This week, Will and Ben preview one of the top USDA report days of the year with prospective plantings and grain stocks coming on Friday.
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Market recap (changes on week):
- May corn up $.15 at $6.48
- December 2023 corn up $.09 at $5.69
- May soybeans down $.34 at $14.52
- November soybeans down $.14 at $12.95
- May soybean oil down 3.44 cents at 54.45 cents/lb
- May soybean meal down $10.30 at $452.40/short ton
- May wheat up $.01 at $7.01
- July wheat up $.04 at $7.12
- June WTI Crude Oil up $4.97 at $73.03/barrel
Weekly highlights:
- US ethanol production fell 5 million gallons on the week to 293 million gallons on the week- ethanol stocks decreased slightly on the week but remain 9% higher than the 5-year average. Finished motor gasoline was up 4% week over week.
- There were almost 122 million bushels of old crop corn sold to international destinations for the most recent week of official reports- the highest single weekly value in exactly 2 years. China accounted for a little over 2/3s of those sales. The corn export deficit is shrinking and now is roughly 100 million bushels below USDA’s current target. The rest of the grain and oilseed export sales were bearish. Soybeans and wheat fell below all pre-report expectations while grain sorghum had net sales cancelations.
- After a couple anxiety filled weeks in the market highlighted with some regional bank failures and the federal reserve increasing their benchmark rate another 25 basis points last week- funds moderated in Chicago corn and soybeans decreasing the net short in corn and decreasing the net long in soybeans.
- Ag export inspections were mixed on the week- below all expectations for corn, at the top end of expectations for soybeans and wheats.
- This week’s Hard Red Winter wheat ratings were steady for Kansas at 19% good to excellent- Oklahoma up 5% while Texas was down 5%. The biggest changes were in Soft Red Winter Wheat- Illinois was down 24% to 58% good to excellent.
Topics:
- Market recap
- Russian Ukrainian grain corridor extended
- Continued Black Sea uncertainty
- Federal Reserve moving forward
- Reports to watch
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