This week, Will and Ben discuss how the extension of the Black Sea trade corridor will impact commodity markets.
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Market recap (changes on week):
- May corn up $.20 at $6.33
- December 2023 corn up $.03 at $5.60
- May soybeans down $.05 at $14.86
- November soybeans down $.30 at $13.09
- May soybean oil up 2.13 cents at 57.99 cents/lb
- May soybean meal down $29.50 at $462.70/short ton
- May wheat up $.28 at $7.00
- July wheat up $.13 at $7.08
- June WTI Crude Oil down $6.85 at $68.06/barrel
Weekly highlights:
- US ethanol production was up ever so slightly again last week and just below 300 million gallons. US stocks of ethanol continue to move higher and sit at the second highest volume since the pandemic. Gasoline demand was flat on the week.
- There were more than 83 million bushels of announced flash corn sales for the current marketing year to China over a four-day period last week. Those sales will become official in this coming weekly report. However, for last weeks export sales recap- corn sales were down week over week while grain sorghum, soybeans, and wheat were all up week over week.
- USDA’s Cattle on Feed Report last Friday showed all US cattle on feed as of March 1 at 95.5% of the inventory last year and right around the pre-report trade estimates. February placements were at 92.8%.
- Commitment of Trader data is still getting caught up after their data breach in January- however, for the data we do have- corn has worked away all of the net long positions it held at the start of the year. There are still sizable net long holdings of soybeans.
- The Black Sea Grain Initiative was officially extended for another 120 days over the weekend, despite Russian objections.
- Ag Export inspections were largely as expected this week with corn, soybeans, grain sorghum and wheat all up week over week.
Topics:
- Market recap
- Russian Ukrainian grain corridor extended
- Continued Black Sea uncertainty
- Federal Reserve moving forward
- Reports to watch
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