This week, Will and Ben dive into the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the spillover fear impacting the commodity market.
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Market recap (changes on week):
- May corn down $.24 at $6.13
- December 2023 corn down $.13 at $5.57
- May soybeans down $.38 at $14.91
- November soybeans down $.40 at $13.39
- May soybean oil down 4.49 cents at 55.86 cents/lb
- May soybean meal down $1.20 at $492.20/short ton
- May wheat down $.23 at $6.72
- July wheat down $.08 at $6.95
- June WTI Crude Oil down $5.07 at $74.91/barrel
Weekly highlights:
- US ethanol production was up ever so slightly on the week while US gasoline demand fell 6% week over week as a result ethanol stocks were up 22 million gallons. Ethanol price has been relatively stable for nearly 2 months at just over $2 per gallon.
- Last week’s supply and demand estimates were largely as expected. US corn exports were lowered 75 million bushels while US soybean exports increased 25 million bushels. Globally- stocks continue to be tight as Argentina’s corn crop was lowered 7 million metric tons and their soybean crop lowered 8 million metric tons.
- Ag export sales were mixed last week. For corn, the reported 55.6 million bushels was a marketing year high and above trader expectation. For soybeans, the first week of net cancelations were reported and the total was well below all pre-report expectations. Grain sorghum sales were up on purchases by China while wheat export sales were slightly down on the week.
- It was a tense end to the week in the banking sector with Silicon Valley Bank, the nation’s 16th largest bank, being taken over by the FDIC. The VIX index rose sharply to trade above 30 on Monday but settled around 26 most of the day. However, the macro-outlook has changed over the weekend with the market now anticipating the FED to cut interest rates this year.
- Weekly ag export shipments were relatively neutral on the week- only wheat came in below expectations. Corn, soybeans and grain sorghum were all up week over week.
- This morning it was reported that the CPI rose 0.4% in February and 6% over the last year.
Topics:
- Market recap
- Silicon Valley Bank collapse
- General market fear increase
- Federal Reserve moving forward
- Reports to watch
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