Market recap (changes on week):
- December corn down $.15 at $6.83
- November soybeans up $.15 at $13.85
- December soybean oil up 1.83 cents at 66.84 cents/lb
- December soybean meal up $4.80 at $411.00/short ton
- December wheat down $.65 at $8.61
- July wheat down $.47 at $8.83
Weekly highlights:
- Ethanol production increased for the second straight week- up 13.4 million gallons last week. However, gasoline demand continues to struggle. Gasoline use was down 12% from the same week last year.
- The big surprise in the October USDA Supply and Demand estimates was the cut to US soybean yield down to 49.8 bushels/acre. The 0.7 bushel/acre cut countered analysts’ anticipation of a small increase in the national yield.
- Export sales continue at a rather mundane pace. The only one at all strong last week for this time of year was soybean meal, but even then current commitments are below the seasonal pace needed by about 5%.
- Open interest futures and options positions of Chicago wheat were flat again last week, Chicago corn and soybean future and option open interest positions were both up 3%. Managed money futures and options positions increased for feed grains (expanding on net longs for corn but shrinking the net short for wheat) while managed money accounts decreased their net long for Chicago soybeans.
- US ag export inspections were mixed. Reported values were down for all the feed grains week over week- wheat exports fell below all expectations. However, soybean inspections were very strong coming in above all pre-report estimates at 69 million bushel- a 10 months high.
- Soybean crush volumes reported by the National Oilseed Processors report were disappointing for the month of September but confirmed strong demand for soybean oil.
- Harvest continues to role as many parts of the corn belt saw more than 6 days of suitable fieldwork days last week. Corn harvest is 45% complete, 63% complete for soybeans, and 37% complete for cotton. All ahead of the 3-year average.
- Winter wheat plantings jumped 14% last week to 69% planted.
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