Market recap (changes on week):
- September corn up $.11 at $6.07
- December corn up $.09 at $6.09
- September soybeans up $.66 at $14.32
- November soybeans up $.32 at $14.06
- September soybean oil up 5.4 cents at 64.1/cents per lb
- September soybean meal up $13.30 at $429.70
- September wheat up $.11 at $8
Weekly Highlights:
- US weekly ethanol production decreased 13,000 barrels per day last week setting in at just over million barrels per day.
- Export sales on the week were soft- down for soybeans, sorghum, and wheat week over week with cancelations out numbering new sales of soybeans. Corn sales were up from the low volume the week before.
- The quarterly economic data last Thursday showed two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth following Wednesday federal reserve meeting where the federal funds rate was increased another 75 basis points. This brings the short-term interest rate up to 2.25-2.50.
- Open interest fell for corn and soybeans futures and options last week while slightly increasing for Chicago wheats. Managed money accounts are largely holding put trying to understand the significance of the upcoming weather market. Still there were 4,515 less corn positions in their net long and 156 fewer soybean position in their net long.
- US agricultural export inspections were up for corn, soybeans, and grain sorghum, but down for wheat week over week. Mexico was a top two destinations for all four commodities.
- The first cargo load of grain left the Ukraine on Monday. The load of corn leaving the port of Odesa headed for Lebanon is the first since the conflict began 5 months ago. There are 16 more ships ready to embark after being trapped at the port.
- Elsewhere in the world- China’s economic data report shocked traders on Monday showing that the manufacturing sector of China started to contract, housing values continue to fall, and their employment index fell for the fourth straight month. All of this negatively impacts their consumer demand. Lean hogs, soybeans and oil led the commodity sector lower Monday on the news.
- US corn crop conditions stayed steady on the week at 61% good to excellent while the index, which takes into account all ratings, was down by the slimmest of margins. Soybean conditions improved with the good to excellent category picking up 1% at 60%. The soybean condition score was up slightly to 2 points. Most of the improvement was in Illinois.
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