviews Alex Tarascio, a pollster from Cygnal, a private GOP polling firm known for its accuracy. They discuss the intricacies of polling, the differences between private and public polling, and the impact of partisanship on polling results. Alex shares insights on current voter sentiment, the role of corporate clients, and the challenges of polling on national security and foreign policy issues. The conversation also touches on the disconnect between military perspectives and public opinion, the future of national security issues in polling, and the importance of political accountability in democracy promotion. As they look ahead to the midterms, they explore key trends and issues that may influence voter behavior.

                    Contact the Show: [email protected]

                    Cygnal Polling: https://www.cygn.al/

                    Magpie Spice Co: https://www.instagram.com/magpiespice/

                    takeaways

                    • Polling accuracy has improved significantly since 2016.
                    • Private polling firms have different incentives than public ones.
                    • Voter sentiment on national security is low, around 5%.
                    • Partisanship heavily influences polling results and methodologies.
                    • Benchmarking polls serve different purposes than public polls.
                    • Corporate clients can impact the type of polling conducted.
                    • Young women are becoming disengaged from politics and news.
                    • The issue of abortion is losing its significance in voter motivation.
                    • Public perception of tariffs is mixed, with many preferring free market solutions.
                    • Political accountability is essential for effective democracy promotion.

                    • Chapters

                      00:00
                      Introduction to Polling and Alex Tarascio

                      04:45
                      The Evolution of Polling Post-2016

                      07:47
                      The Impact of Partisanship on Polling

                      10:41
                      Confidentiality and Trust in Polling

                      13:39
                      Public vs. Private Polling Approaches

                      16:35
                      National Voter Trends and Current Polling Insights

                      19:33
                      Sampling and Its Importance in Polling

                      22:37
                      Corporate Clients and Political Affiliations

                      25:39
                      Trump's Favorability and Public Perception

                      28:36
                      Tariffs and Public Opinion

                      30:35
                      Understanding Partisan Dynamics in Polling

                      32:42
                      The Impact of Tariffs on Public Opinion

                      34:47
                      National Security and Foreign Policy in Polling

                      38:07
                      Public Sentiment on Foreign Policy Issues

                      41:02
                      The Shift in American Foreign Policy Perspectives

                      44:01
                      The Role of Political Diversity in Democracy Promotion

                      49:20
                      Challenges in U.S. Foreign Assistance Programs

                      53:12
                      Polling Insights for Upcoming Elections

                      01:01:29
                      Engaging with Signal's Work and Personal Projects


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                      1 hr 4 min
                    • #26 Trump's National Security Strategy with Jahara Matisek (PhD)

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                      In this episode, Scott and Dr. Jahara 'FRANKY' Matisek discuss the current state of global conflicts, particularly focusing on the dynamics between Israel and Iran, and the tensions between Pakistan and India. They delve into Trump's national security strategy, exploring its foundations and implications, including a modern interpretation of the Monroe Doctrine. The conversation also highlights the role of Security Force Assistance Brigades (SFABs) in U.S. military strategy, the impact of sanctions on Russia, and the shifting landscape of U.S. global leadership. The discussion culminates in reflections on the need for accountability and a coherent grand strategy in national security policy.

                      Original article

                      Contact the show: [email protected]

                      takeaways

                      • Trump's national security strategy is often seen as a symptom of broader issues rather than the root cause.
                      • Sanctions can have a delayed effect, impacting economies over time despite immediate appearances.
                      • The U.S. is perceived as breaking the international order, which could have long-term consequences.
                      • A coherent grand strategy is essential for effective national security policy.
                      • Accountability in the national security establishment is lacking, leading to a disconnect with the public.
                      • The Monroe Doctrine is being reinterpreted to address modern challenges, particularly with China.
                      • SFABs play a crucial role in enhancing military strategy and interoperability with allies.
                      • America's soft power is diminishing, affecting its global standing.
                      • The national security establishment is facing challenges in adapting to new political realities.
                      • Trump's foreign policy reflects a unique approach that diverges from traditional strategies.

                      • Chapters

                        00:00
                        Introduction and Background of the Guest

                        05:22
                        Trump's National Security Strategy Overview

                        08:30
                        The Monroe Doctrine and Its Modern Implications

                        11:38
                        Shifts in Military Strategy and Resources

                        14:30
                        The Role of SFABs in Modern Warfare

                        17:43
                        Comparing Trump's Policies to Previous Administrations

                        20:27
                        Sanctions and Their Effectiveness

                        23:30
                        The Future of U.S.-Russia Relations

                        26:31
                        Conclusion and Future Implications

                        34:36
                        Global Perceptions: America vs. China

                        36:36
                        The Evolution of Soft Power in U.S. Foreign Policy

                        38:59
                        Trump's Administration: A Shift in Foreign Policy Dynamics

                        42:29
                        The National Security Community's Disconnect

                        43:56
                        The Impact of U.S. Wars on Global Reputation

                        48:42
                        Trump: A Symptom of Deeper Issues

                        54:29
                        Accountability in National Security


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                        1 hr 5 min
                      • #25 Avoiding Nuclear War between Pakistan and India with Pakistani Senator Bushra Anjum

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                        In this episode, Senator Bushra Anjum Butt discusses the escalating tensions between Pakistan and India, particularly focusing on the implications of the Indus Water Treaty and the need for international mediation. She emphasizes Pakistan's mission of peace and the importance of diplomacy over war, while also addressing the role of the U.S. in influencing regional stability. The conversation highlights the risks of escalation and the current domestic sentiment in Pakistan regarding the conflict.

                        takeaways

                        • Nuclear war poses a global threat beyond immediate casualties.
                        • Pakistan's delegation in the U.S. aims to mediate peace with India.
                        • The Indus Water Treaty is crucial for Pakistan's water security.
                        • War is not a viable solution to conflicts between nations.
                        • International mediation is essential to prevent escalation.
                        • The U.S. has significant influence over India's actions.
                        • Pakistan seeks economic development and trade over military conflict.
                        • Domestic sentiment in Pakistan is currently united against India.
                        • The political landscape in Pakistan is complex and evolving.
                        • A healthy U.S.-Pakistan relationship should focus on mutual growth.

                        • Chapters

                          00:00
                          Introduction and Mission of Peace

                          07:49
                          The Indus Water Treaty and Its Implications

                          10:49
                          Recent Hostilities and Kashmir Conflict

                          13:50
                          Appeal for International Mediation

                          17:05
                          US-Pakistan Relations and Economic Development

                          19:46
                          Pakistan's Diplomatic Strategy

                          22:50
                          Escalation Risks and Water Security

                          25:50
                          Domestic Sentiment and Political Unity

                          28:45
                          Future of US-Pakistan Relations

                          contact the show: [email protected]

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                          47 min
                        • #24 The Evolution of Close Air Support from WWII to GWOT with Dr. Steve Call

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                          In this conversation, Dr. Steve Call discusses the evolution of air support in military operations, focusing on the role of Tactical Air Controllers (TACPs) and the historical context of air-ground integration. He highlights lessons learned from World War II, the Korean War, and the Vietnam War, emphasizing the importance of close air support (CAS) in modern warfare. Dr. Call also addresses current challenges facing CAS and the future of air support in the military, advocating for a deeper understanding of operational concepts versus strategies.

                          takeaways

                          • ALO tours were seen as a dark hole in careers.
                          • American military integrates air support tightly with ground units.
                          • The history of air-ground coordination is rich and complex.
                          • Lessons from WWII shaped modern air support strategies.
                          • Post-WWII, the Air Force focused on strategic bombing over CAS.
                          • Korean War required a reinvention of CAS tactics.
                          • Vietnam War established NCOs as key players in air support.
                          • Desert Storm showcased the effectiveness of CAS.
                          • Post-9/11 operations highlighted the need for coordination.
                          • Current trends threaten the effectiveness of CAS.
                          • Chapters

                            00:00
                            Introduction to Steve Call

                            04:43
                            Steve's Military Background and Education

                            08:57
                            The Evolution of Tactical Air Control

                            12:48
                            The Importance of Air-Ground Integration

                            16:48
                            Historical Context of Close Air Support

                            20:57
                            The Dilemma of Air and Ground Forces

                            24:46
                            Post-War Air Power Perspectives

                            28:56
                            The Reinvention of Close Air Support

                            32:48
                            The Fighter Mafia and Its Impact

                            36:53
                            Lessons from History and Future Implications

                            37:41
                            The Impact of Desert Storm on Air Power

                            41:35
                            The Role of Close Air Support in Modern Warfare

                            53:49
                            Challenges Facing Close Air Support Today

                            56:47
                            The Future of Air Force Close Air Support

                            01:03:55
                            The A-10 vs. F-35 Debate

                            01:06:48
                            Final Thoughts on Close Air Support Strategy

                            Dr. Steve Calls Books:

                            Danger Close: Tactical Air Controllers in Afghanistan and IraqSelling Air Power: Military Aviation and American Popular Culture after World War II

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                            1 hr 12 min

                          About At the Water's Edge

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                          The At the Water’s Edge Podcast explores national security and geopolitics from an insider’s perspective, looking at how national power, industrial policy, diplomacy, and military might shape our…

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